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Draft  | Follow List | 5/26/2010

HAWAII

 2010 FOLLOW LIST

COMPILED by ALLAN SIMPSON

STATE OVERVIEW
As a viable baseball state, Hawaii has largely been on the outside looking in, in recent years.
The University of Hawaii made its only College World Series appearance in 1980, and produced a number of nationally-ranked teams and a steady stream of early-round draft picks around that time, but that was 30 years ago. The state’s prep ranks had an annual run on premium draft selections, but that was more than a decade ago now.
With Hawaii’s remote location, the state’s baseball fortunes are largely dependent on the ability of the various domestic levels of competition to connect with one another. The University of Hawaii must depend on the state high-school ranks for talent; in turn, the high schools must rely on an infusion of talent from the state’s various youth programs.
On that score, there may be light at the end of the tunnel.
Hawaii has produced more than its share of national-championship teams in the 11-12 year-old age groups in recent years.
A victory in the 2008 Little League World Series was the second in four years by a team from the islands, and teams in the same age groups captured back-to-back Cal Ripken World Series titles in 2005-06. Hawaii even pulled a rare double by winning both the Little League and Ripken titles in 2005, just a few days apart. Also that year, teams from Hawaii reached the U.S. final of the Junior League (13-14) World Series, the championship game of the Senior League (15-16) World Series and the championship game of the Babe Ruth 13-15 World Series.
Many of the players who tasted success on a national stage over the last few years are high-school aged players now. Yet for all the success enjoyed by Hawaii teams at the youth-league level, there are few signs that native Hawaiian talent has begun to infiltrate the draft—not this year, not next year, certainly not like in the 1990s, when the islands were a mecca for high-school talent.
Catcher Christian Carmichael is the consensus best high-school player in Hawaii for this year’s draft, but he didn’t even play organized baseball this spring. A 2009 all-state player as a junior at Honolulu’s Kamehameha High, Carmichael was expelled from school last fall (along with several other students) for his part in the alleged distribution of a pornographic video. He later enrolled at nearby Mililani High, but was ineligible to play this spring.
Scouts made trips from the mainland to work out Carmichael on the side, and were impressed with his catching and throwing skills, and a surprisingly advanced bat with excellent power potential. He could end up being a surprise selection in the top 4-5 rounds. Beyond, Carmichael, there are no other high-school players expected to go in the top 10-15 rounds.
The University of Hawaii (the lone Division I program left in the state) produced a steady stream of high-round (even first-round) draft picks in its heyday 25-30 years ago. But the 2010 Rainbows went just 29-25 during the regular season, and will fail to make the NCAA tournament for the 16th time in 17 years if they don’t win the Western Athletic Conference tournament. As a fourth seed, their chances are slim.
The Rainbows should be a modest factor in this year’s draft as they should produce two of the top three prospects from Hawaii, and have commitments from Carmichael and righthander/shortstop Kale Kaalekahi, the island’s two top-ranked prep prospects.
They were unable to secure a commitment, though, from a player who is the latest in line in one of the most-influential baseball families on the islands.
David “Kaiana” Eldredge V, whose father David IV was a former star at Hawaii’s Punahou High and is currently the baseball coach at Southern Utah, was a two-time all-state selection at a high school in Cedar City, Utah, but returned to his native Hawaii to play his senior year of baseball at Punahou. He wanted to keep intact a long-standing tradition on the part of the Eldredge family of playing at Punahou High—even if he was unsuccessful in prolonging the school’s streak of six consecutive state high-school titles.
Rather than stick around to play baseball at UH, though, Eldredge committed to play in college at Kansas State. A catcher and closer in high school, Eldredge is expected to play the middle infield in college.
Hawaii’s best talents for the 2010 draft are righthander Josh Slaats (a California high-school product) and lefthander Sam Spangler, an unsigned 20th-rounder a year ago who attended high school in New Mexico. Among all the potential college drafts that the Rainbows have this year, none are native Hawaiians.
Scouts say the 6-foot-5 Slaats has better overall stuff than Steve Wright, a second-round pick of the Cleveland Indians out of Hawaii in 2006—the last high-round draft UH produced. Slaats’ fastball has been up to 94-95 mph. He also has an above-average slider, but Wright (a California high-school product himself) threw strikes on a more consistent basis.
A year from now, the Rainbows will take some solace in the draft as they’ll have a legitimate home-grown prospect in second baseman Kolten Wong. An unsigned 16th-round pick out of a local high school in 2008, Wong hit .341-11-52 as a freshman, .352-4-32 this year as a sophomore. He should be one of the elite college bats in the 2011 draft.
The Rainbow program’s fortunes are largely tied to the island’s ability to generate home-grown talent, which hasn’t been in plentiful supply in the last decade. The school continues to wait for that next wave of domestic talent to surface, much like occurred 12-15 years ago when a succession of premium, early-round draft picks came from Hawaii high schools.
Among the numerous early-round picks that came from Hawaii’s prep ranks in just a five-year period (1997-2001) were Brandon League (Blue Jays, 2001, second round), Bronson Sardinha (Yankees, 2001, first round) and his older brother Dane Sardinha (Royals, 1997, second round), Shane Victorino (Dodgers, 1999, sixth round) and Jerome Williams (Giants, 1999, first round). All played in the major leagues in the last 2-3 years, and Victorino (ironically, the lowest draft pick of the lot) has emerged as a star with the Philadelphia Phillies.
 
