THE WORLD'S LARGEST AND MOST COMPREHENSIVE SCOUTING ORGANIZATION
| 2,623 MLB PLAYERS | 16,400 MLB DRAFT SELECTIONS
2,623 MLB PLAYERS | 16,400 MLB DRAFT SELECTIONS
Draft  | Story | 9/28/2011

Astros to pick 1st in 2012 MLB Draft

Photo: Perfect Game

For the third time in the organization's 50-year history, the Houston Astros will have the dubious honor of selecting first in next June's first-year player draft. Their two previous first overall picks, Floyd Bannister (1976) and Phil Nevin (1992), enjoyed productive big-league careers, although neither spent much time with the Astros after being traded to other organizations early in their careers.

Unlike the past several years in which one or two near-unanimous top prospects have been identified the summer prior to the draft itself, next year's talent pool suggests that the eventual player selected first overall may not be among the players currently discussed for that pick.

At this time last year Anthony Rendon and Gerrit Cole were considered the top two players available for last June's draft. Bryce Harper's legacy started the moment he announced he would be foregoing both his junior and senior years in high school to attend junior college, thus making him draft eligible a year early in 2010. Stephen Strasburg became a legend far before he was the first overall pick in 2009.

Next year's talent pool has already been labeled as weak, although that has to do with a lackluster college crop. The high school talent currently emerging is viewed as very strong, with a long list of both power arms and bats that could help make up for the perceived college weakness.

And that also could prompt the Astros to make history.

No high school right-handed pitcher has ever been selected first overall, and the way draft boards currently stack up, Lucas Giolito could change that.

The 6-foot-6, 230-pound right-hander has been clocked as high as 98 and easily works in the low-to-mid-90s deep into games.  He shows very good command of his fastball and tight, sharp-breaking slider, giving him the perfect combination of size, stuff and control while throwing on a downhill plane, making him that much more difficult to hit.

Of course high school pitchers are generalized as risky commodities, and teams that are selecting first overall are doing so because they were the worst team in baseball the previous season. Teams in that position typically don't have the luxury of taking chances with high-risk propositions, particularly given the financial investment required.

Because of that, the Astros may turn to one of the top college players. Arizona State shortstop Deven Marrero and Stanford right-handed pitcher Mark Appel are the names currently associated with the top picks.

Both are incredibly talented players, as Marrero is a potential five-tool shortstop and Appel's profile is somewhat similar to Giolito's.  However, the talent at the top of the draft causes some debate as to where either would have been selected had they been eligible for this past year's draft. The talent pool for this past year's draft was considered one of the strongest ever, with very good depth at both the college and high school levels.

Regardless of who the Astros pick, it is important that they continue to inject as much talent into their system as possible. The Rays, who had the first overall pick four times in 10 years, have proven how quickly a team's fortune can turnaround with an ample supply of talent.

Following the Astros in the draft order are the Minnesota Twins, who haven't had a pick in the top 10 since they took Joe Mauer with the first overall selection in 2001.

After drafting second last year, the Mariners will pick third next June. Typically not considered one of the perennially worst teams in the game, the 2012 draft will mark the fifth time in eight years that Seattle has had a pick among the top five overall selections.

Drafting early hasn't helped the Orioles, as next year will mark the 11th
 time in 12 years that they have had a pick among the top 10 overall selections.

The Royals with the fifth overall selection are in a similar situation to the Orioles when it comes to the draft, with a top 10 pick in 12 of the last 16 years. Unlike the Orioles, most seem to think the Royals are on a path similar to the Rays given the incredible talent they have collected in recent years.

After the Twins, the Padres had the second biggest slide from 2010 to this past year, and will have the seventh overall pick in next year's draft.

Two teams that had multiple first-round picks this past year, the Diamondbacks and the Brewers, enjoyed the two biggest jumps in the win-loss column from 2010 to this year. The Diamondbacks in particular went from owning the third-worse record in 2010 to having the sixth-best in 2011.

For the second year in a row, the Philadelphia Phillies finish the season with the best record in baseball.

With the current collective bargaining agreement scheduled to expire on December 11, rumors have been swirling for over a year about Commissioner Bud Selig's desire to add hard monetary slot values. While many seem to grow more and more skeptical of this happening, it does seem likely that the signing deadline will be bumped up from its current date of August 15.

