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Dodger Matt - all messages by user

5/5/2011 9:37:26 PM
Topic:
Lousiville loses 1-0 to Seton Hall in 18

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
I have no animosity toward Louisville, though I have often felt they got far more credit nationally for what they had done. But I am pretty surprised at how they have fallen even within the weak Big East. Case in point: Tonight they lose in 18 innings to Seton Hall, 1-0. Seton Hall had 14 hits; Louisville had 4.

Four hits over 18 innings, and you lose 1-0. That has to hurt.
5/5/2011 9:50:45 PM
Topic:
More Baseball Coverage in the PAC12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
OpihiMan wrote:
I'd actually like to see 30 conference games...most it'd probably help the conferences RPI vs playing those extra 3 games against bottom feeders in the WCC/Big West/WAC (and yes I do realize that statement is arrogant...but the stupid RPI's numbers don't lie)

I think it would have the opposite effect, at least until Utah gets better. You wouldn't be cutting out the midweek games against "local" bottom feeders. OSU plays Portland three to four times every year for single games because they're close. Same goes for Wazzu/Gonzaga, UW/Seattle, Oregon/UP, Cal/USF, Stanford/Santa Clara/SJSU.... And the midweek games in SoCal usually involve LBSU, CSF, UCI, UCSB, UCR, Bakersfield, and several others, whose RPIs are all higher than Utah's (right now at 108).

Utah's RPI will improve greatly from playing ten Pac-12 teams, but I don't think adding them to everyone's schedule will do such great wonders for the rest of us.

I just don't want to see a full weekend wasted playing--again--the same Pac-12 teams we faced during the season just to play a stupid conference tournament. Give me that weekend and the possibility to play a good nonconference team, to broaden the interconference connections.
5/5/2011 11:35:00 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 12 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
I won't be doing the pick analysis this weekend because of Mother's Day and anniversary celebrations colliding, but so far it looks like overwhelming favorites for OSU (100% win, 50+% sweep), UCLA (90% win, 20% sweep), Stanford (100%, 65%), ASU (100%, 90%), Wazzu (90%, 20%), and Arizona (100%, 100%!). So if you need more analysis than that, then either you're too addicted to baseball stats or you need some remedial math.

Here are my picks, and if I don't post game summaries for Friday, somebody else feel free to. Cool

OSU 3-0
UCLA 2-1
Stan 2-1
ASU 3-0
WSU 2-1
Ariz 3-0

Most of you guys make me feel like a fraidy-cat for only picking 3 sweeps.
5/6/2011 2:37:35 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 12 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
ASU74 wrote:
OSU 3-0
UCLA 3-0
STAN 3-0
ASU 3-0Fork Off
WSU 3-0
ARIZ 3-0

If I'm gonna go down....let it be in flames....no guts no gloryLoo Flush
edited by ASU74 on 5/6/2011


Six sweeps: Ballsiest vote ever.
5/6/2011 4:19:08 PM
Topic:
Lousiville loses 1-0 to Seton Hall in 18

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Louisville loses 1-0 again, this time in 9 innings, with Seton Hall scoring in the bottom of the 9th.
5/7/2011 1:45:24 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 12 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
BeaverBeliever20 wrote:
Day one


Awesome job. You're hired!
5/7/2011 2:55:31 PM
Topic:
More Baseball Coverage in the PAC12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
DM you forget that keeping the 27 conference schedule would omit a different team for every schedule, OSU may not play UCLA or ASU for example. That's how it'll decrease RPI, if teams have to play UTAH now but omit a top 25 RPI team.

Okay, I see what you mean. but I don't think we'd go to a 27-game schedule. The ACC and SEC have 12 teams, and they only miss one team per year. With 11 teams, the Pac-12 could play everyone for a complete round robin. No stupid conference tournament necessary. If Colorado adds baseball any time soon, then I'd see a divisional split and an uneven schedule. But I don't see it with 11 teams.
5/7/2011 4:05:13 PM
Topic:
Oregon State's Taylor Starr

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Does anyone know what happened to Taylor Starr? Like Osich, he's been out for the last two years recuperating from TJ surgery. He made one "appearance" this year, I think the April 10 game against ASU, when he was officially inserted into the lineup, threw some warmup pitches, and then came out. Have not heard anything about him since. Did he reinjure his arm or was it something else? What's going to happen to him?
5/7/2011 5:45:34 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 12 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
The Barbers -- Where Guys Go for Great Cuts

They play this commercial a lot on the Beaver radio broadcast, but they should probably play it live at Goss Stadium whenever this guy takes the mound.
5/8/2011 1:42:11 AM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 12 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Day two

Still possible to have four sweeps....

