Minors : : General
Wednesday, February 06, 2013

BP Top Prospects: Detroit Tigers

Jason Parks        
Photo: Perfect Game
This story originally appeared on BaseballProspectus.com.  To view the full, original story, please visit this link.

State of the Farm: When I get to the bottom I go back to the top of the slide where I stop and I turn and I go for a ride ‘till I get to the bottom and I see you again.”

Prospect rankings primer

The Top Ten

  1. OF/IF Nick Castellanos
  2. OF Avisail Garcia
  3. RHP Bruce Rondon
  4. OF Danry Vasquez
  5. RHP Jake Thompson
  6. LHP Casey Crosby
  7. IF Eugenio Suarez
  8. CF Austin Schotts
  9. RF Steven Moya
  10.  2B Harold Castro

1. Nick Castellanos

Position: OF/IF
DOB: 03/04/1992
Height/Weight: 6’4’’ 210 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Drafted/Acquired: 1
st round, 2010 draft, Archbishop McCarthy High School (Southwest Ranches, FL)
2012 Stats: .405/.461/.553 at High-A Lakeland (55 games); .264/.296/.382 at Double-A Erie (79 games)
The Tools: High-6 potential hit; 6 potential power; 6 arm

What Happened in 2012:
 Castellanos crushed it in High-A, before falling back to earth at the Double-A level, an advanced promotion for such a young player.

Strengths: Wiry strength on lengthy frame; room for additional strength; very fast bat; hands to command that bat; smooth trigger and bat path; stays in zone a long time; hit tool has well above-average potential; could develop into .300 hitter at highest level; line-drive stroke that could develop into above-average over-the-fence power in time; arm is stronger than people realize; easy 6 that can play in right field; good athlete; huge makeup.

Weaknesses: Double-A was huge test and exposed some weaknesses in present swing; struggled against arm-side pitching; expanded his zone and would chase; some question about pitch recognition and reaction; defensive profile is average at best; reads and routes in outfield still underdeveloped.

Overall Future Potential: 6; first-division player

Explanation of Risk: Moderate risk; failed in first stop at Double-A level, but good baseball skills and plus work ethic.

Fantasy Future: Might not develop prototypical corner power, but should hit for a high batting average and doubles pop; over-the-fence power could arrive late.

The Year Ahead: A full season of Double-A ball is on tap, and given his skill-set, makeup, and adjustment ability, Castellanos should take a big step forward in 2013 and put himself in the discussion for the 25-man roster in 2014. He has a really sweet swing from the right side, and even though he has some length, he has shown the ability to square velocity and shorten up in two-strike counts. Good hitters are likely to develop power as they mature, and Castellanos fits into this category. It’s a line-drive stroke, but as he grows into his body and finds rhythm in his swing, the strength and bat speed are there to lift balls over the fence. This is a very, very good offensive prospect.

Major league ETA: 2014

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