This change would be beneficial for everyone involved, as the players would be able to begin their professional careers with over a month left in the minor league season that ends on Labor Day, and teams can put the draft behind them while focusing on the next year's crop of talent during the busy summer showcase and tournament season.

2012 Draft Order

After having three unsigned players from the 2010 draft effect the order of the first-round of the 2011 draft, only one first-round pick from this past year went unsigned, the 21st
 overall pick of the Toronto Blue Jays, Tyler Beede. The 2010 PG All-American has already began his college career at Vanderbilt, and projects as a likely premium pick for the 2014 draft.  The Blue Jays will receive the 22nd overall pick in 2012 as compensation.

Here is how the order of the first-round of next year's draft stacks up, also showing each team's first pick from the past three drafts. Unless more drastic changes are implemented prior to the beginning of the offseason, it should be expected that free agent compensation will remain in 2012, meaning the draft order will look significantly different by the end of the upcoming offseason.

Tie-breakers for teams that finished with the exact same record/winning percentage are awarded to the team that finished with the worse record the previous season.


PK Team Record Win % 1st Pick 2011 (pick) 1st Pick 2010 (pick) 1st Pick 2009 (pick)
1 Houston Astros 56-106 .346 George Springer (11) Delino DeShields (8) Jiovanni Mier (21)
2 Minnesota Twins 63-99 .389 Levi Michael (30) Alex Wimmers (21) Kyle Gibson (22)
3 Seattle Mariners 67-95 .414 Danny Hultzen (2) Taijuan Walker (43) Dustin Ackley (2)
4 Baltimore Orioles 69-93 .426 Dylan Bundy (4) Manny Machado (3) Matt Hobgood (5)
5 Kansas City Royals 71-91 .438 Bubba Starling (5) Christian Colon (4) Aaron Crow (12)
6 Chicago Cubs 71-91 .438 Javier Baez (9) Hayden Simpson (16) Brett Jackson (31)
7 San Diego Padres 71-91 .438 Cory Spangenberg (10) Karsten Whitson (9) Donovan Tate (3)
8 Pittsburgh Pirates 72-90 .444 Gerrit Cole (1) Jameson Taillon (2) Tony Sanchez (4)
9 Florida Marlins 72-90 .444 Jose Fernandez (14) Christian Yelich (23) Chad James (18)
10 Colorado Rockies 73-89 .451 Tyler Anderson (20) Kyle Parker (26) Tyler Matzek (11)
11 Oakland Athletics 74-88 .457 Sonny Gray (18) Michael Choice (10) Grant Green (13)
12 New York Mets 77-85 .475 Brandon Nimmo (13) Matt Harvey (7) Steve Matz (72)
13 Chicago White Sox 79-83 .488 Keenyn Walker (47) Chris Sale (13) Jared Mitchell (23)
14 Cincinnati Reds 79-83 .488 Robert Stephenson (27) Yasmani Grandal (12) Mike Leake (8)
15 Cleveland Indians 80-82 .494 Francisco Lindor (8) Drew Pomeranz (5) Alex White (15)
16 Washington Nationals 80-81 .497 Anthony Rendon (6) Bryce Harper (1) Stephen Strasburg (1)
17 Toronto Blue Jays 81-81 .500 Tyler Beede (21) Deck McGuire (11) Chad Jenkins (20)
18 Los Angeles Dodgers 82-79 .509 Chris Reed (16) Zach Lee (28) Aaron Miller (36)
19 Los Angeles Angels 86-76 .531 C.J. Cron (17) Kaleb Cowart (18) Randal Grichuk (24)
20 San Francisco Giants 86-76 .531 Joe Panik (29) Gary Brown (24) Zack Wheeler (6)
21 Atlanta Braves 89-73 .549 Sean Gilmartin (28) Matt Lipka (35) Mike Minor (7)
22 Toronto Blue Jays* NA  NA Compensatory pick NA NA
23 St. Louis Cardinals 90-72 .556 Kolten Wong (22) Zack Cox (25) Shelby Miller (19)
24 Boston Red Sox 90-72 .556 Matthew Barnes (19) Kolbrin Vitek (20) Reymond Fuentes (28)
25 Tampa Bays Rays 91-71 .562 Taylor Guerrieri (24) Josh Sale (17) LeVon Washington (30)
26 Arizona Diamondbacks 94-68 .580 Trevor Bauer (3) Barret Loux (6) Bobby Borchering (16)
27 Detroit Tigers 95-67 .586 James McCann (76) Nick Castellanos (44) Jacob Turner (9)
28 Milwaukee Brewers 96-66 .593 Taylor Jungmann (12) Dylan Covey (14) Eric Arnett (26)
29 Texas Rangers 96-66 .593 Kevin Matthews (33) Jake Skole (15) Matt Purke (14)
30 New York Yankees 97-65 .599 Dante Bichette (51) Cito Culver (32) Slade Heathcott (29)
31 Philadelphia Phillies 102-60 .630 Larry Greene (39) Jesse Biddle (27) Kelly Dugan (75)

