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Dodger Matt - all messages by user

5/1/2012 5:08:37 PM
Topic:
Ducks

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
I remember 2011. Oregon State was number one for several weeks in a row, and all the Beavers needed was to win one on the last weekend from the lowly Ducks in Eugene to clinch the Pac-10 crown. Alas, it was not to be.

I hate the thought of resorting to schadenfreude or revenge for my jollies, but the poetic justice of having an Oregon team roll into Corvallis for the Civil War at season's end with a one-game lead over Arizona or UCLA and getting swept to miss their first Pac title in 30-plus years? Man, that would be pretty hard for any Beaver fan not to root for. Cool
5/1/2012 5:26:18 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Week 12
All but one of the series this week look to be really good, and our nonconference series should be one of the better series in the nation.
  • Ore at Ariz
  • Stan at OSU
  • UW at USC
  • Cal at WSU
  • Utah at ASU
  • Purdue (XP) at UCLA
Week 11 Series
  • The conference’s top two teams battle it out in Tucson. Both Arizona and Oregon are fighting for one of the eight national seeds. A series win this weekend will solidify the winning team’s resume for that spot, and give the team the inside track on claiming the conference crown. This series pits the conference’s pitching leader (Oregon) against the offensive leader (Arizona). Arizona is number one in BA, SLG, OBP, runs, hits, RBIs, doubles, triples, total bases, total atbats, total appearances, sac flies, and steal attempts. They are second in homers and stolen bases. Oregon is eighth or worse in ten of those categories. On the defensive side, Oregon is tops in ERA, OBA, batters SO looking, wins, saves, runners picked off, fewest runs allowed, fewest errors. In contrast, Arizona is in the lower half in the conference in nine defensive and pitching categories, including fielding, errors, hits allowed, hit batters, balks, doubles and triples allowed, runs allowed, ERA, and OBA. Game one should be a pitching duel. After that, watch the slugfest.
  • A Stanford team on the upswing after beating UCLA two out of three on the road tries to repeat that feat against a struggling Oregon State squad that suffered a series loss to USC after beating UCLA the week before. It’s no question the Beavers play better at home, but playing on the road doesn’t seem to hurt the Cardinal. Stanford and OSU are pretty close in most offensive and defensive categories, but the Cardinal have the edge in practically every one. Given a slight home field advantage to OSU, this should make for a very even series. This series could break the hosting dreams of whichever team fails to win at least two games. Game two is the one to watch.
  • Washington is still on the inside of the bubble to make the postseason and needs to play about .500 ball for their remaining 13 games. USC is in the same boat. Add to that the fact that both teams have nearly identical conference and overall records and are in 8th and 9th place, and this looks like an even-matched series. Game one should be a good one.
  • Cal failed to gain lost ground last week, getting swept by Oregon. Wazzu likewise failed to gain by losing two games to ASU. Both teams have few chances left if they want to make the postseason. The Cougars need to win two-thirds of their remaining 16 games. The Bears probably have a little more wiggle room than that, but they have fewer games left. This is probably live or die weekend for both teams.
  • The inutile Utes deserve a break from the grueling Pac-12 baseball season, so they are traveling to Tempe to lie around the hotel pool, drink some iced tea, and, once a day, get their butts kicked on the diamond by the Sun Devils.
  • This week’s nonconference series matches a national seed hopeful from the Big Ten against one of the Pac-12’s national seed contenders. Purdue has all the right numbers, and they’re coming from a region that the NCAA wants to reward with regional hosts. All they are missing is a signature series victory over a warm-weather school from a power conference. [Enter UCLA stage left.] But the Bruins aren’t going to be willing victims. Expect both teams to host regardless of this series’s outcome, but Purdue’s national seed aspirations may evaporate if they don’t take two from UCLA. Purdue’s team ERA is #22 nationally at 2.99 (2/100ths higher than Oregon’s). Oddly, that is only third-best in the Big Ten, as Michigan State and Minnesota have better numbers. UCLA’s is 3.44. UCLA’s .398 OBP is 19th nationally; Purdue’s is a Big Ten second-best .382.
Please use the abbreviations in the bullets above, in the order they appear. (Purdue is XP.)
5/1/2012 9:10:29 PM
Topic:
Ducks

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Ducks got lucky against Gonzaga. The Bulldogs gave that one away. Outhit Oregon 9-3 but committed two errors, including one that led to the wining run.
5/1/2012 10:38:51 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
BeaverBob wrote:
It's hard to do worse than last place, so here goes....

