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Draft  | Follow List | 6/4/2010

OKLAHOMA

2010 FOLLOW LIST
 
COMPILED by DAVID RAWNSLEY / ALLAN SIMPSON
 
STATE OVERVIEW
The following dialogue was written a year ago as part of the Oklahoma state preview for the 2009 draft, as posted on the PG CrossChecker website:
 
If the (2009) draft impacts the state as expected, and especially the Big Two of Oklahoma and Oklahoma State, 2010 could become an unusually down year for Oklahoma baseball. Those teams were very junior/senior-dominated this spring, and a number of young players will be forced to step up quickly for the state to have any chance at three regional bids again. In fact, while the state may have as many as 6-8 draft choices in the top five rounds this year, it does not have a sure-fire top five-rounder on the horizon for 2010.
 
That prognostication proved to be pretty much on target.
 
The power arms that so defined the Oklahoma 2009 draft class, and resulted in five pitchers from the state being selected in the first three rounds, are just fond memories for scouts this spring. If it weren’t for two junior-college standouts, Connors State outfielder Marcus Knecht and Western Oklahoma State shortstop/righthander Andrelton Simmons, Oklahoma might indeed not have a single player drafted in the first five rounds.
 
The irony there is two-fold. While Simmons and Knecht stand far above the rest of the talent in the state, neither player was even a consideration for the 2010 Oklahoma draft class 12 months ago—Knecht because he was a freshman outfielder at Oklahoma State (and otherwise not eligible to be drafted until 2011) and Simmons because he wasn’t even enrolled at the time in junior college. Additionally, both players not only are not natives of the state, but they aren’t even from the United States.
 
Knecht, one of the best power/speed packages in the draft, is from Canada, while the multi-talented Simmons is from the Caribbean island of Curacao. Both ended up at Oklahoma junior colleges in large measure because of the lucrative talent pipelines that exist between Connors State and players from Ontario (there are six suburban Toronto players on the Cowboys roster), and one that connects the various baseball-playing island nations throughout the Caribbean with Western Oklahoma.
 
The depth of talent in Oklahoma’s junior-college ranks goes well beyond Knecht and Simmons. It’s probably not a coincidence that Connors State, winners of 27 of its first 29 games this season, ascended to the top of the national junior-college Division I rankings for several weeks in March, and Western Oklahoma State, at 53-5, entered the NJCAA Division II World Series as the pre-tournament favorite.
 
It’s entirely possible that more players could be drafted from Oklahoma junior colleges this year than from the state’s four-year schools. Western Oklahoma, whose diverse roster resembles a United Nations meeting, could become a more-popular target for big-league clubs than the University of Oklahoma, which, with its 42-14 record in the regular season and No. 17 national ranking, has easily been the top college team in the state this spring.
 
The Sooners have tapped heavily into the depths of their roster to grind out many of their wins, and really have only two players who are legitimate candidates to go in the top 10-12 rounds. The state’s other perennial college power, Oklahoma State, endured its worst season since 1977, finishing the season at 29-26, including a cellar dwelling 8-19 mark in the Big 12. Like Oklahoma, the Cowboys will not make an impact on the top part of the draft.
 
It’s interesting to note, especially after the 2009 draft appeared to clean out their depth of talent, that the best prospects at both schools are still players that were taken in last year’s draft. The top five ranked college players on the attached Oklahoma 2010 state follow list were all eligible for last year’s draft—four of whom were drafted and didn’t sign, the other who went undrafted.
 
Rather than build (or rebuild, as the case may be) their programs the tried-and-true college way, by signing players as freshmen and nurturing them through their junior/senior years, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and most notably Oral Roberts (the state’s third Division I program) have tapped more liberally into out-of state talent than even the state’s junior colleges, from whence came Knecht and Simmons.
 
NAIA powerhouse Oklahoma City (49-12, ranked No. 6 nationally) made its annual trip to the NAIA World Series this year, and that school also taps heavily into out-of-state and/or junior-college talent.
 
Of the 35 Oklahoma college players identified as the most draftable this year, only five (one in seven) actually attended high school in Oklahoma. Seventeen were culled from junior colleges, five from other four-year colleges. Of 21 corresponding junior-college prospects on the same list, 10 (or roughly one in two) came from local high schools.
 
Tapping into junior-college talent has always been perceived as a quick-fix approach—and Oklahoma’s three D-I schools have always been among the most active pursuers of JC talent among schools nationally that consistently reach post-season play. It’s obviously been a philosophical approach to procure talent through those means, as Oklahoma’s prep ranks annually produce their representative share of talent each year. Even as the state ranks 28th nationally in total population, Oklahoma high-schools rank 13th overall in the number of draft picks produced (172) in the six-year period from 2004-09, though most of those players were actually signed out of college.
 