*Compensation for unsigned 2011 first-round pick Tyler Beede

Here is a list of the other unsigned players from this past year's draft that will affect next year's order after the first round due to compensatory picks:
  • Brett Austin, 54th overall selection (supplemental 1st round) - the Padres will be awarded the 55th overall pick in the 2012 draft
  • Sam Stafford, 88th overall selection (2nd round) - the Yankees will be awarded the 89th overall pick in the 2012 draft
  • Kevin Cron, 92nd overall selection (3rd round) - the Mariners will be awarded the 1st pick in the supplemental 3rd round, overall pick TBD
  • Connor Barron, 102nd overall selection (3rd round) - the Marlins will be awarded the 2nd pick in the supplemental 3rd round, overall pick TBD
  • Peter O'Brien, 107th overall selection (3rd round) - the Rockies will be awarded the 3rd pick in the supplemental 3rd round, overall pick TBD
Be sure to check back early next week for our list of the top 300 2012 draft-eligible players.

Draft | Story | 9/11/2026

PG Draft: Potential Risers Into Top 50

Michael Albee
Article Image
We are in the early stages of the 2027 cycle and there is still plenty of time for players to make significant jumps up the board. While our current Top-100 provides an early look at the class, several players just outside that group have the upside to make a run at becoming Top-50 pick by next July. With that in mind, each member of the draft team each selected one college player and one prep player they believe could make the jump into the Top-50 over the course of the spring. These are the names to keep an eye on as the 2027 draft picture continues to develop. Joey’s Picks:   Jake Cueto (27 FL) goes oppo πŸ’£ on a mid-90s LonL heater. Performing at a very high level, hitting .464 with 5 homers. Excellent hit/run combo and here comes the juice! #PGHS #Miami commit @Florida_PG pic.twitter.com/g4gtml81mm — Perfect Game Scout (@PG_Scouting) April 1, 2026 Prep: OF, Jake...
Tournaments | Story | 9/9/2026

PG Wood Bat Fall Kickoff Scout Notes

Tyler Henninger
Article Image
Evan Thompson (‘29, AZ) showcasing the all-fields power with this ground rule double the other way. Immense power upside. Really fun offensive profile #FallKickoff https://t.co/l551KirUOf pic.twitter.com/QW0AIeg59g — Perfect Game Four Corners (@PG_FourCorners) September 7, 2026 Evan Thompson (2029, Gilbert, Ariz.) put on an offensive clinic throughout the weekend, going 8-for-13 with three extra-base hits. He capped off his MVP performance with a walkoff home run to take home the championship. Thompson is one of the premier players in the 2029 class. A fluid left-handed stroke consistently finds barrels. There is all fields power present that will only continue to develop further. It would not be a surprise if Thimpson ends up the top ranked player in the class when it is all said and done.  Chase Fillman (2028, Goodyear, Ariz.) put together a loud summer circuit and...
Draft | Story | 9/8/2026

What Profiles Are Valued Most at Top of Draft

Tyler Henninger
Article Image
The landscape of the MLB Draft continues to evolve each and every year. What teams value at the top of the draft can change based on the strength of a particular class, shifts in player development philosophy, and, perhaps most importantly, the way organizations evaluate risk and upside. Some trends are subtle, while others become impossible to ignore when viewed across multiple years. For this study, I set out to answer one question: What player profiles do teams value at the top of the draft? To answer it, I analyzed the Top-100 picks from each of the last six drafts (2021-2026). That gives us 600 total selections to examine and provides a large enough sample to identify both the profiles that have remained consistently popular and those that have gained or lost significant ground. The data was broken down by position, handedness and level to create individual player profiles. While...
General | General | 9/7/2026

