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College  | Story | 5/10/2018

Field of 64: May 10

 



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For most of the country there are now just two weeks left in the regular season. That will be followed by conference tournament week and then Selection Monday. Here is an updated Field of 64 prediction/observation. As always, our focus will be on the 33 at-large bids and the 16 host sites.

Our format remains the same as before: the 31 automatic bids, followed by the 33 at-large bids, followed by the 16 host sites including the Top 8 National Seeds. There will also be a list of teams not selected including a few specialty categories.

One new addition this week will be the addition of an asterisk (*) by any conference that is deemed to be a one-bid league. This means that the winner of the conference tournament (or championship in the case of leagues without a tournament) will be the only team going to the NCAA Tournament.

Note: the number listed after each team is their RPI as of Tues., May 8.


31 Automatic Bids by Conference

*America East: Hartford (192)
AAC: Houston (60)
*A10: Saint Louis (125)
ACC: North Carolina (3)
ASUN: Stetson (11)

Big 12: Oklahoma State (22)
Big East: St. John’s (33)
*Big South: Campbell (128)
Big Ten: Minnesota (14)
*Big West: Fullerton (37)

CAA: Northeastern (25)
C-USA: Southern Miss (34)
*Horizon: Wright State (86)
*Ivy: Yale (145)
*MAAC: Quinnipiac (222)

*MAC: Kent State (67)
*MEAC: Coppin State (271)
MVC: Missouri State (52)
MWC: Nevada (61)
*NEC: Wagner (74)

OVC: Tennessee Tech (23)
Pac-12: Stanford (2)
*Patriot: Army (96)
SEC: Florida (1)
Southern: UNCG (44)

Southland: Sam Houston State (53)
*SWAC: Alabama State (224)
*Summit: Oral Roberts (131)
Sun Belt: Coastal Carolina (27)
WCC: Pepperdine (110)
WAC: Grand Canyon (158)

33 At-Large Bids

Teams 1-10
Georgia (4)
Texas Tech (5)
Arkansas (6)
Auburn (7)
Clemson (8)
Florida State (9)
Oregon State (10)
Ole Miss (12)
East Carolina (13)
Texas A&M (15)

Teams 11-20
Connecticut (16)
NC State (17)
Kentucky (18)
Duke (19)
Jacksonville (20)
Texas (21)
Indiana (24)
South Florida (26)
UCLA (28)
UCF (29)

Teams 21-33
South Carolina (41)
Ohio State (30)
FAU (35)
Louisville (42)
Arizona (36)
Oklahoma (40)
Baylor (43)
Mississippi State (38)
Troy (45)
Michigan (47)
San Diego State (49)
LSU (50)
Vandy (39)

First 6 Left Out

Missouri (32)
Iowa (51)
Dallas Baptist (54)
Illinois (57)
Louisiana (55)
Louisiana Tech (62)

Rest of the Bubble

South Alabama (56)
FGCU (65)
Purdue (59)
TCU (66)
Little Rock (68)
Wichita State (31)
West Virginia (46)
Georgia Tech (48)
Bradley (69)

Look out if they get hot

Charleston (72)
Washington (77)
Georgia Southern (71)

Host Sites

Here are the 16 host sites (ranked in order this as per the new seeding rules) with the Top 8 being the National Seeds. These teams are matched up as per the would-be Super Regional matchups.

1. Florida  16. East Carolina
2. Stanford  15. NC State
3. North Carolina  14. Stetson
4. Oregon State  13. Kentucky
5. Georgia  12. Minnesota
6. Arkansas  11. Texas Tech
7. Clemson  10. Ole Miss
8. Auburn  9. Florida State

Last Considered to Host

Connecticut
Texas A&M
Oklahoma State
Texas

Observations:

• League-leading Houston needs to win either the AAC regular season or tournament or both. The AAC continues to be a fascinating league.

• If Northeastern holds on to win the CAA regular season title, they should get a bid regardless of the conference tourney. So the CAA represents a potential stolen bid.

• Put UNCG in the same category: if they hold on to win the CAA regular season title but lose the conference tournament, their at-large resume is extremely viable.

• In this iteration, the SEC sets a new record with 11 bids.

• The Big Ten Tournament promises to be high drama as this Field of 64 includes four teams with three others right on the Bubble.

• Favorite Super Regional matchup: Minnesota at Georgia

• Second favorite: Ole Miss at Clemson




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