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Draft  | Follow List | 6/1/2010

KANSAS

2010 FOLLOW LIST
 
COMPILED by DAVID RAWNSLEY
 
STATE OVERVIEW
Scouting directors and national cross-checkers have had plenty of reason this spring to stop in the middle of the country on their flyovers from coast to coast. But the reason Kansas has been on everyone’s travel itinerary was not what was expected at the start of the 2010 season.
 
As the high-school campaign unfolded in March, suburban Kansas City righthanders Ryne Stanek and Jason Adam were perceived as mid-round draft considerations, little different from most of the better-known pitching prep prospects in the Midwest. Both participated in the Area Code Games in California last summer, but neither distinguished himself enough to be more than solid college pitching prospects.
 
That all changed quickly.
 
Both righthanders came out of the gate throwing consistent plus fastballs, with the long, loose-armed Stanek touching 96 mph, and the bigger, stronger Adam bumping 95. They also showed the makings of good off-speed pitches, and demonstrated an idea how to command their pitches and work hitters.
 
Scouts immediately began looking at them in a different light, with both zooming into early-round consideration by mid-season. The first round was even being mentioned for both.
 
Stanek maintained his impressive stuff all spring and has every reason to hear his name called as early as the compensation or early second round. Should that occur, he would eclipse last year’s top Kansas pick, Maize High righthander Garrett Gould, who went 62nd overall to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
 
Adam didn’t sustain his mid-90s velocity through the spring. His stock should dip, as a result, though he might have been less-certain to be an elite-round pick anyway as he is considered a much more difficult sign than Stanek. Adam has a firm commitment to attend Missouri, while Stanek’s obligation to Arkansas is considered more tenuous.
 
Both pitchers shot right past Lawrence High lefthander Albert Minnis, the state 6-A pitcher of the year in 2009 who didn’t improve his worth this spring with a less-dominating season. In all likelihood, he will fulfill his college commitment to Wichita State.
 
The 2009 college season was an historic one for college baseball in Kansas as it marked the first time that all three Division I programs (Kansas, Kansas State and Wichita State) advanced to the NCAA Division I regionals. Emporia State also had a noteworthy year as it made it all the way to the NCAA D-II World Series championship game, before losing. And with a lineup sprinkled with Kansas college talent, the home-standing El Dorado Broncos captured the Wichita-based National Baseball Congress World Series during the summer.
 
That run of success won’t happen again this year. Kansas State made the 2010 NCAA tournament, but Kansas and Wichita State did not.
 
That accomplishment is especially noteworthy for an emerging Kansas State program. Its regional appearance last year was the first in school history, and a second straight post-season appearance comes after the Wildcats were hit hard by graduation and the 2009 draft, which claimed 14-game winner A.J. Morris, a fourth-round pick.
 
This year’s Wildcat team has been described by scouts as a “true blue-collar team”, with no players with high-level tools but plenty of solid college players on the roster. With the possible exception of shortstop Carter Jurica (.359-11-65), the Wildcats may not have a player drafted in the top 10 rounds.
 
Wichita State, the state’s flagship college program, has rarely missed an NCAA tournament appearance over the last 30 years. It had to survive injuries to two of its trio of prized sophomore pitchers, lefthanders Charlie Lowell and Brian Flynn, who combined to make only seven starts. But the Shockers rode the arm of righthander Jordan Cooper to another successful season.
 
Cooper, draft-eligible as a 21-year-old sophomore, established himself as one of the country’s top pitching prospects by going 10-2, 1.62 with 20 walks and 94 strikeouts in 105 innings. He may provide scouts with an interesting dilemma, though, as his raw stuff doesn’t really equate to his being drafted in a high-enough round to warrant buying him out of his junior year at Wichita State. But his impressive pitchability will likely tempt a team to scoop him up by the second or maybe third round.
 
The more interesting Wichita State dilemma facing scouts might involve Shockers first baseman Johnny Coy. A seventh-round pick in 2008 out of a Missouri high school, the 6-foot-7 Coy initially attended Arizona State to play basketball, before deciding to transfer to Wichita State to pursue a baseball career.
 