First Look: Class of 2031 Rankings

Perfect Game Staff
Article Image
Draft | Story | 9/7/2026

Chubb Jones Jr. Enrolls Early

Tyler Henninger
Article Image
Harry Chubb Jones Jr. is getting an early start on the next chapter of his baseball career. The Perfect Game All-American announced Sunday that he will enroll early at the University of Alabama, giving the Crimson Tide an early addition from one of the more intriguing two-way prospects in the 2027 class. See y’all at The Joe! πŸ‘πŸΎπŸ‘πŸΎπŸ‘πŸΎ pic.twitter.com/Kn0T0mJxq7 — 6._.chubbjones (@chubb_hitter) September 6, 2026 Jones, a 6-foot-4, 190-pound SS/RHP from Georgia, was ranked No. 39 in the 2027 class and came in at No. 83 on the initial Top-100 2027 Draft Board. Chubb Jones Jr (‘27 GA) smokes this one the other way for an RBI single & we’re all level in the 6th. Adv bat speed, impacts w/ authority to all fields #PGAAC@PG_Georgia pic.twitter.com/FZ46IvYVp1 — Dick’s Sporting Goods All-American Classic (@PGAllAmerican) August 16, 2026 The McEachern...
Draft | Story | 9/7/2026

2027 MLB Draft: PG Content Hub

Tyler Henninger
Article Image
No more having to search for articles pertaining to the 2027 MLB Draft as we will keep it all centrally located here, in the PG Content Hub, leading up to the first pick next July. Tyler Henninger, Joey Cohen, Michael Albee and Ryan Miller, along with the rest of the Perfect Game staff, will continue to provide you with the latest info as it pertains to this 2027 crop.  Article Date Initial Follow List July 12 Way Too Early Mock July 13 Realistic Expectations of 1:1 August 11 Preview: Collegiate RHP August 21  Draft Board: Top 100 August 28 Way Too Early 1:1 Predictions September 4 Chubb Jones Jr. Enrolls Early September 7 Preview: Collegiate LHP September 7 What Profiles are Valued Most at Top of Draft September 9 Potential Risers Into The Top 50 September 11
Draft | Rankings | 9/7/2026

2027 Draft Preview: Collegiate LHP

Ryan Miller
Article Image
2027 MLB Draft Profile Preview: Collegiate Right-Handed Pitchers The collegiate left-handed pitching class is always a popular demographic, and this year’s is no different. The group contains a mix of power pitch mixes and polished pitch-ability, with healthy representation from power four schools and a handful of mid-majors. Below we look at this year’s top college left-handers. An extended look at LHP Tomas Valincius (@HailStateBB)... 6 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 8 K https://t.co/lCHgGnsdbi pic.twitter.com/Vm3nQkAukc — PG College Baseball (@PGCollegeBall) May 28, 2026 Tomas Valincius, Mississippi State Valincius followed head coach Brian O’Connor from Virginia to Mississippi State and immediately established himself as their ace last spring. The Illinois native posted a 3.50 ERA over 17 starts in 2026, striking out 33.5% of hitters and walking just five percent....
General | General | 9/6/2026

Update: Class of 2030 Rankings

Perfect Game Staff
Article Image
Draft | Prospect Scouting Reports | 9/4/2026

2027 Draft: Way Too Early 1:1 Predictions

Tyler Henninger
Article Image
2027 Top 100 Draft Board  Current Favorite: SS Dylan Seward, Norco HS (Calif.) In our first iteration of the 2027 Draft Board, Norco shortstop Dylan Seward ranks No. 1 overall. The switch-hitter is an ultra-twitchy player with a lot to like on both sides of the ball. He is a supreme athlete that should stick up the middle. Explosiveness is shown in all aspects of his game and gives the profiles big time upside.  In the event that Seward does not go 1:1, each member of our draft team selected a player that they think could wind up in that spot. We are still nearly a full year away from draft day, but here are our “Way Too Early” predictions for the 1st overall pick next July.  Henni’s Pick: C/UTL Gavin Kelly, West Virginia    Gavin Kelly (@WVUBaseball) sends this over the wall in CF for a solo πŸ’£ (100 EV/ 416 ft). Adv. hitter with accurate...
General | General | 9/3/2026

Class of 2029 Rankings Update

Article Image
Loading more articles...