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College  | Story | 2/13/2015

Weekend Preview: 2015 Kickoff

Photo: Texas Athletics

2015 Perfect Game College Baseball Preview Index | Matuella back on top


The 2015 college baseball season is upon us, and it's time to stop talking about it and start watching it. Opening weekend offers a handful of intriguing series to follow, led by No. 6 Texas visiting No. 21 Rice, as detailed below. Also detailed is the best tournament to open the season, the Opening Weekend Challenge in Clearwater, Fla. which will bring four very good programs together to face one another in No. 9 Louisville, No. 19 Cal State Fullerton, South Florida and Alabama State.

No. 13 Oklahoma State will be at No. 20 Arizona State, and Perfect Game's Mike Rooney will be on hand providing first-hand observations from that series. Frankie Piliere, hoping to travel south in search of warmer weather, will be in Greenville, N.C. to take in No. 2 Virginia at East Carolina in winter-like conditions that have already caused several schedule changes for teams playing along the East Coast.




Top 25 in Action

Rk. Team Opponent Location
1 Vanderbilt home vs. Santa Clara Nashville, TN
2 Virginia at East Carolina Greenville, NC
3 Texas Christian home vs. Southern Illinois Fort Worth, TX
4 Florida home vs. Rhode Island Gainesville, FL
5 UCLA home vs. Hofstra Los Angeles, CA
6 Texas at No. 21 Rice Houston, TX
7 Louisiana State home vs. Kansas Baton Rouge, LA
8 Houston home vs. Minnesota Houston, TX
9 Louisville Opening Weekend Challenge* Clearwater, FL
10 Miami home vs. Rutgers Coral Gables, FL
11 Florida State home vs. Oakland University Tallahassee, FL
12 Texas Tech home vs. San Francisco Lubbock, TX
13 Oklahoma State at No. 20 Arizona State Phoenix, AZ
14 South Carolina home vs. College of Charleston Columbia, SC
15 Oregon at Hawaii Honolulu, HI
16 Arkansas home vs. North Dakota Fayetteville, AR
17 North Carolina home vs. Seton Hall Chapel Hill, NC
18 UC Santa Barbara home vs. BYU Santa Barbara, CA
19 Cal State Fullerton Opening Weekend Challenge* Clearwater, FL
20 Arizona State home vs. No. 13 Oklahoma State Phoenix, AZ
21 Rice home vs. No. 6 Texas Houston, TX
22 Stanford home vs. Indiana Stanford, CA
23 Mississippi State home vs. Cincinnati, Miami (OH) Starkville, MS
24 Kennesaw State home vs. Liberty, St. John's, Fordham Kennesaw, GA
25 Texas A&M home vs. Holy Cross College Station, TX

*Louisville plays Alabama State (Fri.), South Florida (Sat.) and No. 19 Cal State Fullerton (Sun.)
*Cal State Fullerton plays South Florida (Fri.), Alabama State (Sat.) and No. 9 Louisville (Sun.)



Marquee Matchup:

 No. 6 Texas at No. 21 Rice

No. 6 Texas visits Reckling Park and No. 21 Rice for a four-game series to open the 2015 college baseball season this weekend. These proud programs have struggled at times to reach their own lofty standards in recent seasons, however, they both come into the series trending up. Rice features one of the best pitching staffs in the country while Texas brings new found momentum from last year's run to the College World Series.

Wayne Graham has taken Rice from a college baseball afterthought to a national power. Under Graham, the Owls have reached the NCAA tournament an incredible 20 straight seasons, which is the fourth highest active streak in the nation. All seven Rice College World Series appearances have come under Graham's watch, including the 2003 National Championship.

Looking deeper, the last five seasons have not been quite up to the same level that Rice fans have grown accustomed to under Graham. In the first 11 years of the Super Regional era (1999-2009), Rice advanced to an amazing nine Supers and six times advanced to Omaha. In the last five years, Rice has made just one Super Regional appearance and the Owls have not been to the CWS since 2008.

While that trend is somewhat negative, there are two factors that should spark optimism for Rice in 2015. First, this pitching staff may be the best Wayne Graham has ever put together at Rice. Second, Wayne Graham is in fact a legend in our game and it's never good policy to bet against a Hall of Famer. Graham built this program from scratch and it's unlikely that 2008 will be his last trip to Omaha.

It is quite simple to sum up Augie Garrido's career and impact on college baseball: if Augie were a school, his five national titles would be tied for third all-time. Garrido is the master of all masters and he proved that yet again last year.

