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Dodger Matt - all messages by user

5/21/2011 10:28:52 PM
Topic:
SWEEP!

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Nice way to end the regular season. Congrats, Heels.

Here's hoping the Beavers do the same next week in the Civil War.
5/22/2011 3:12:39 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 14 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Well, USC is a good team, and they have three quality starters. Yesterday's 1st inning debacle ruined that game, and the anemic offense is going to do us in today. If we don't get to Odom in the 7th, we're probably done.

Boyd out, bases loaded. Not looking good.
5/22/2011 4:14:32 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 14 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Shiite. That game was totally winnable. Not knocking in runners from third with less than two out and that outfield bumbling that allowed that unearned run did us in.
5/22/2011 4:48:41 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 14 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Day three
No sweeps this week, and some surprises....

UCLA 5, Cal 2: Both teams scored single runs in the 1st. The Bruins added two in the 3rd on a double and three singles, and one more in the 4th Cal halved the deficit 4-2 on Louie Lechich’s 5th inning solo homer. UCLA added another run in the 8th when Chris Giovinazzo’s led off with a triple and was singled in by Beau Amaral. Adam Plutko (5-3) went 8 IP for the win, striking out three, walking one, and allowing two earned runs. Dean Espy led the Bruins at the plat, going 3 for 5 with 1 RBI. Shaggy-haired Justin Jones (7-6) lasted 3 innings in taking the loss for Cal. Tony Renda went 2 for 4 with 1 RBI for Cal.

UCLA wins series, 2-1.

Stanford 2, Arizona 1: Jett Bandy hit a one-out solo homer in the 2nd to give Arizona a 1-0 lead. The game remained 1-0 until the 8th, when the Cardinal finally got on the board, scoring two on a walk and two singles. Chris Reed (6-2) got the Wildcats in order in the 9th to seal the win for Stanford.

Stanford wins series, 2-1.

USC 4, Oregon State 3: The Trojans got on the board first again with a two-out solo homer in the 2nd by Matt Foat. The Beavers tied it in the 4th on a Ryan Dunn double that scored Andrew Susac from second. The Trojans scored an unearned run in the 5th, and in the 6th, with two out, they got a single, a walk, and a single to score one more and knock Josh Osich out. The Beavers added a run in the 7th thanks to back-to-back doubles by Brian Stamps and Ryan Barnes. In the 9th, the Trojans loaded the bases with no outs, via a leadoff double by Kevin Roundtree, an error, HBP. Then Ricky Oropesa hit a sac fly to score Roundtree and give the Trojans a 4-2 lead. In the bottom of the 9th, Ben Mount walked the first two batters. Ryan Barnes then hit his third sacrifice bunt of the day to advance the runners. Kavin Keyes’s fly out to center scored Miller from third. And with the tying run at second, Andrew Susac grounded out to short to end the Beavers’ string of seven straight Pac-10 series wins.

USC wins series, 2-1.

Washington State 8, Oregon 7: The Ducks scored two in the 1st with a two-out walk followed by a Ryon Healy homer. The Cougars returned the favor, getting a leadoff walk and a two-run homer by Derek Jones. Oregon scored again in the 2nd, and Wazzu tied it again in the 3rd when Taylor Ard doubled in Derek Jones. Oregon jumped ahead again, 4-3 in the 4th. The Cougs took the lead back with a two-out two-run single by freshman Nate Blackham. That brought in Gas Can McGough who struck out Cody Bartlett. The Ducks tied it 5-5 with an unearned run in the 5th. In the 6th, Gas Can gave up a single, double, and walk to load the bases with one out for Cody Bartlett, who hit an infield single to McGough that allowed the Cougs to take a 6-5 lead. In the 8th, pinch hitter Kyle Garlick led off with a double on Wazzu closer Paris Shewey. After a walk and a sac bunt, Danny Pulfer doubled in two runs. Wazzu got the tying run at third with two out for DH Adam Nelubowich, who bounced an 0-2 pitch off the rightfield fence to tie the game 7-7. That brought up 3B Matt Argyropoulos, who hit the ball over centerfielder Andrew Mendenhall’s head to score Nelubowich and win the game.