Ariz 3-0
OSU 2-1
USC 2-1
?
ASU 3-0
UCLA 3-0

If you're trying to do worse than last place, omitting a pick is a good start.

Connor, I hope you average 3 points on your first two picks.
5/2/2012 5:06:33 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Riverduck wrote:
UO- 2-1
Stan 2-1
USC 2-1
ASU 3-0
UCLA 3-0
Starting to come down to the wire. I say Oregon will still have the most wins of all pac teams after the dust settles this week. And I will stick to my guns. I will always take pitching and defense over hot bats any day of the week. And I am sure Casey would say the same..
But then again.. we all know this- Right? http://research.sabr.org/journals/pitching-defesnse
edited by Riverduck on 5/1/2012
edited by Riverduck on 5/1/2012
edited by Riverduck on 5/1/2012
edited by Riverduck on 5/1/2012

Let's see if I remember how to count to six. 1, 2, 3, 4, um. RiverDuck, help me out here. Do you have five or six picks?
5/2/2012 7:25:43 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Blue UK-Ducks? From Dulwich? (Sounds like a happenin' town.)

Actually, a town in Oregon has a new sister city in the UK, with a name very much like the one above. And it looks like the descendant of the guy who founded the Oregonian city may be our very own Beaver Bob. (The names look similar anyway.) Check out this exciting story and tell me what you think.

RiverDuck, if you're reluctant to share Beaver abuse, I'm sure the Beavs on board would be willing to double it so you still get your usual amount. (I think we ought to ease Duckfan127 in a bit though. Give him a couple days' free pass at least.)
5/2/2012 7:28:08 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Duckfan127 wrote:
Or maybe a UO student hint hint

You'll all have to take my word for it, but I actually saw a guy in the supermarket today wearing a "Duck Baseball" t-shirt. If I had been thinking clearly I would have taken a photo of him with my cellphone, but he got away before I could gather my wits.

Honest!
5/2/2012 7:30:18 PM
Topic:
Ducks and Gonzaga - Game 2 Radio

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Go Zags!
5/2/2012 8:22:09 PM
Topic:
Ducks and Gonzaga - Game 2 Radio

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Flamion comes in and walks the four batters he faces. I like this kid. I hope he improves over the next three weeks. I would like to see him come into all three games at Goss Stadium at Coleman Field later this month.
5/2/2012 8:24:55 PM
Topic:
We Finally get our 3rd Baseman Back!!!!

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
I'm just hoping we can get our country back.

ABO 2012
5/2/2012 10:15:17 PM
Topic:
Ducks and Gonzaga - Game 2 Radio

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Wow, another skin-o-the-teeth survival win by the Ducks. All Sherfy needed was another HBP to tie it with the bags loaded.
5/3/2012 10:51:31 AM
Topic:
Ducks and Gonzaga - Game 2 Radio

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Riverduck wrote:
This year is strange, it is like the baseball gods are being nice to us. Can't explain it.

I can....

Goss Stadium at Coleman Field. The gods want payback.
5/3/2012 11:46:55 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Almost forgot to post my picks.

Ariz 2-1
OSU 2-1
USC 2-1
WSU 2-1
ASU 3-0
UCLA 2-1

Nothing special. And while I could pick up a few points if I win every series, not enough to make a dent. My picks are too close to the leaders'.
5/3/2012 11:57:27 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Pick analysis