The Longhorns were in a dark place coming into 2014. Texas had missed the NCAA tournament in two consecutive seasons. And here is the most mind-blowing fact: in 2013 Texas failed to win even one Big 12 series.

Yet here came the 2014 Longhorns with two key seniors, outfielder Mark Payton and Nathan Thornhill, and a bevy of talented but green freshmen. Garrido went old-school with this group and led them to a third place finish in the College World Series.

The only downer in this series is the injury report. Arguably the three best arms in this series will not throw this weekend. Jordan Stephens and John Duplantier of Rice and Morgan Cooper of Texas are all on the shelf for the series. Stephens had Tommy John surgery last March and will pitch later this year while Cooper had his Tommy John surgery last November and he will miss the entire season. Duplantier, a draft-eligible sophomore, has recently experienced general arm soreness and the Rice staff is being cautious with him.

Duplantier's absence is most disappointing as he is a first-round talent with a mid-90s fastball and a devastating breaking ball in the upper-80s. He is Rice's most gifted arm and a dynamic athlete on the mound. At 6-foot-4 and 210-pounds, Duplantier offers both future projection and present premium stuff.

The most intriguing aspect of this matchup pits the elite Rice pitching staff against an experienced and uber-talented Texas lineup. Even without Duplantier and Stephens, the Owls will start proven veterans Blake Fox (12-0 1.46 ERA) and Kevin McCanna (8-3, 2.69 ERA). The lefthanded Fox is a perfect 18-0 at Rice while McCanna was outstanding in the Cape last summer.

The Rice bullpen is similarly strong led by junior closer Matt Ditman (9 saves, 1.83 ERA). The Owls are also excited about the depth of this staff with arms like Austin Orewiler, Trevor Teykl, Austin Solecitto, and Ricardo Salinas ready to go.

C.J. Hinojosa (Texas Athletics)

The Texas lineup will always be undersold as their statistics die in the deep gaps at Discch-Falk Field. However, this group is both skilled and experienced. Most importantly, they are bought into Augie Garrido's team-first approach. Sophomore catcher Tres Barrera handled himself very well hitting while hitting cleanup as a true freshman and the addition of redshirt freshman Bret Boswell gives this lineup exciting depth.

It's conceivable that this group has several future big leaguers but junior outfielder Ben Johnson in particular has upside that seems infinite. Johnson was a Division I football recruit at the quarterback position and his well-rounded athleticism can take over a game on any given day.

The two middle infield pairs in this game – C.J. Hinojosa and Brooks Marlow of Texas, Leon Byrd and Ford Stainback of Rice – are veterans with polish and proven production. The four combine for an invaluable 550 career college starts and their experience will be counted on heavily in what is anticipated to be an emotionally charged series.

All four have played outstanding defense in their careers and adding offensive production will be the key in 2015. Stainback and Byrd regressed in 2014 for Rice and this young lineup will need them to re-establish themselves as run-scoring weapons. Marlow and Hinojosa are excellent at playing the little game and manufacturing runs, however both players have gotten themselves into trouble in the past when trying to artificially create power.

One footnote here is that Wayne Graham has once again opted for the position switch of Byrd to shortstop and Stainback to second base. Even though Stainback has proven steady over 130 career starts at shortstop, the ultra-athletic Byrd offers more range and upside at the position. In 2014, this combination was in place for the first half of the season before Byrd returned to center field and Stainback to shortstop.

It's not often that one questions the Texas pitching staff but the 2015 version gives pause. Parker French is back for senior year and while he has been effective throughout his UT career, he lacks the dominance that might be expected of a Longhorn Friday night arm. If bloodlines mean anything then Kacy Clemens' conversion to full-time pitcher is something to get excited about and all reports have been positive so far.

At the end of the day, Longhorn fans can rest easy for these two reasons: Skip Johnson is still your pitching coach and there is significant young talent on this staff. Johnson is as good as it gets at developing a pitching staff and young arms like Josh Sawyer, Kyle Johnston, Tyler Schimpf, and Connor Mayes all appear ready for the bright lights.

The Rice lineup suffered huge losses to graduation and the draft. Mainstays Skyler Ewing, Shane Hoelscher, Michael Aquino, and Chase McDowell have moved on but the Owls have reloaded as usual. The two names to write down are freshman lefthanded hitting outfielders Tristan Gray and Ryan Chandler. Both are Houston high school products who have run sub-6.6 times in the 60-yard dash and they may be stars in the making.