Yet of the top 12 ranked players in this year’s Oklahoma high-school class, Oklahoma State has a commitment from just one—Carl Albert High shortstop J.R. Realmuto, the state No. 1-ranked player.
 
In response to their worst record in 33 years, the Cowboys have actually intensified their recruitment of junior-college talent to a greater degree than ever before, and they have signed a number of the nation’s elite unsigned JC players this spring like Northeast Texas CC righthander Zach Cates (ranked No. 5 nationally) and Navarro (Texas) CC righthander Chris Marlowe (No. 14). Those two arms are among 10 players in the top 101 JC prospects nationally that have committed to Oklahoma State.
 
What stings most of all, though, is that the Cowboys let the talented Knecht slip from their grasp, releasing him after the 2009 season, after giving him just 12 at-bats as a freshman.
 
Oklahoma high schools rarely provide a depth of premium, signable talent for the draft, and this year is no exception. In fact, it’s no sure thing that the fast-rising Realmuto is a logical bet to sign, even after his spectacular 2010 season that saw him put up some of the most astounding numbers in the country. In just 42 games, he hit .595 with 28 home runs and 119 RBIs.
 
At least there should be no mystery with next year’s Oklahoma high-school class. Scouts have already identified righthanders Dylan Bundy (Owasso High) and Archie Bradley (Muskogee High) as legitimate first-round picks.
 
Bundy did his part in Owasso High’s attempt to win its 11th state 6-A title in the last 14 years—even as he made 181 pitches in one afternoon in the process. Having already led Sperry High to consecutive 3-A state titles as a freshman and sophomore, Bundy sought another state championship when he transferred to Owasso for his junior year.
 
But after he worked overtime, pitching in both of Owasso’s wins over Jenks High, just to reach this year’s final, his team lost in the championship game to Tulsa Union High, 10-9, on an extra-inning, bases-loaded walk.
 
IN A NUTSHELL
STRENGTH: Premium Junior-college talent.
WEAKNESS: Premium college/high-school talent.
OVERALL RATING (1-to-5 scale): 2
 
BEST COLLEGE TEAM: Oklahoma.
BEST JUNIOR COLLEGE TEAM: Western Oklahoma State.
BEST HIGH SCHOOL TEAM: Tulsa Union HS.
 
PROSPECT ON THE RISE: J.T. Realmuto, c/ss. Carl Albert HS, Midwest City. Though the state doesn’t have a consensus top-5 round prep pick, how can Realmuto’s .595-28-119 numbers be ignored?
PROSPECT ON THE DECLINE:Tyler Lyons, lhp, Oklahoma State. Lyons generated second-round talk after his sophomore year, but has regressed steadily since.
WILD CARD: Andrelton Simmons, ss/rhp, Western Oklahoma State JC. A broken toe limited the Curacao native to 34 games at shortstop, 13 innings on the mound. Some teams might not have gotten enough looks at his superior tools at either position, but the right team could pop him surprisingly high.
 
BEST OUT-OF-STATE PROSPECT, Oklahoma Connection: Andy Wilkins, 1b, Arkansas (Attended high school in Broken Arrow).
TOP 2011 PROSPECT: Archie Bradley, rhp, Muskogee HS/Dylan Bundy, rhp, Owasso HS.
TOP 2012 PROSPECT: Michael Hensley, c, Edmond Santa Fe HS.
 
HIGHEST DRAFT PICKS
Draft History: Mike Moore, rhp, Oral Roberts U. (1981, Mariners/1st round, 1st pick).
2006 Draft: Brett Anderson, lhp, Stillwater HS (Diamondbacks, 2nd round).
2007 Draft: Pete Kozma, ss, Owasso HS (Cardinals/1st round, 18th pick).
2008 Draft: Jordy Mercer, ss, Oklahoma State U. (Pirates/3rd round).
2009 Draft: Chad James, lhp, Yukon HS (Marlins/1st round, 17th pick).
 
BEST TOOLS
Best Hitter: Garrett Buechele, 3b, Oklahoma.
Best Power: Marcus Knecht, of, Connors State JC.
Best Speed: Marcus Knecht, of, Connors State JC.
Best Defender: Andrelton Simmons, rhp/ss, Western Oklahoma State JC.
Best Velocity: Andrelton Simmons, rhp/ss, Western Oklahoma State JC.
Best Breaking Stuff: Thomas Keeling, lhp, Oklahoma State.
 
TOP PROSPECTS
Full scouting reports available on players ranked on national Top 250 list (click on National Top 300)
 
GROUP ONE(Projected ELITE-Round Draft / Rounds 1-3)
1. MARCUS KNECHT, of, Connors State JC (So.)                                                National Top 250 (Rank 50)
Got 12 AB at Oklahoma State in 2009; blossomed in JC (.453-21-81, 24); athletic, + power/speed combo

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