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Dodger Matt - all messages by user

4/12/2012 7:41:38 PM
Topic:
Week 8 in Pac-12 Baseball

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
ASU74 wrote:
BB, Thanks for the compliment, but unwarranted. Cut & paste from the Pac 12 website, whereas DM's info is from his own research. Just wanted to pass on the info to everyone.

This made me smile. I must admit, however, that there have been a number of times I jumped to a Pac-12 team's website to copy-n-paste some of their verbiage for game summaries.

But I don't often go to the Pac-12 website, so Bob's compliment is still spot on. I mean, whoda thunk that Wazzu and UW would be leading the nation in anything this year? (I just want to see some mention next week of Conforto smacking two three-run homers against Nevada. If pac-12.org doesn't, then it is incumbent on you to edit and add that info.)
4/12/2012 8:07:10 PM
Topic:
Conference ISRs

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
The ISR has no impact on postseason selections: We've known that for years. We also know that even the selection committee realizes that the RPI is a poor guide to selecting the teams that should be included, and they have minimized its importance in their selection criteria lately. It's not like I "found" Boyd a few years ago and think he is god because my team is rated higher using his system than the Rat's Patootie Index.

Also, in my own arrogant, self-centered way, I happen to think that if the Dodger Matt Poll were used to select the field of 64, we might have a better field than what the selection committee produces. Maybe I should publish a Dodger Matt Poll one of these days. Ha!
4/12/2012 8:17:59 PM
Topic:
National Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Ark 2-1
CSF 2-1
Stan 2-1
Ariz 2-1
Neb 2-1
4/12/2012 10:29:21 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Pick analysis

I haven't done a pick analysis in a while, but here goes.
  • OSU is the overwhelming favorite this week, with only RD NOT picking a 3-0 sweep over Arkansas-Pine bluff (yet still giving the Beavers a 2-1 win).
  • Next would be ASU, a 12-0 favorite (3 sweep) over USC
  • Third would be Wazzu over Utah, 10-2, even though nobody (surprisingly) picked the Cougs to sweep at home.
  • Arizona at home against UCLA is number 4—a 9-3 favorite, with 1 sweep.
  • The 5th pick (not very easy to decide) is Stanford over Oregon, 8-4, with one sweep for each team. Safe to say one of those two predictors will be in the basement next week. ;-)
  • The hardest pick this week (most perfectly even) is UW at Cal, an even 6-6 split, with nobody predicting a sweep.
4/13/2012 7:00:03 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
OpihiMan wrote:
I feel like we need a Chris Crocker "Leave Riverduck Alone"

If you have no idea what I'm referring to see here.
edited by OpihiMan on 4/13/2012

My son had to explain to me the back story for this LG-BLT rant. Made it all the funnier when compared to a Duck fan. Sorry, RD. No correlation to you. But still.... :p
4/13/2012 10:39:40 PM
Topic:
Kentucky vs. Arkansas

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Hogfan, I've always been skeptical of Kentucky because they always seem to rack up high OOC records by paying patsies, but this year's team seems legitimate. What's your take on the Wildcats?
4/14/2012 11:26:19 AM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Riverduck wrote:
Anyway- the gluten statement was made because I just found out my son was intolerant to wheat, and that was a huge breakthrough for my family.

My wife was diagnosed with celiac last year, so I know what you're going through. It's always fun asking for a gluten-free menu when we eat out, then having to wait for someone to find the computer printout menu somewhere hidden in the manager's office, and my wife trying to decide, after everyone else has ordered a long time ago, which of the items (no pictures!) sound as good as the real ones.
4/14/2012 2:49:41 PM
Topic:
Predict who will win the Pac

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Pac-12 postseason selections and hosting

For those of you not familiar with Boyd's RPI Needs Report, he lists all teams that still have a chance to make the postseason with their RPI "needs" over their remaining schedule to finish within the top 8 RPI (national seed), top 16 (regional host), top 32 (a number 2 seed), and top 45 (the effective cutoff point for making the postseason). Here are the Pac-12 teams (minus Utah, who cannot make the postseason at all this year with their record).
Team . . . . . . RPI . . . 8  . . . 16 . . . 32 . . . 45 . . ROWP