Oregon State 3, Cal 0 (game one): The Beavers led 1-0 after two, but they didn’t get their first hit until the 7th when Carter Bell hit a single, Tyler Smith walked, and Brian Stamps doubled them both in. Cal outhit the Beavers 9-2, but Sam Gaviglio (6.1), Matt Boyd (2.0), and Tony Bryant (0.2) kept them from scoring. Sam G (10-1) struck out 10 and walked 1 to earn the win; Erik Johnson struck out 9 and walked 6 in the losing effort. Bryant earned his 9th save.

Cal 6, Oregon State 2 (game two): Cal outhit OSU in the second game also, 11-6, to salvage a split on the day. Cal evened the game 1-1 in the 5th when Austin Booker singled home Chad Bunting. The next batter, Tony Renda launched Osich’s first pitch to left field to take a 3-1 lead. The Bears scored a gift run in the 6th when Mitch Delfino took third and home on wild pitches. The Beavers got one back in the 7th on Carter Bell’s first homer of the year, but Cal plated two more in the 8th on three hits and three Beaver errors. “House of David” pitcher Justin Jones (6-4) pitched a complete game for the win. Josh Osich (6-2) took the loss.

Series tied 1-1.

UCLA 3, Oregon 1: Jeff Gelalich led of with a double and was batted in two batters later to give UCLA the early 1-0 lead. Oregon tied it in the 4th on Ryon Healy’s solo homer, but UCLA plated two more in the 5th on a walk, a double, and a 2RBI single. Trevor Bauer pitched a complete game for the win, striking out 12 and walking 3. Madison Boer, (3-5) from Eden Prairie, Minnesota, took the loss. So Bauer beat Boer.

UCLA leads series, 2-0.

Stanford 8, Washington 7: The Huskies led this game 3-1 going into the bottom of the 5th, but the Cardinal rattled off three two-run innings to take a 7-3 lead after seven innings. In the 8th, UW scored four runs to tie the game, with their first five batters hitting safely. In the bottom of the 9th, with the score tied, two out, and bases loaded, Adam Cimber induced an inning-ending grounder to second that would have sent this extra innings, but freshman 2B Willy Reel booted the ball, and the winning (unearned) run scored.

Stanford leads series, 2-0.

Arizona State 9, Cal State Long Beach 2: ASU had all their scoring done by the 5th inning, before the Dirtbags had scored a single run. Joey DeMichele again led the Devils, going 5 for 5 with 3 RBIs. Kramer Champlin (7-2), from Olympia, WA, went 8 innings for the win.

ASU leads series 2-0.

Washington State 4, UNLV 3: Chad Arnold (2-3) pitched 7 innings and struck out five batters to defeat UNLV. The Cougars scored three in the 2nd, highlighted by Trace Tam Sing’s two-out 2 RBI single. Tam Sing batted in another run in the 4th with a sac fly. The Rebels scored one in the 5th then scored two in 8th off reliever Richie Ochoa, who gave up a two-run homer to third baseman Travis Feiner. Paris Shewey pitched a three-up three-down 9th for his ninth save.

Series tied 1-1.

Arizona 8, Alcorn State 2: Can-of-Corn State held the Wildcats scoreless for the first three innings, but Arizona burst out for five two-out runs in the 4th. They added three in the 6tth mostly tthanks to a 2 RBI triple by Seth Mejias-Brean, who led the Cats with a 2 for 4 3RBI performance. Bobby Rinard went 3 for 4 with 2 RBIs. Eduardo Gonzalez finished 3 for 4 for Alcorn State. Kurt Heyer (7-3) pitched 8 innings for the win.

Arizona leads series 2-0.