We are predicting an upset, based on our preseason rankings, that Rice will win the series three games to one. As much as we like the Longhorns down the road, we're not certain they're ready to beat Fox and McCanna right out of the shoot. Augie Garrido relishes those teachable moments born of early season losses and Texas will be there in the end.

 


Mound Matchup:

Scott Effross (Indiana) vs. Cal Quantrill (Stanford)

Cal Quantrill
(Bob Drebin/StanfordPhoto.com)

The college baseball season gives us the gift of some outstanding matchups throughout the spring, and opening weekend looks like no exception this year. Indiana visiting Stanford this weekend is an intriguing matchup on its own, but the Friday night showdown between the team’s two aces is arguably the marquee pitcher’s duel going on anywhere in the nation.

Indiana junior righthander, Scott Effross has spent a large chunk of his college career pitching out of the bullpen, but he made it quite clear last summer in the Cape Cod League that he could be a starter at an elite level. Effross has the quality four-pitch mix to thrive as a true Friday night ace, and he has the swing-and-miss, lively 90-94 mph fastball to dominate high level lineups. And, his slider and his exceptional command of that pitch is likely going to give the righties in Stanford’s lineup some real trouble this Friday night.

What Stanford counters Effross with, however, is an arm that could be the best pitcher in the country by spring’s conclusion. And, that arm is sophomore righty, Cal Quantrill. Quantrill assumed the Friday night starter role as a freshman in 2014, but you certainly wouldn’t know he was a freshman by watching his poise and command. Sometime during the summer in his stint in the Coastal Plain League Quantrill took his game to yet another level. His velocity jumped to 92-95 mph, he continued to show what was perhaps the best changeup in the nation and he developed a sharp, low-80s slider. Not only will Quantrill enter the season as one of the most feared and polished aces in the country in just his sophomore year, but he’s also become one of the most sought after prospects in the 2016 draft.

Both Indiana and Stanford have some question marks in their lineup in 2015, but the matchup of these two elite aces will showcase what make them two highly intriguing teams this spring.




Tournament Spotlight:

Opening Weekend Challenge at Bright House Field (Clearwater, Fla.)

For many of the nation’s top teams, opening weekend feels like a time to ease into the season. But, for the teams playing in the Clearwater Tournament in Florida this weekend, there will be no dipping of the toe into the shallow end of the pool. As Louisville, Cal State Fullerton, South Florida, and Alabama State get ready to square off, it’s clear that each of them will be diving head first into the deep end of competition.

Kyle Funkhouser (University of Louisville Sports Information)

Although there are highly recognizable teams in this tournament, it also would not be wise to look past Alabama State, who has the talent to upend or at least disrupt one of these powerhouses on opening weekend. The cream of the crop in the SWAC, Alabama State has high-end pitching with arms like Branden Castro, who tops at 96 mph with his fastball, as well as Jorge Pantoja, who lives in the low-90s with his fastball and has the type of stuff to shut down a high-level lineup. And, with experienced weekend aces like T.J. Renda and Joseph Camacho leading the way, this is not a team to be overlooked.

And, when it comes to pitching, few teams have a one-two punch like South Florida brings into this tournament. One of the most dominant pitchers in the nation in 2014, funky righthander, Jimmy Herget has the pedigree to go head to head with aces like Thomas Eshelman and Kyle Funkhouser. Herget posted a 1.26 ERA over 107 1/3 innings in 2014, and went on to impress with Team USA and in the Cape Cod League. A workhorse ace of the highest order, he keeps the Bulls in any game he pitches in. No. 2 starter Casey Mulholland also has high-end stuff, flashing a low-90s fastball and above average changeup.

If it’s not clear already, this tournament is going to be about pitching. And, few names are more prominently known in college baseball than those of Thomas Eshelman and Kyle Funkhouser, the aces in this series that will be watched very closely throughout this spring. Eshelman arguably has the most razor sharp command in the nation and was historically dominant in 2014, posting a 1.89 ERA and walking just eight batters in 123 innings of work. Joined in the Fullerton rotation by hard-throwing righty and ace is his own right, Justin Garza, the Titans brings the deepest staff top to bottom into this tournament.

In terms of eyes on him, however, Kyle Funkhouser will be the main attraction this weekend. A projected top half of the first round draft selection, Funkhouser and his 93-96 mph fastball bring a high degree of polish to the mound with him as well. He posted a 1.94 ERA in 120 1/3 innings of work in 2014, striking out 122 batters along the way.