This week's top two series have been voted closest, which should make for some excitement. Starting from the easiest first....
  • ASU is overwhelming favorite to pummel the Utes, 13/0 with 12 sweeps.
  • Second easiest by vote raised at least one of my eyebrows: UCLA 13/0 over Purdue with 5 sweeps. (This looks to me like the upset special. Surprised nobody gives Purdue a chance. Remember Maryland?)
  • USC 12/1 over UW with 2 sweeps was nearly a third unanimous vote to win.
  • Wazzu is a clear favorite over Cal, 11/2 with one sweep.
  • Arizona gets the nod over Oregon 10/3 with 4 sweeps, but the Ducks also got 1 sweep vote.
  • And this week's closest series should be Stanford 8/5 over Oregon State with 3 sweeps. It should be noted, however, that 4 of those 5 OSU votes are from OSU fans, so take that into consideration.
5/4/2012 11:09:16 AM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Interesting that Kendall gives the Beavers the nod. Also, he lists Oregon State LHP Ben Wetzler vs. Stanford RHP Mark Appel as one of the pitching matchups to watch. Yes, that one should be good, and I sure hope Benny puts on his warpaint and comes out prepared to battle from inning one. But I'm personally more interested in the Saturday game, when southpaws Jace Fry and Brett Mooneyham square off.
5/4/2012 5:00:55 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
TV broadcast of Saturday's OSU-Stanford game
    "Saturday’s game will be broadcast live on KEZI 9.2 (channel 309 digital) in the Corvallis/Eugene region and ROOT Sports in the rest of the Northwest. It can also be seen nationally on FCS channel 415 (Comcast)."
Does anyone know whether this will be viewable as a live stream over the internet someplace? My guess is no, but I thought I'd ask....
5/4/2012 6:41:57 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Every time my wife hears Michael Conforto’s name on the radio broadcasts, she repeats the name and asks about it. I assumed it was Italian. She looked it up and decided it’s Portuguese. (My wife lived much of her childhood in Brazil and speaks Portuguese, along with four other languages.) Anyway, on the pregame show tonight, Mike Parker was interviewing Conforto’s mom. (It’s moms’ weekend on the Corvallis campus, evidently.)

So Parker says Tracie Conforto was an Olympic gold medalist in synchronized swimming. (My wife was on this like lightning, checking her out online while the interview was going on, because of her fascination with the Conforto surname.) I was totally unaware of this athletic pedigree. Why? Because the personal bios on each player often list even remote great-uncles who played badminton for Ballet Woods Junior College in the 1920s, but there is nary a mention of mother Conforto on Michael’s bio. Dad? Played football at Penn State. Sister? Soccer at Azusa Pacific. Mom? Hmmm....

Well, Michael’s mom is a knockout. Here are a couple links to her synchronized swimming routines.
Why no mention of Tracie Ruiz-Conforto’s Olympic medals, Hank Hager?
5/4/2012 6:50:54 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Benny has issued three free passes already in two innings. He hasn't sustained any damage from these mistakes yet, but that kind of performance doesn't give me a warm fuzzy.
5/4/2012 7:28:11 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Ducks looking good against Arizona's Kurt Heyer so far. Six hits and three runs after three innings.
5/4/2012 10:07:53 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 12

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Yuck. What a horrible end to an awesome Ben Wetzler performance. I must be missing something in Yeskie's pitching choices and his philosophy. Why Ryan Gorton in such a close game? Of course he gives up a double and a triple. Why let Scott Schultz throw only one pitch (a popup out)? Why pitch Matt Boyd to only one batter (a strikeout)? Why bring in Brocker with a runner on third? Okay, he struck the last guy out. Good. But then to send him out there again in the 9th? Everyone knows he has trouble, especially in close games, especially late in close games. Why Schultz and Boyd, two guys with great results, only pitch to two batters? And Brocker faces seven, four of whom reach safely? Where was Bryant? Where was Starr? Why only one batter for Boyd?

Credit Stanford. They have a record of doing this to a lot of teams: Do nothing, do nothing, do nothing...then BAM! Four or five runs in the 8th or 9th to win it. But this could have been won with better pitching management. I am not going to jump on the fire Yeskie bandwagon, but his decisions have me scratching my head all the time. And I have to wonder if it is only he making the horrible decisions. Would not Casey, watching the game, react the way the rest of us Beaver fans do? "Nate, what? You're bringing Brocker in again in a close game in the late innings? Let's keep Boyd in there a few more batters until Bryant is warm." Would Casey be sitting there saying, "Yeah, okay, whatever you want to do. I'm just watching the game. I don't have any say on the pitching"?

There's more going on than we are getting from GameTracker.

WildCard, nice relief pitching there tonight. Stanford's pen did a hell of a lot better than Oregon State's. Congrats.
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