Wazzu wins series, 2-1.

Washington 3, Arizona State 0: Husky righthander Jacob Clem one-hit the Devils through six innings. The Huskies broke the scoreless tie with a 3-spot in the 5th. ASU’s Kyle Ottoson walked two of the batters he faced, then Alex Blackford gave up two doubles, to Jacob Lamb and Ryan Wiggins. In the 7th, ASU led off with three straight singles to load the bases. Deven Marrero hit to 3B jacob Lamb, who got the force out at the plate. Then Austin barnes grounded into a double play to keep the Devils scoreless. Jacob Clem (4-5) went the full nine innings, giving up 6 hits, 1 walk, and 2 Ks, and shutting out the Sun Devils, a rarity in itself. Zach Wilson went 3 for 4 for the Devils. Ryan Wiggins led the Huskies going 1 for 4 with 2 RBIs.

Arizona State wins series, 2-1.
5/22/2011 4:57:47 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 14 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Okay, here’s the big surprise. Give props to the Duck, whose picks looked again to be bottom of the barrel but who somehow managed to top everyone this week. Here are your scores:

18 RiverDuck
17 BlueSGJay
17 Florida Beaver
17 rec1347
17 SouthernBeaver
16 BeaverBeliever20
16 OregonStateChris
15 BballJones
15 BeaverBob
15 CaughtBySparky
15 MostUnknown
15 opihi man
15 SouthCoastStu
14 ASU74
14 borgguy
14 Dodger Matt
14 WildCard85
13 cas77
13 CdinSV
12 2Bulldogs
11 YellowlabOSU

Score analysis:

17/21 correctly picked Stanford 2-1 (3.67 average score).
15/21 correctly picked UCLA 2-1 (3.52 average).
10/21 correctly picked Wazzu 2-1.
Only 5/21 correctly picked ASU 2-1.
Nobody picked USC 2-1, yielding a really low 1.57 average score on that series
5/22/2011 5:01:39 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 14 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Almost forgot these....

Biverduck got 4 out of 5 series correct, only missing the OSU loss. (Ironic, huh?)
FloridaBeaver and BlueSGJay also got the same four series correct but picked OSU sweeps to fall one point behind Biverduck.
5/23/2011 5:20:18 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 14 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
BeaverBob wrote:
Not sure, but will find out. My buddy that has invited me is a Big Duck Fan. He played baseball for the Ducks before they gave up the sport.

Wow, really? I thought they were all dead.
5/23/2011 5:50:31 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 14 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
MostUnknown wrote:
borgguy wrote:
at least the husky's took one from ASU, they owed us that much after the choke job we had with them last week, magic number is 2. will be rooting for UCLA this week, beavs and bruins win on friday and OSU is pac10 champs.

Unless my math is off, Oregon St needs 2 wins to clinch. UCLA or ASU can win it with a series win and an OSU choke-job(Sweep or two losses). I could be missing something but I think thats how it's currently set up.


Standings
Oregon State     17   7  
Arizona State 16 8
UCLA 16 8
California 13 11
Arizona 12 12
Stanford 12 12
USC 12 12
Oregon 8 16
Wazzu 8 16
Washington 6 18
  • If Oregon State sweeps Oregon, the Beavers are the outright Pac-10 champs.
  • If Oregon State takes two of three, and the UCLA-ASU series is not a sweep, the Beavers are the outright Pac-10 champs.
  • If Oregon State takes two of three, and the UCLA-ASU series is a sweep, the Beavers are tied with whoever swept the UCLA-ASU series, but OSU pwns the tiebreaker over both teams, so Beavers are the "official" champs.
  • If OSU loses two games to the Ducks, and the UCLA-ASU series is not a sweep, the Beavers are tied with whoever took the UCLA-ASU series, but OSU pwns the tiebreaker over both teams, so Beavers are the "official" champs.
  • If OSU loses the Civil War, and and the UCLA-ASU series is a sweep, whoever sweeps the UCLA-ASU series will be Pac-10 champions.
  • If OSU is swept, whoever wins the UCLA-ASU series will be Pac-10 champions.
5/24/2011 11:49:39 AM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 15 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Final week of the regular season, and we have two series that will determine the conference champion, one of which is also a rivalry series (the Civil War), plus another rivalry series (the Big Game series?) between two postseason teams. Looking at the average scores, my guess is if you are not above 16.5 right now, you probably have no shot at the title. That means seven people have a plausible chance at being Pac-10 prediction champ of the 2011 season:

Wks Ttl Avg Name
5 87.7 17.53 rec1347
6 103.7 17.28 BeaverBeliever20
6 102.5 17.08 MostUnknown
7 119.5 17.07 SouthernBeaver
6 101.5 16.92 SouthCoastStu
8 133.0 16.63 BeaverBob
7 115.8 16.55 opihi man

This week's games:
OSU at Ore
UCLA at ASU
Stan at Cal
UW at Ariz
WSU at USC

CIVIL WAR! At the beginning of the season, there were “experts” putting the Ducks as high as #2 in the preseason poll. They obviously failed to live up to that expectation, but few people thought they would have suffered as much as they have. Still, this is a rivalry game, and I'm sure George Horton will motivate his boys to take on the Beavers like their postseason hopes depended on it. (Even though they don't.) As for the Beavers, who were ranked #2 in at least one poll this year, they are playing for the outright Pac-10 championship title and a national seed in the postseason, which will guarantee home games for the regional and super regional matchups. All the Beavers need to do is take 2 of 3. Sweeping would be icing on the cake. But can they do it, especially after losing two at home last week to another team that will not make the postseason?

The other title-significant series pits UCLA at ASU. Both teams are tied for second in the conference, one game behind OSU. One will end up with an 18-9 or 19-8 conference record. Depending on how the Beavers do, either could be good enough for the conference crown. Both teams will make the postseason, but ASU is also playing for national seed contention. The Devils should stay in that discussion with a sweep of the Bruins, and perhaps even with a 2-1 win. But UCLA's three starters are hard to beat, no matter how much offense ASU brings. And last Sunday's shutout by the lowly Huskies has to give Devil fans pause.

The second rivalry series takes place between two other postseason-worthy teams, Stanford at Cal, even though one of them might finish the year with a conference record at or below .500. Both are projected as #2 seeds, and both will end up in the 4th through 7th slots in the standings. so their performance this weekend will have no significant effect on the postseason or conference standings; they're playing for bragging rights. (WildCard85, do you guys refer to this as the Big Game/Series? Do you have a baseball equivalent name?)

Washington takes on Arizona in what should be the most lopsided series. Arizona is a projected #3, and that probably won't change regardless of the outcome of this series. One could look at this matchup and call an easy sweep of the Huskies. But they ended up taking game three against both OSU and ASU. Do they have one last upset in them?

Finally, Wazzu at USC. Unfortunately for both of these teams, they are peaking too late. If either team had won a few more games earlier, they might be playing for a postseason spot. Now all they can manage is to move up maybe one spot in the final standings. Give the edge to USC, playing at home after back-to-back series wins over the top two teams in the conference.
5/24/2011 4:37:46 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 15 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
ASU74 wrote:
DM: This has really been fun & your efforts are appreciated I'm sure by all. Any chance of Pac Post Season Predictions?