If you read this far and don't know what House of David refers to, let me know....
5/8/2011 5:10:36 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 12 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Day three

Oregon State 4, Cal 2: Cal’s Tony Renda opened the game by blasting a 1-2 pitch over the left field fence. The Beavers scored two in their half, thanks to an RBI double by Jared Norris. Brian Stamps created his own two-out rally in the 2nd: He singled, stole second base, took third on a bad throw by the catcher, and scored on a wild pitch to make it 3-1 Beavers. Renda batted in the Bears’ other run in the 8th, with a double off reliever Matt Boyd that scored Austin Booker. Ben Wetzler went 7.0 IP and allowed one run (earned), 4 hits, striking out 7 and walking none for the win. Tony Bryant earned his ninth save. Oregon State has won all six Pac-10 series this year and remain in first place, a game ahead of ASU.

Oregon State wins series, 2-1.

UCLA 4, Oregon 0: Alex Keudell went 6.2 IP and kept the Bruins off the board. In fact, both teams traded big yellow zeros for seven innings, until UCLA led off with three straight singles off the Duck bullpen and scored one. UCLA scored three more against Scott McGough, who isn’t fooling anyone this year. UCLA’s Adam Plutko went the full nine for the shutout win. He struck out 7, walked 1, and gave up 2 hits.

UCLA sweeps series, 3-0.

Stanford 7, Washington 2: Washington led this game from the 1st inning until the bottom of the 8th, and UW starter Austin Voth limited the Cardinal to six hits and one run over six innings. But the Huskies’ bullpen collapsed yet again and allowed six runs in the 8th, turning a 2-1 lead into a 7-2 deficit. Brian Ragira led the Cardinal going 2 for 4, 2 RBIs.

Stanford sweeps series, 3-0.

Arizona State 17, CS Long Beach 9: Tied 2-2 going into the bottom of the 4th, ASU scored three to take a 5-2 lead, then plowed through for six more in the 5th and two in the seventh to blow it open 13-2. Trailing 17-3 in the 9th, the Dirtbags made things interesting by loading the bases, then clearing them with consecutive doubles, a single, and another double. THe teams combined for 26 runs, 30 hits, and 6 errors. Andy Workman led the Devils with a 4 for 5 day, 7 RBIs, 3 runs scored, 2 HRs. Joey DeMichele had a solo homer and went 2 for 5.

Arizona State sweeps series, 3-0.

UNLV 6, Washington State 3: Wazzu’s struggles continue. The Rebels did not overpower them today; they scored in six different innings once each. Cougar pitcher James Wise pitched six innings and allowed four runs (three earned) to take the loss. Catcher Collin Slaybaugh led the Cougs at the plate, going 3 for 4 with 1 RBI. I can’t see Washington State making the postseason any more.

UNLV wins series 2-1.

Arizona 15, Alcorn State 2: Arizona outscored the pride of the SWAC 33-6 over the three-game series. Alcorn State could very well be the SWAC’s representative to the postseason, so it would be safe to predict a two-n-cue performance as a 4 seed for the Braves.

Arizona sweeps series, 3-0.
5/8/2011 5:16:26 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 12 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Scores:
  • 23.33 ASU74
  • 22.50 MostUnknown
  • 22.50 OregonStateChris
  • 22.50 SouthCoastStu
  • 22.50 SouthernBeaver
  • 21.67 BeaverBeliever20
  • 21.67 Florida Beaver
  • 21.67 rec1347
  • 21.67 YellowlabOSU
  • 20.83 opihi man
  • 20.00 BeaverBob
  • 20.00 WildCard85
  • 19.17 borgguy
  • 19.17 Dodger Matt
  • 17.50 CaughtBySparky
  • 13.33 2Bulldogs
  • 10.83 RiverDuck
Score analysis:
  • The highest average score ever: 5.65, because 15/17 correctly picked an Arizona sweep.
  • Two other very high average scores: 5.12, because 12/17 correctly pickedASU and Stanford sweeps.
  • Eight of 17 correctly picked OSU 2-1 over Cal.
  • Only 3/17 picked a UCLA sweep. Average score was an even 3.00.
  • The lowest score this week was Wazzu/UNLV: 1.82. ONly 1 person correctly picked UNLV 2-1.
  • Nobody got six or five series correct; seven players correctly called four series.
5/8/2011 5:26:12 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 12 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Running total averages

I've split players into two categories, the upper group (4 through 7 weeks) and the lower group (2 to 3 weeks).