IN A NUTSHELL
STRENGTH: College arms.
WEAKNESS: Hawaiian-developed prep talent.
OVERALL RATING (1-to-5 scale): 2.
 
BEST COLLEGE TEAM: Hawaii.
BEST HIGH SCHOOL TEAM: Waimea HS.
 
PROSPECT ON THE RISE: Josh Slaats, rhp, Hawaii. Elevated worth into top 4-5 rounds with mid-90s fastball, above-average slider.
PROSPECT ON THE DECLINE: No candidate.
WILD CARD: Christian Carmichael, c, Mililani HS. Has impressed scouts in workouts with defensive skills, power potential, but lack of game action could hinder stock.
 
BEST OUT-OF-STATE PROSPECT, Hawaii connection: Ridge Carpenter, of, Cal State Northridge (Attended high school in Honolulu).
TOP 2011 PROSPECT: Kolten Wong, 2b, U. of Hawaii.
TOP 2012 PROSPECT: Pi’ikea Kitamura, ss, U. of Hawaii.
 
HIGHEST DRAFT PICKS
Highest Pick, Draft History: Mike Campbell, rhp, U. of Hawaii (1985, Mariners/1st round, 7th pick).
Highest Pick, 2006 Draft: Steven Wright, rhp, U. of Hawaii (Indians/2nd round).
Highest Pick, 2007 Draft: Tyler Davis, rhp, U. of Hawaii (Padres/21st round).
Highest Pick, 2008 Draft: Dustin Antolin, rhp, Mililani HS (Blue Jays/11th round).
Highest Pick, 2009 Draft: Vinnie Catricala, 3b, U. of Hawaii (Mariners/10th round).
 
BEST TOOLS
Best Hitter: Christian Carmichael, c, Millilani.
Best Power: Christian Carmichael, c, Mililani HS.
Best Speed: No candidate.
Best Defender: Greg Garcia, ss, Hawaii.
Best Velocity: Josh Slaats, rhp, Hawaii.
Best Breaking Stuff: Josh Slaats, rhp, Hawaii.
 
TOP PROSPECTS
Full scouting reports available on players ranked on national Top 250 list (click on National Top 300)
 
GROUP TWO (Projected HIGH-Round Draft / Rounds 4-10)
1. JOSH SLAATS, rhp, Hawaii (Jr.)                                                                       National Top 250 (Rank 213)
Shown big improvement as JR in stuff (FB 92-95, + SL), confidence; performance (5-3, 3.88, 64 IP/66 SO)

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