Yes. I'll have to dust off my postseason rubric and explanations. Because of the four-team double-elim format, there are six different options for each team, so it'll be a little different. And we'll probably do just the first week, unless three or more Pac-10 teams advance to super regionals.
5/24/2011 6:47:06 PM
Topic:
PG 64: Latest NCAA Projections (HAVE Q'S?) -- 5/24

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Stats below, sorted by record versus top 100 RPI, are grabbed from Nolan’s Nitty Gritty Report, and since half the work was already done, I stuck with his Rat’s Patooties. Using Kendall’s “versus top 25, versus top 50, versus top 100” breakdown, the Beavers currently have the seventh-best record against top 100 RPI teams. And the BEST versus top 25 and top 50.

RPI Team Div I OOC SOS 1 – 25..... 1 – 50..... 1 – 100....
4 Vanderbilt 44-9 22-1 32 11-7 0.611 19-8 0.704 23-8 0.742
2 Virginia 45-9 23-1 26 9-6 0.600 15-8 0.652 21-8 0.724
1 North Carolina 44-12 24-2 3 11-5 0.688 15-8 0.652 31-12 0.721
9 Arizona State 38-14 22-6 27 3-4 0.429 14-7 0.667 25-10 0.714
11 Texas 40-13 21-5 45 4-2 0.667 16-7 0.696 27-11 0.711
6 South Carolina 44-12 22-4 31 12-6 0.667 18-9 0.667 24-10 0.706
21 Oregon State 38-14 21-7 75 6-0 1.000 13-5 0.722 23-11 0.676
3 Florida 41-15 19-7 2 15-12 0.556 22-13 0.629 29-14 0.674
14 CS Fullerton 37-14 20-10 44 3-7 0.300 6-8 0.429 18-9 0.667
15 Southern Miss 38-15 22-7 48 4-4 0.500 11-8 0.579 26-14 0.650
19 Stetson 40-16 17-9 59 4-3 0.571 8-6 0.571 16-9 0.640
5 Florida State 39-15 20-4 4 12-11 0.522 17-12 0.586 24-14 0.632
13 Arkansas 36-18 21-3 21 10-8 0.556 15-13 0.536 22-13 0.629
12 Rice 38-18 22-10 15 5-3 0.625 12-9 0.571 28-17 0.622
10 Texas A&M 38-18 19-10 10 4-6 0.400 16-10 0.615 28-17 0.622
7 Georgia Tech 39-17 17-9 7 9-6 0.600 12-7 0.632 24-15 0.615
8 Clemson 39-17 22-4 8 7-10 0.412 12-12 0.500 20-14 0.588
17 Oklahoma 38-15 24-4 55 3-6 0.333 12-12 0.500 18-14 0.563
16 Miami 33-20 14-10 14 5-11 0.313 9-13 0.409 17-15 0.531
18 UCF 36-20 24-8 28 6-7 0.462 10-11 0.476 19-17 0.528
20 LSU 36-20 23-3 30 6-12 0.333 12-17 0.414 18-18 0.500

As for getting some help this weekend, I don’t see how we get any of that, the way the Rat’s Patootie is skewed. So I’m resigned to just being a #1 seed and (hopefully) traveling to a super.

Oregon State: #9 ISR, #7 Massey, #1 record versus top 25 and top 50 RPI, and soon-to-be Pac-10 champs, but still not worthy of a national seed. So, as stupid as it sounds, that sounds about right to me.

To get the "coded" table to fit correctly, this post was repeatedly...

edited by Dodger Matt on 5/24/2011
5/24/2011 9:51:33 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 15 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
"What if your mom was a moron, and your dad was a moron. Would you be a moron too? A pause and a smile. "No, says Kristen." "Then, I'd be a Duck."

It's just like those socialist Duck union thug teachers, brainwashing our kids into being morons. Mad
5/25/2011 6:34:45 PM
Topic:
PG 64: Latest NCAA Projections (HAVE Q'S?) -- 5/24

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
LHS-Stalker wrote:
This is typcial of someone who can only view statistics in a way that is most favorable to his team. Example: Florida has played more games against teams in the top 25 than Oregon State has played against the top 100, but he somehow has Oregon State ahead of Florida.

"He somehow has Oregon State ahead of Florida"? Look in the first sentence of my post, genius. That's how the data is sorted.