Runs are going to be few and far between this weekend in Clearwater, but scouts and fans are going to be treated to a series full of highest level pitching matchups. And, specifically for Cal State Fullerton and Louisville, it will answer some intriguing questions about just how far their outstanding pitching staffs will be able to carry them in 2015.



National Notes:

The career of heralded freshman righthander J.B. Bukaukas will begin at the back end of North Carolina's rotation this weekend, taking the ball for the Tar Heels in Game 2 of a doubleheader on Saturday that was bumped up from Sunday due to expected frigid temepratures. Bukauskas is one of the more well-known and exciting players to step foot on a college campus in recent years, as he easily could have taken in the first round of last year's draft given his mid- to upper-90s fastball coming out of high school. Of course starting one's career in the weekend rotation is no easy task at the Division I level, which will make his start, and subsequent 2015 season, especially interesting to follow.

The cold weather has found its way south this weekend and will play a large role in most to all of the major matchups in the Carolinas this weekend. East Carolina has moved up their Sunday content against Virginia and will play a doubleheader on Saturday afternoon.

Bailey Ober will not be in the weekend rotation for their showdown against South Carolina. He may available out of the bullpen, however, after experiencing discomfort in his forearm. Charleston will start Taylor Clarke on Friday, Nathan Helvey on Saturday, and Eric Bauer on Sunday.

Kentucky ace and highly touted draft prospect Kyle Cody is now schedule to take the ball on Saturday against Richmond in a tournament hosted by UNC Wilmington (Buffalo Wild Wings Battles at the Beach) that also includes Ball State.

There should be plenty of scouts on hand in Stockton, Calif. this weekend for the Pacific-Washington series. Pacific junior outfielder Gio Brusa comes into the series with an oblique issue but still might go. When he is right, the switch-hitting Brusa is one of the most exciting college position player in this draft. He is a veritable tool shed with the size (6-foot-3, 210 pounds) and athleticism to play at the highest level. Braden Bishop will man center field for Washington and he is a gazelle in the outfield. While his bat is the question mark, Bishop's speed and athleticism are playable and intriguing.

Another well attended series will be Vanderbilt vs. Santa Clara in Nashville, a series that offers several interesting hitter vs. pitcher matchups. The Broncos' Stevie Berman (6-foot-2, 225 pounds) and Jose Vizcaino, Jr. (6-foot-2, 215) are physical hitters who've had success on the West Coast. Obviously all bets are off when facing the Vandy arms of Carson Fulmer, Tyler Ferguson, Hayden Stone and company. How Berman and Vizcaino handle that type of velocity will be telling.

Speaking of Vanderbilt's arms, Walker Buehler has been removed from the weekend rotation for precautionary measures due to arm soreness, although reports indicate he could be available out of the bullpen. In addition to Buehler and Duplantier here are some of the other notable players that open the season with injury concerns:
  • Virginia outfielder Joe McCarthy had back surgery and will be out 12 weeks.

  • Tyler Stubblefield had knee surgery to repair a torn ACL. He should return at some point this season, but was slotted to be Texas A&M's Saturday starter prior to the injury.

  • Cal Poly's Mark Mathias, the defending Big West Player of the Year, had labrum surgery in December, and while it went well, he'll be out until March and likely will serve as the DH upon his return.

  • Gio Brusa (Pacific) is experiencing some oblique issues as noted above, but could still take the field.

  • College of Charleston has decided to use Bailey Ober out of the bullpen to start the year after experiencing forearm tightness in an attempt to work him back to full health. Ober was a Freshman All-American last season and was a big part of Charleston's Super Regional run.

  • The Mountain Valley Conference Freshman of the Year last season, Danny Collier of New Mexico, is experiencing back issues and it's unsure whether he'll be able to take the field.

  • LSU will be without two talented members of their freshmen class, infielder Greg Deichmann and lefthander Jake Latz. Deichmann will miss 4-6 weeks due to a stress fractice in his foot while Latz will shut down for the first two weeks due to a recent elbow injury. Latz also missed fall practice due to a stress reaction in his pitching elbow.

  • Pete Alonso suffered a broken right foot in practice this past week, the same foot he suffered a stress fractuce in during the fall. Alonso followed up a solid freshman season with a huge summer one, hitting .354 with 18 home runs on his way to being named the Northwoods League MVP.

  • East Carolina will be without do-it-all senior Reid Love for the first week of the season, who injured his left hand. He was expected to open the year as their Friday ace in addition to serving as the team's leadoff hitter.

