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College | Story | 4/14/2011

PG 64: NCAA postseason projections

Kendall Rogers        

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HAVE QUESTIONS ABOUT THE PROJECTIONS? Come ask them in the Clubhouse

PREMIUM ANALYSIS:
Going inside the projections

Texas A&M wishes the season ended today.

If that was the case, there's a good chance the Aggies would be a national seed. The Aggies are perceived to be the Big 12's top team despite having the same league record as rival Texas. They also have compiled some impressive wins this season, and have an RPI of 13 with an overall record of 24-9.

The Aggies are 3-3 vs. RPI Top 25, 8-6 vs. RPI Top 50 and 16-8 vs. RPI Top 100. But what puts the Aggies over the top as the No. 8 national seed as opposed to those that missed out is the fact they headline one of the nation's elite conferences.

Other national seeds in the projections include Virginia, Vanderbilt, South Carolina, North Carolina, Florida, Fresno State and Georgia Tech.

Virginia is 8-2 vs. RPI Top 25, 13-3 vs. RPI Top 50 and 18-3 vs. RPI Top 100, Vanderbilt is 7-2 vs. RPI Top 25, 12-3 vs. RPI Top 50 and 14-3 vs. RPI Top 100, South Carolina is 6-3 vs. RPI Top 25, 9-4 vs. RPI Top 50 and 14-5 vs. RPI Top 100, North Carolina is 6-1 vs. RPI Top 25, 8-1 vs. RPI Top 50 and 18-4 vs. RPI Top 100, Florida is 5-5 vs. RPI Top 25, 13-7 vs. RPI Top 50 and 24-8 vs. RPI Top 100, Fresno State is 2-0 vs. RPI Top 25, 6-0 vs. RPI Top 50 and 14-3 vs. RPI Top 100 and Georgia Tech is 6-2 vs. RPI Top 25, 11-3 vs. RPI Top 50 and 22-9 vs. RPI Top 100.

Arizona State, Florida State, Cal State Fullerton, Oregon State, Southern Mississippi and Texas also were considered for national seeds.

The other NCAA Regional hosts besides the eight national seeds include Arizona State, Florida State, Cal State Fullerton, Oregon State, Texas, Rice, Southern Mississippi and Stetson.

The last five teams in the projections are UAB, Southeastern Louisiana, Central Florida, San Jose State and Tulane.

The last five teams out of the projections are East Carolina, Louisiana-Lafayette, Texas Tech, Long Beach State and East Tennessee State.


PG's NCAA Postseason Projections
C'Ville Regional
1. Virginia* (1)
4. Monmouth*

2. Mississippi St.
3. Louisville
DeLand Regional
1. Stetson*
4. Connecticut*

2. Miami
3. Central Florida
Nashville Regional
1. Vanderbilt* (2)
4. Manhattan*

2. Clemson
3. Western Ky.
Tempe Regional
1. Arizona State
4. Delaware*

2. Oklahoma St.
3. San Jose St.
Columbia Regional
1. South Carolina (3)
4. Wright State*

2. Troy*
3. Elon*
Tallahassee Regional
1. Florida State
4. Jacksonville St.*

2. Auburn
3. SE Louisiana
Chapel Hill Regional
1. North Carolina (4)
4. Charlotte*

2. Georgia
3. Kent State*
Corvallis Regional
1. Oregon State*
4. Creighton*

2. Mississippi
3. Gonzaga*
Gainesville Regional
1. Florida (5)
4. Bethune-Cookman*

2. Oklahoma
3. UAB
Hattiesburg Regional
1. Southern Miss*
4. Southern*

2. Alabama
3. Baylor
Fresno Regional
1. Fresno State* (6)
4. Stony Brook*

2. Stanford
3. CS Bakersfield
Fullerton Regional
1. CS Fullerton*
4. Michigan St.*

2. California
3. Tulane
Atlanta Regional
1. Georgia Tech (7)
4. Dartmouth*

2. Arkansas
3. Georgia Southern
Austin Regional
1. Texas
4. Oral Roberts*

2. Texas State*
3. UC Irvine
College Station Regional
1. Texas A&M* (8)
4. Army*

2. Arizona
3. LSU
Houston Regional
1. Rice
4. Coastal Carolina*

2. TCU*
3. UCLA

































Automatic Bids (30)
Automatic bids noted by * in projections table

America East: Stony Brook
Atlantic 10: Charlotte
Atlantic Coast: Virginia
Atlantic Sun: Stetson
Big Ten: Michigan State
Big 12: Texas A&M
Big East: Connecticut
Big South: Coastal Carolina
Big West: Cal State Fullerton
Colonial: Delaware
Conference USA: Southern Mississippi
Horizon: Wright State
Ivy League: Dartmouth
Metro Atlantic: Manhattan
Mid-American: Kent State
Mid-Eastern Athletic: Bethune-Cookman
Missouri Valley: Creighton
Mountain West: TCU
Northeast: Monmouth
Ohio Valley: Jacksonville State
Pacific 10: Oregon State
Patriot: Army
SEC: Vanderbilt
Southern: Elon
Southland: Texas State
Southwestern Athletic: Southern
Summit: Oral Roberts
Sun Belt: Troy
West Coast: Gonzaga
Western Athletic: Fresno State


Kendall Rogers is the college baseball managing editor for Perfect Game USA and has covered the sport for over 10 seasons. He can be reached at kendall@perfectgame.org

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