UCLA . . . . . . . 4 . . 15-11. . 13-13. . 6-20 . . 3-23 . . 0.637
Stanford . . . . .14 . . 21-4 . . 19-6 . . 13-12. . 9-16 . . 0.567
Arizona . . . . . 16 . . 17-5 . . 15-7 . . 8-14 . . 5-17 . . 0.608
Oregon . . . . . 19 . . 21-8 . . 19-10. . 12-17. . 8-21 . . 0.619
Oregon State . . 32 . . 24-0 . . 22-2 . . 15-9 . . 11-13. . 0.581
Washington . . . 35 . . 23-0 . . 21-2 . . 15-8 . . 11-12. . 0.578
Arizona State . . 37 . . 22-0 . . 20-2 . . 13-9 . . 9-13 . . 0.604
USC . . . . . . . 40 . . 22-2 . . 20-4 . . 14-10. . 10-14. . 0.624
Wazzu . . . . . . 62 . . -----. . 25-1 . . 18-8 . . 14-12. . 0.606
California . . . 70 . . -----. . -----. . 16-6 . . 13-9 . . 0.609
  • UCLA looks almost like a lock for a national seed.
  • Stanford, Arizona, and Oregon all look like pretty good candidates to be regional hosts.
  • OSU, UW, and USC are most likely going to be #2 seeds, shipped out to who knows where.
  • ASU is banned from postseason play.
  • Wazzu and Cal still have a shot at postseason play.
4/14/2012 2:54:37 PM
Topic:
Stanford meltdown?

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Mooneyham walks two, hits another, tosses one to the backstop (passed ball), and Oregon scores two in the 3rd. Stanford's meltdown continues.
4/14/2012 3:00:30 PM
Topic:
Stanford meltdown?

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
I think I jumped in a tad prematurely. The meltdown accelerates as Mooneyham surrenders a 3-run homer to Ryon Healy. Ducks up 5-0.
4/14/2012 3:33:04 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Beaver fans, if anyone knows: I haven't heard all the pregame stuff over the last week, so Mike Parker may have covered this. But I'm wondering if anyone knows what is behind the recent pitching rotation shakeup.
  • Taylor Starr got his first OSU start ever, against Nevada. I get that. A midweek game, and you give the hard-luck kid who sat out two seasons with two TJ surgeries his chance to start a game. Great stuff.
  • Then Dan Child, who has been pretty solid as our #2, started the Wednesday game against Nevada. Did we not have another kid we wanted to try out in the starting position? Whatever happened to Adam Duke, BTW?
  • Friday's game against Arkansas-Blind Puff, Wetzler. No surprise.
  • Saturday, Jace Fry starts. Okay, that was Dan Child's slot, but he probably doesn't get the start after starting just four days ago. But do they move Child into the Sunday start because Fry has improved enough to become our #2? Or have they decided to move somebody else into the Sunday slot starting tomorrow?
4/14/2012 4:02:44 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
I just heard Parker say Taylor Starr will get tomorrow's start, so I'm more confused. Unless the whole purpose is to move Fry to Saturdays and Child to Sundays in time for next week's series against UCLA.
4/14/2012 4:53:00 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Tyler Smith's hitting streak ends at 14 games. He was 0 for 1 today with three walks, and was slated to get his final plate appearance in the 7th inning, but Joey Matthews hit a leadoff solo homer to invoke a 10-run rule victory.
4/14/2012 5:17:24 PM
Topic:
West Coast Conference

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Thought I'd throw something out there for the WCC fans. This is related to the Pac-12, so Pac-12 fans might find it of interest as well.

First, since I live in the Portland metro area, I am interested in what the University of Portland does. I love the fact that they are currently ranked number one in the nation in team ERA, and they are on the brink of making Kendall's projections. They are also playing Pepperdine in Malibu this weekend, where my oldest daughter and wife are visiting. (She's trying to decide on a law school to attend.) I laughed at them that our weather was pretty darn good the last couple days, yet the Pepperdine-Portland game yesterday was postponed due to rain.

Sorry for the long preamble. Here is the funny thing. Pac-12 fans might recognize these names:
  • Matt Gelalich or Pepperdine: PERSONAL: Given name is Matthew Nicholas Gelalich...Son of Greg and Karyn Gelalich...Has two brothers, Jeff (20) and Danny (14)...Brother Jeff plays baseball at UCLA...Majoring in sports medicine...Career goal is to become a dentist...Loves baseball because it forces you to deal with adversity and to learn from your mistakes.
  • Kris Kauppila of Portland: PERSONAL: Born on Oct. 2, 1989 in Hollywood, Calif. Son of Lonnie and Georgia Kauppila. Dad played baseball at the University of Florida. Has one younger brother, Lonnie, who plays for Stanford. Both brothers played together for two years at Cresecent Valley High--Kris at short and Lonnie at third. Major is business.
4/15/2012 10:14:41 AM
Topic:
Pat Casey Records 600th Victory

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Riverduck wrote:
OpihiMan wrote:
Doesn't matter who you beat to get the number...600 is impressive
Horton got 600 as well. But he had to beat a nationally ranked team to do it.