  • Florida State first baseman Chris Marconcini is expected to have knee surgery today and will miss 3-6 weeks.


UC Santa Barbara is one of the favorites to win the Big West and head coach Andrew Checketts considered moving Preseason All-American closer Dillon Tate into the starting rotation. As of opening weekend, Tate and his 99 mph fastball will remain in the bullpen as the Gauchos rotation will consist of Justin Jacome, Shane Bieber, and Domenic Mazza. UCSB sports one the nation's best hashtags in #Chomaha.

Oklahoma State at Arizona State might be this weekend's bridesmaid for best series. The Cowboys and Sun Devils have two of the more experienced rosters nationally with Oklahoma State losing just the back of their bullpen from a Super Regional team. Arizona State enters two new eras at once as they move from the on-campus Packard Stadium to beer-selling Phoenix Municipal Stadium, and also begin season one under new skipper Tracy Smith. Smith comes to Tempe after two consecutive historic seasons at Indiana, advancing to the CWS in 2013 and earning a Top 8 National Seed in 2014.

At this time last year we only knew A.J. Reed as a good college player. He was on most preseason All-American teams (Second Team for Perfect Game) but primarily because the pool of two-way players was small. Reed only hit .280 as a sophomore with a pedestrian 4.04 ERA previous to his monster junior season.

Who is the 2015 version of A.J. Reed poised for a big breakout junior season? Each member of the Perfect Game college team took a chance to answer that question:

  • Thomas Eshelman – far from a sleeper as far as production at the college level, Eshelman enters the season as PG's 113th ranked 2015 overall draft eligible prospect. Pitchers who command the strike zone as effectively well as Eshelman has through his career are often taken earlier in the draft than once expected. Look no further than similar control artists such as Tim Stauffer in 2003 and Wes Roemer in 2007 (Mike Rooney).

  • Christin and D.J. Stewart – take your pick between the Team USA Stewart teammates (no relation) who posted big numbers last summer. Florida State's D.J. Stewart is the reigning ACC Player of the Year and enters the season as the favorite to once again win the award, while big things are expected out of Christin Stewart and Tennessee (Frankie Piliere).

  • Chris Shaw – Shaw's power came alive last summer on the Cape swinging a wood bat, leading the circuit with eight home runs after hitting six during his sophomore year at Boston College. And that's only the beginning for the 6-foot-3, 248-pound slugger (Jheremy Brown).

  • Grayson Long – somewhat of a longshot on this list as he's currently ranked 155th in PG's current list of the top 250 prospects eligible for this year's draft, but his tall, projectable stature, improving stuff and polished changeup are reminscent of another Aggie, Michael Wacha (Patrick Ebert).


The 2015 college draft class is in a word, murky. Twelve months ago Carlos Rodon was a household name and a no doubter for the first three picks in the draft, with many having him peged as the favorite to go first overall since his dominant freshman season. There is a lot of real estate between Rodon's resume prior to his junior year and that of current Duke righthander Michael Matuella, the default college draft prospect in 2015. Matuella has elite tools and stuff but lacks a track record in both performance and good health. He begins the 2015 season and his path to the draft in front of what undoubtedly will be a large collection of scouts as Duke takes on Cal in Berekley, Calif.

Read Nick Kappel's recent feature on Matuella
here.

Two things to feel good about entering Week 1: All reports on the new baseball have been positive. If nothing else, it appears that we will back to scoring from second base on singles again, and even if home run totals don't improve we're still in a better spot. It's time for the off-side outfielders to back up to normal depth again.

Similarly, television coverage of college baseball continues to skyrocket thanks mostly to the commitment of ESPN and the new SEC Network. There's nothing better than increased exposure for an outstanding product and this is great news for college baseball.


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Alyssa Golden
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Flames Natty used timely hitting and a dominant start from Beau Collier to defeat NLB American 7-3 and capture the 18U BCS National Championship on Monday at Lee Health Sports Complex. Despite being assembled just hours before the tournament began, the Flames quickly developed chemistry throughout the tournament. “This team was put together 12 hours before this tournament, and they went on a crazy run,” head coach Adam Vasquez said. “These kids know each other locally, but they don’t play together. For them to come together last minute like that, it’s crazy. I’m proud of them for that.” The game opened as a pitchers’ duel, with David Acevedo recording the lone hit through the first two innings. NLB American starter Hayden Graham kept the Flames in check early, allowing just one hit while striking out one over 2.0 innings. The right-hander...
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