And your arrogance must have temporarily tweaked your arithmetic skills. Florida is 15-12 vs RPI top 25; that's 27 games. OSU is 23-11 vs RPI top 100; that's 34 games. Not that this point is very relevant, but you brought it up.

BTW, I'm not pimping the Rat's Patootie; I'm just trying to use this inferior tool the way many patootie-kissers do. If I sort by record against RPI 25, 50, or 100. OSU ends up in the top eight. Should I try to please you and show the data some other way? Your narcissism is typical of someone who only views other people's opinions as a vehicle to prove your alleged superiority.
5/25/2011 7:14:14 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 15 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Riverduck wrote:
http://www.goducks.com/mediaPortal/player.dbml?&db_oem_id=500&id=773538&DB_MENU_ID=&SPSID=&SPID=&DB_OEM_ID=500
Pulfer has had a heck of a year. Thinks we still have a shot. If the beavs won last week maybe.. this week the beavs are just a top 10 team. Very beatable.


"I wouldn't mind giving ASU a, you know, a tenth title in a row--whatever it is--as long as it means the Beavers doesn't [sic] get one."

Not only does he not know who's in second, he doesn't know who besides ASU has won the conference crown in the last ten years.
5/25/2011 7:40:25 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 15 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Yogi Horton at 01:35: "It's the 20-80-20 rule." [Paraphrasing]; 20% of the games you're gonna win just cuz you're gonna win, and 20% you're gonna lose just cuz you're gonna lose. It's that 80% in the middle that's gonna make the difference between a good year and a bad year." Yeah, and 90% of the game is half mental.

I do like the line, "The buffet of failure is making us all sad." And I think he looks better without the "stache". And the statements about national seeding [04:30], not rooting against them, and getting on board with the Beavers not "replacing them"...some very fine statements. And the bitter pill statement...looked very tough for him to say. Made me feel some empathy. (Some.... We're still gonna kick your DAs.)

"Who knows? Maybe someday Oregon State could be hosting a regional, and Oregon could be hosting a regional. That would be really cool." Yeah, that would be.

Thanks for the link, RD.
5/25/2011 8:15:41 PM
Topic:
PG 64: Latest NCAA Projections (HAVE Q'S?) -- 5/24

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
MiamiBaseball wrote:
If I wanted to be like you, I would just remind you that you are the guy who didn't know how signals were sent in from the bench to the catcher.

Yes, and I suppose you would never stoop to making negative comments about the lousy officiating. Sorry, your self-importance is Obamaesque. Please continue in your self-appointed duty to rid the world of incorrect thinking, and continue to never employ apophasis or other rhetorical devices to show how much above the fray you are.
5/25/2011 8:17:31 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 15 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
i agree LOL
5/26/2011 11:27:13 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 15 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Yogi's the best. I like that last line a lot.

One other favorite is, when talking about some nightclub that he used to frequent but doesn't find to his liking of late, he said: "Nobody goes there any more; it's too crowded."
5/26/2011 11:48:36 PM
Topic:
Inspiring Story on Ex-Oregon State Pitcher

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
I remember reading about this injury when it happened. Glad to see Rob is fighting and making progress.
5/27/2011 12:00:59 AM
Topic:
Kendall -- Your Thoughts on Year 1 with PG

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
I thought so, too, Hedegoba. What with that Fresno troll stinking up the place and all the spammers advertising their Nike shoes, it was too much for me. Funny thing is, Kendall gets a lot of people jumping in on his weekly chats. Where are those guys on the forum the rest of the week?

One thing I would like to see, and I'm speaking as a forum guy who has run/moderated them before, is some better XSLT or HTML capability. The shortcut buttons for bolding, colors, etc. are nice, but the bullets sometimes get all fouled up. Have your IT guru look into the other bulletin board options available and make the upgrade. It's worth the investment (which usually isn't much). Plus, user "polls" like the Rivals site has.
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