UPPER
18.42 BeaverBeliever20
18.13 MostUnknown
18.13 SouthCoastStu
18.10 SouthernBeaver
17.17 BeaverBob
17.10 OregonStateChris
16.97 opihi man
16.70 Dodger Matt
16.50 CaughtBySparky
16.28 Florida Beaver
16.11 ASU74
15.45 cas77
15.07 2Bulldogs
14.33 WildCard85

LOWER
19.56 rec1347
18.00 BeaverQuist
17.50 BballJones
16.72 borgguy
14.00 CdinSV
13.00 WCC1
11.61 RiverDuck
11.00 949baseballfan
5/8/2011 5:26:48 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 12 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
There was a rain delay.... I was ready.
5/8/2011 6:52:13 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 12 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
BeaverBeliever20 wrote:
I wonder how Riverduck is doing after that sweep by UCLA. 5-13 in conference and a .500 record at 23-23. Ouch.

Well, he voted for a Duck sweep, and got it...but in the opposite direction. That, I believe, is the first time someone has scored a big yellow zero since I've been doing this, so that hurt his score. Sorry, Riverduck. I still like having you around, but maybe you need more ballroom dancing this year.
5/10/2011 6:42:29 PM
Topic:
50 IN 50: Oregon State's Andrew Susac (draft)

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Susac in the lineup as DH tonight. Cool
5/10/2011 6:51:13 PM
Topic:
GameTracker

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
I just love GameTracker's animations sometimes. That last play in the top of the 2nd, when Jared Norris caught a fly in RF for out #2, then threw it to 3rd, where Carter Bell let it get away from him, then hustled after it and threw home to nail the runner at home: Watch that play (#12) on GameTracker. Bell runs out to RF to take the ball from Norris and thrrows it all the way home for the assist. Applause
5/10/2011 7:42:14 PM
Topic:
GameTracker

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
I know, NeuLion. Not as user-friendly. I think UP uses the same system.

I don't remember which company did the one I thought was best, more than five years ago... They actually gave fairly accurate strike zone placement for every pitch, and showed the batter on the correct side of the plate. It was nice.
5/11/2011 12:48:08 AM
Topic:
Susac Returns

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Aaron Fitt already has a blog entry on this game.

Also this on Osich's no-hitter, which he was there for.
5/11/2011 6:39:05 PM
Topic:
Pac-10: Week 13 predictions

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Not a lot of exciting series this weekend (looking at them on paper). Cal has a bye, and UCLA is playing nonconference foe CS Bakersfield. All four of the conference series have upper rank teams visiting lower ranked teams. So there's no single “gotta watch that” series of ranked opponents, IMHO. This week's games:
  • Ariz at WSU
  • Stan at Ore
  • ASU at USC
  • OSU at UW
  • CSB at UCLA
Arizona visits the Palouse. The Wildcats got three near-real-game-experience practice sessions last week against some group of college students known mysteriously as “Alcorn State”, so the Cats are rested. Wazzu, OTOH, suffered yet another disappointing series loss to a pretty good (but not great) UNLV team. I keep thinking, with Wazzu's talent, that they will have to break out soon and string together a good three-game series one of these days. This could be it. If not, they're done...maybe already. (Programming note: This series runs Saturday through Monday.)

Stanford in Eugene. Yes, the Cardinal swept UW last week, in Palo Alto. But it wasn't that easy, even though UW is the worst team in the league. Twice the Huskies were ahead late and their bullpen was called on to put out fires with gasoline. Oregon's bullpen has also given away some games late, but they have better arms than UW. If they could only score a few runs....

ASU is probably the hottest team in the league now...hard to bet against them. If you look at where the Pac-10 coaches thought USC would be at the beginning of the season and compare to where they are now, you'd say they have overachieved. But is that enough for a “good, rebuilding” year? Do they have at least one well-rounded competitive game in them for this weekend?

Oregon State owns a 224-185 all-time edge over Washington, but the Huskies, even in bad years, have had a habit of taking at least one from the Beavers. This is one of those bad years for them (and it's a very good year for the Beavs), but they have narrowly missed beating some very good teams, such as Stanford last week, on the road, twice.

Cal State Bakersfield still has an outside shot to make the field of 64 in their first year of eligibility, but they have to win all 10 of their remaining games (according to Boyd). Whom do they play? Nine of their last ten games are against UCLA, Fresno, Cal Poly.
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