Because he didn’t play baseball in college last year, Coy is just a freshman by eligibility standards, yet is eligible for the 2010 draft because he turns 21 (just barely) within 45 days of the draft. A rusty Coy played sparingly to start this season, but began tapping into his massive raw power potential as he worked his way into the Wichita State lineup on a regular basis. By most accounts, Coy is a much-better fit for 2011 as it would give him a greater chance to fine-tune all areas of his game.
 
Kansas’ inability to build on its 2009 success has a simple explanation (although Jayhawks coach Ritch Price would probably be loathe to use it as an excuse): Injuries. It started with 2009 Big 12 triple-crown winner Tony Thompson, who sustained a hairline fracture of his kneecap prior to the season, was rushed back after missing 18 games and became just a shadow of himself at the plate. He launched just six homers in 39 games after smashing 21 as a sophomore.
 
Righthander Brett Bochy, son of San Francisco Giants manager Bruce Bochy, was quickly establishing himself as one of the most-dominant closers in the country (2-0, 0.78, 5 SV, 23 IP/9 H/34 SO), with a fastball that reached 96-97 mph, but went down with an elbow injury after 12 appearances and eventually had season-ending Tommy John surgery.
 
While Thompson should be only marginally impacted by his injury, and the lack of power he displayed upon his return to the lineup, Bochy’s stock should take a big hit. It’s also possible that Kansas ace righthander T.J. Walz could tumble, too. His performance (8-6, 5.06) slipped appreciably down the stretch, and he had already compounded his signability by putting out word to the scouting community that he has full intentions of returning to Kansas for his senior year. Walz is a top-notch student.
 
IN A NUTSHELL
STRENGTH: Righthanded pitching.
WEAKNESS: Lefthanded pitching, speed players.
OVERALL RATING (1-to-5 scale): 4.
 
BEST COLLEGE TEAM: Wichita State.
BEST JUNIOR COLLEGE TEAM: Hutchinson.
BEST HIGH SCHOOL TEAM: Maize HS.
 
PROSPECT ON THE RISE:Ryan Stanek, rhp, Blue Valley HS, Overland Park. Big velocity jump this spring, and has consistently been pitching with a fastball up to 96 mph.
PROSPECT ON THE DECLINE:Tony Thompson, 3b, Kansas. Missed the first 19 games of 2010 season with fractured kneecap, and his power (6 HR/37 G) didn’t return with his health.
WILD CARD:Johnny Coy, 1b, Wichita State. Limited experience due to basketball obligations, but his first-year performance (.336-7-31) has been very encouraging.
 
BEST OUT-OF-STATE PROSPECT, Kansas Connection: Devon Dageford, of, Louisiana Tech (attended Cloud County CC).
TOP 2011 PROSPECT: Nick Martini, of, Kansas State.
TOP 2012 PROSPECT: Tobin Mateychick, rhp, Wichita State.
 
HIGHEST DRAFT PICKS
Draft History: Joe Carter, of, Wichita State U. (1981, Cubs/1st round, 2nd pick); Darren Dreifort, rhp, Wichita State U. (1993, Dodgers/1st round, 2nd pick).
2006 Draft: Kris Johnson, lhp, Wichita State U. (Red Sox/1st round; 40th pick).
2007 Draft: Derek Norris, c, Goddard HS (Nationals, 4th round).
2008 Draft: Conor Gillaspie, 3b, Wichita State U. (Giants, 1st round/37th pick).
2009 Draft: Garrett Gould, rhp, Maize HS (Dodgers/2nd round).
 
BEST TOOLS
Best Hitter: Carter Jurica. ss, Kansas State.
Best Power: Johnny Coy, 1b, Wichita State.
Best Speed: Ryan Jones, of, Wichita State.
Best Defender: Robby Price, 2b, Kansas.
Best Velocity: Ryne Stanek, rhp, Blue Valley HS, Overland Park.
Best Breaking Stuff: Jordan Cooper, rhp, Wichita State.
 
TOP PROSPECTS

Full scouting reports available on players ranked on national Top 250 list (click on National Top 300)

 
GROUP ONE(Projected ELITE-Round Draft / Rounds 1-3)
1. RYNE STANEK, rhp, Blue Valley HS, Overland Park                               National Top 250 (Rank 56)
Big velo jump, regularly topped at 95-96; projectable SL/CU, projectable frame; 4-1, 0.85, 47 IP/60 SO

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