Not quite. Casey just notched his 600th victory with Oregon State. "Casey, who has an OSU record of 600-367-4 in 18 seasons, is the 15th coach in Pac-12 Conference history to reach that plateau. He's now 13 wins away from tying Jack Riley for the most in an Oregon State uniform." Also, "on May 19, 2009, Casey became just the third head coach in school history to record 500 victories with the Beavers when OSU defeated Oregon." I guess those milestone victories just keep coming against scrub teams. ;-)

In seven seasons at George Fox, his baseball team compiled a 171-113-1 record.
Casey's all-time record currently sits at 771-480-5.

Horton, OTOH, will probably never reach that milestone. He may have reached 600 total wins (something Casey did a couple years ago), but not with one team. "During his tenure with the Titans, Horton compiled an overall record of 490-212-1 (.698)." Then he left Fullerton for Eugene and rolled back the counter. Currently at 110-99 at Duck U, and averaging 33 wins a season, Horton could break the 600 mark with the Ducks sometime in 2027. Somehow I don't think he'll be coaching Oregon for the next 15 years.
4/15/2012 10:31:08 AM
Topic:
Pat Casey Records 600th Victory

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Another thing: "Pat Casey needs four wins to become the 14th-winningest coach in Pac-12 history. That would surpass Washington State’s “Buck” Bailey, who was in Pullman from 1927-42 and 1946-61." Looking at OSU's schedule, I'm guessing that win come against UCLA. Or it could be against the Ducks. Cool
4/15/2012 3:10:09 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Oregon State Freshman Michael Conforto is a beast. Four more RBIs today. Hard to tell because the NCAA doesn't update its stats until after the weekend, but Conforto was in an 8-way tie for 19th in RBIs in Division I at the beginning of the week with 36 RBIs. There were nine players with 37, and the top RBI total was 46. Conforto now has 50.

In RBIs per game, he was already #6 with 1.33 PG (which I guarantee has gone up) and the number 1 being 1.48 per game.
4/15/2012 4:04:02 PM
Topic:
#1 upset

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
CHESTNUT HILL, Mass. - The Boston College baseball team scored a season-high 17 runs as it won the series finale against No. 1 Florida State, 17-6, Sunday afternoon at Eddie Pellagrini Diamond at Commander Shea Field. It was the most runs allowed by the Seminoles in an ACC game since the 2004 season.
4/15/2012 5:06:15 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Week 9 Summary
  • Arizona beat UCLA in a close 4-3 game one before getting blown out 15-3 in game two. In the rubber game, the Bruins came from 1-0 and 2-1 deficits to take control and beat the Wildcats, setting up a three-way tie for first in the conference between UCLA, Oregon, and Arizona, all three at 10-5.
    UCLA wins series 2-1.
  • Oregon showed this weekend that they are for real. After sweeping ASU and taking to 2 of 3 at UCLA, the Ducks took their third consecutive series from a top-tier Pac-12 team, beating Stanford 2 games to 1 in Palo Alto. Oregon is now tied for first in the conference. Stanford, reeling now in conference play with a 4-8 record, gets no rest as they have to face the ASU Spoiler Devils next week, then travel to UCLA and OSU.
    Oregon wins series 2-1.
  • ASU improves its futile year by downing another conference foe. USC’s postseason chances took a hit after getting swept by the banned Sun Devils. USC hardly competed with ASU, getting outscored 17-2 overall and outhit 30-14.
    ASU sweeps series 3-0.
  • The Huskies scored two in the top of the 9th to break a 3-3 tie and salvage a win. Cal moves out of 11th place into a 9th place tie with...Stanford. Utah takes its rightful place in the cellar.
    Cal wins series 2-1.
  • The Utah-Wazzu series did not live up to its schizophrenic feast-or-famine expectations. Wazzu won, 2-1, but the games were pretty close and there was no blowout.
    Wazzu wins series 2-1.
  • OSU struggled against UAPB in game one, but turned on the jets in the remaining two games. The Golden Lions travel south to Eugene to play a Monday game against the Ducks.
    Oregon State sweeps series 3-0.

edited by Dodger Matt on 4/16/2012
4/15/2012 5:20:04 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Week 9 scores

For a second week in a row, RiverDuck comes out on top and is now near the top of the average standings, a dramatic turnaround from cellar to attic.
  • 25.0 RiverDuck
  • 23.0 MostUnknown
  • 23.0 Rowdy
  • 22.0 ConnorOSU
  • 21.0 ASU74
  • 21.0 Florida Beaver
  • 21.0 cswanson2k7
  • 21.0 FullertonBaseballFan
  • 20.0 WildCard85
  • 19.0 Dodger Matt
  • 19.0 OpihiMan
  • 18.0 BeaverBob
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