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Home » College Baseball Clubhouse » Pac-10: Week 15 predictions

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5/24/2011 11:49:39 AM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2086
Final week of the regular season, and we have two series that will determine the conference champion, one of which is also a rivalry series (the Civil War), plus another rivalry series (the Big Game series?) between two postseason teams. Looking at the average scores, my guess is if you are not above 16.5 right now, you probably have no shot at the title. That means seven people have a plausible chance at being Pac-10 prediction champ of the 2011 season:

Wks Ttl Avg Name
5 87.7 17.53 rec1347
6 103.7 17.28 BeaverBeliever20
6 102.5 17.08 MostUnknown
7 119.5 17.07 SouthernBeaver
6 101.5 16.92 SouthCoastStu
8 133.0 16.63 BeaverBob
7 115.8 16.55 opihi man

This week's games:
OSU at Ore
UCLA at ASU
Stan at Cal
UW at Ariz
WSU at USC

CIVIL WAR! At the beginning of the season, there were “experts” putting the Ducks as high as #2 in the preseason poll. They obviously failed to live up to that expectation, but few people thought they would have suffered as much as they have. Still, this is a rivalry game, and I'm sure George Horton will motivate his boys to take on the Beavers like their postseason hopes depended on it. (Even though they don't.) As for the Beavers, who were ranked #2 in at least one poll this year, they are playing for the outright Pac-10 championship title and a national seed in the postseason, which will guarantee home games for the regional and super regional matchups. All the Beavers need to do is take 2 of 3. Sweeping would be icing on the cake. But can they do it, especially after losing two at home last week to another team that will not make the postseason?

The other title-significant series pits UCLA at ASU. Both teams are tied for second in the conference, one game behind OSU. One will end up with an 18-9 or 19-8 conference record. Depending on how the Beavers do, either could be good enough for the conference crown. Both teams will make the postseason, but ASU is also playing for national seed contention. The Devils should stay in that discussion with a sweep of the Bruins, and perhaps even with a 2-1 win. But UCLA's three starters are hard to beat, no matter how much offense ASU brings. And last Sunday's shutout by the lowly Huskies has to give Devil fans pause.

The second rivalry series takes place between two other postseason-worthy teams, Stanford at Cal, even though one of them might finish the year with a conference record at or below .500. Both are projected as #2 seeds, and both will end up in the 4th through 7th slots in the standings. so their performance this weekend will have no significant effect on the postseason or conference standings; they're playing for bragging rights. (WildCard85, do you guys refer to this as the Big Game/Series? Do you have a baseball equivalent name?)

Washington takes on Arizona in what should be the most lopsided series. Arizona is a projected #3, and that probably won't change regardless of the outcome of this series. One could look at this matchup and call an easy sweep of the Huskies. But they ended up taking game three against both OSU and ASU. Do they have one last upset in them?

Finally, Wazzu at USC. Unfortunately for both of these teams, they are peaking too late. If either team had won a few more games earlier, they might be playing for a postseason spot. Now all they can manage is to move up maybe one spot in the final standings. Give the edge to USC, playing at home after back-to-back series wins over the top two teams in the conference.
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5/24/2011 8:51:36 PM

BeaverBob
BeaverBob
Posts: 1260
Riverduck wrote:
Florida Beaver wrote:
Riverduck wrote:
Ore 3-0
ASU 3-0
CAL 2-1
ARIZ 2-1
USC 2-1

Pefect timing for the Beavs to play their worst now. For Stamps to suggest they have not played their last game at Goss is ludicrous. So hope they travel across the country. The projected regional is a joke. Did you look at the teams they will play. All I can hope for is the way they played at PK last year would be nice. Our bats have been getting hotter, and the last time you faced our Tuesday starter, he is now starting on Sat. So Good luck.


Well, RD, I hope your team WILL rely on luck. I think Coach Casey lit a fire in some players and assistant coaches backside these last few days and luck will have very little to do with this weekend. So...... we'll see who is the best in the valley. I know the answer to that as long as the "right" team shows up in your sugar daddy stadium. And if you remember nothing else I said this year, remember this.........

You thinking your team is better than a bunch of pissed off beavers is more dangerous than bare-backing a 5 dollar whore. So bring it!!!!

Thats the civil war fire I like.. even if you are 3000+ miles away. Go Ducks!!


RD and FB, I'm loving it. I've posted a true story that I think gets at the heart of the Civil War.

A first grade teacher explains to her class that she is an Oregon Duck. She asks her students to raise their hands if they were Ducks too. No one really knowing what an Oregon Duck was but wanting to be like their teacher, their hands explode into the air like fleshy fireworks. There is, however, one exception. A girl named Kristen has not gone along with the crowd. The teacher asks her why she has decided to be different. "Because I'm not a Duck." Then, asks the teacher, "What are you? "Why, I'm a proud Oregon State Beaver," boasts the little girl. The teacher is a little perturbed now, her face slightly red. She asks Kristen why she is a rebel. "Well, my mom and dad are Beavers, so I'm a Beaver too." The teacher is now angry. "That's no reason," she says loudly. "What if your mom was a moron, and your dad was a moron. Would you be a moron too? A pause and a smile. "No, says Kristen." "Then, I'd be a Duck."
edited by BeaverBob on 5/24/2011
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5/25/2011 7:57:10 PM

Florida Beaver
Florida Beaver
Posts: 1075
That was a very good, classy interview. The 20-80-20 thing kinda made me wonder, but then Oregon never has been an academic school. Math is a extra credit class, not a required class. Maybe that's why they lost so many games. Coach Horton, "Hey the score is 8-4. We don't even have to bat in the bottom of the 9th because we have 4 and they have 8. We're winning." Hmmmmmmm. Yeah sounds about right.

Really though. I liked how he sounded and defeat is not in his vocabulary. (Even though it is in his future for this weekend)
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5/28/2011 4:15:31 PM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2086
Riverduck wrote:
Ducks scratching back- showing they will not roll over..

How do you scratch your own back if you don't roll over?
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