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Draft  | State Preview  | 5/30/2011

State Preview: Maryland

Allan Simpson     

In the weeks leading up to the draft, Perfect Game will be providing a detailed overview of each state in the U.S., including the District of Columbia, as well as Canada and Puerto Rico. These overviews will list the state's strengths, weaknesses and the players with the best tools, as well as providing mini-scouting reports on all Group 1 and 2 players.

Maryland State-by-State List

Maryland Overview:
Slim Draft Pickings in State; Where Have You Gone Mark Teixeira, Gavin Floyd?

Maryland had no players drafted in the first 10 rounds in 2010, and that scenario will likely repeat itself in 2011.

With such spotty production, Maryland has become one of the nation’s most depressed states in terms of churning out meaningful baseball talent. It ranks alongside mid-range states like Kansas, Oregon and Connecticut in terms of the total number of players that have been drafted in the last several years that attended high schools in those states, and yet those three states, in particular, will all make an enormous impact on this year’s draft.

Connecticut should produce two early first-round picks and another in the second round. Kansas and Oregon are both expected to contribute at least six players in the top three rounds. Maryland will be noticeably quiet.

By almost every standard, the 2010 and 2011 baseball seasons in Maryland have been downers—from the downtrodden and beleaguered Baltimore Orioles, on down.

Of the seven Division I college teams in the state, Navy (30-21 in 2010, 33-23 in 2011) is the only one that has had a winning record in either of the last two seasons. The collective record of the state’s D-I teams was 117-242 in 2010, 119-238 in 2011. Four of the seven teams finished at the bottom of the standings in their respective leagues, namely Maryland in the Atlantic Coast Conference, Maryland-Baltimore County in the America East Conference, Mt. St. Mary’s in the Northeast Conference and Coppin State in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference.

Though Maryland, the state’s signature school, brought up the rear in the ACC with 5-25 records in both 2010 and 2011, the Terrapins should make the biggest impact in this year’s draft, with righthander Chuck Ghysels and lefthander Eric Potter both expected to be middle-round picks.

Ghysels (3-4, 5.47, 51 IP/59 SO) can run his fastball up to 94 mph, but that velocity is neutralized because of his compact, 5-foot-10 frame and maximum-effort delivery. The 6-foot-4, 210-pound Potter (3-7, 4.80, 66 IP/48 BB/68 SO) can reach the low 90s, but he struggles to throws strikes consistently.

Led by Ghysels and Potter, the top eight college players in Maryland are pitchers.

While it hasn’t yet been reflected in the standings, there is actually a groundswell of cautious enthusiasm developing at Maryland under second-year head coach Erik Bakich, who has recruited the top five high-school prospects in the state and aggressively opened new recruiting channels in several other states. But it’s still going to take Bakich time to reverse an ingrained culture of losing at Maryland and general ambivalence towards baseball in the area.

Though the Terrapins have a monopoly on the best talent in this year’s in-state prep crop, none of those players is even assured of being drafted. Kenwood High lefthander Shane Campbell, the state’s top-ranked prospect, showed promise in the fall with a fastball in the mid- to high-90s, but his fastball was mostly in the 82-84 mph range this spring, raising questions if he might be injured.

John Carroll High third baseman K.J. Hockaday, No. 2 on the prep list, shows promise with his 6-foot-3, 215-pound frame, raw power potential and natural athleticism, but he hasn’t stepped up this spring, as hoped.

Montgomery High won the state 4-A high-school championship over perennial Maryland prep power Severna Park, going undefeated at 23-0 in the process, but it has no prospects of any consequence for the 2011 draft. Long gone is the day when Baltimore’s Mt. St. Joseph High produced the fourth and fifth overall picks in the 2001 draft, current big leaguers Mark Teixeira and Gavin Floyd.

As gloomy as the amateur baseball picture in Maryland has become in recent years, the state can at least take solace that University of Virginia lefthander Danny Hultzen, who is squarely in the running to be the first overall pick this year, is a Maryland resident—even though he attended a private school in Washington, D.C., before moving on to college at Virginia. In that regard, Maryland can’t seem to win, for losing.

Maryland in a Nutshell:

STRENGTH:
College pitchers.
WEAKNESS: College hitters.
OVERALL RATING (1-to-5 scale): 1.

BEST COLLEGE TEAM:
Navy.
BEST JUNIOR-COLLEGE TEAM: Cecil.
BEST HIGH SCHOOL TEAM: Westminster HS.

BEST OUT-OF-STATE PROSPECT, Maryland Connection:
Danny Hultzen, lhp, U. of Virginia (lives in Bethesda).
TOP 2012 PROSPECT: Ryan Ripken, lhp/1b, Gilman HS, Hunt Valley.
TOP 2011 PROSPECT: Tim Kiene, 1b/of, University of Maryland.

HIGHEST DRAFT PICKS
Draft History: Harold Baines, of, St. Michaels HS (1977, White Sox/1st round, 1st pick).
2006 Draft: Matt Sweeney, c, Magruder HS, Rockville (Angels, 8th round).
2007 Draft: Brett Cecil, lhp, U. of Maryland (Blue Jays/1st round, 38th pick).
2008 Draft: L.J. Hoes, of, St. John’s College Prep (Orioles/3rd round).
2009 Draft: Branden Kline, rhp, Johnson HS, Frederick (Red Sox/6th round).
2010 Draft: Adam Kolarek, lhp, U. of Maryland (Mets/11th round).

TOP PROSPECTS, GROUPS ONE and TWO

NONE