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Dodger Matt - all messages by user

4/5/2012 10:20:51 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 8

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
BeaverBob wrote:
I missed the Beaver's pregame show. Did anybody hear why Child started at pitcher and not Wetzler?
What I understood was both Benny and Dan had pitched on the same day last weekend in the DH, Dan had pitched less (although the pitch count still sounded high), and had said he felt ready, so they gave Wetzler the extra day of rest, which will be one less than what he's used to.

I think Child was doing fine until that 4-run inning. And that was something of an anomaly, with the IBB and all of those runs coming on two hits and bases empty. Just tough. Then it snowballs, so give the other arms some work. We still have two games.
edited by Dodger Matt on 4/5/2012
4/6/2012 8:50:28 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 8

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
OpihiMan wrote:
Am I the only one having problems with the streaming link...the video will not load on any of my computers

It's not working for me either.

Utah beats Arizona. UW beats Stanford.
4/6/2012 9:23:22 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 8

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Cole Brocker comes in. Um. Not sure how I feel about this.
4/6/2012 9:24:35 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 8

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
USC reverses yesterday's late-inning collapse with a two-out two-run single to beat Cal 2-1 in the bottom of the 9th.
4/7/2012 4:15:03 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 8

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
This is as bad as I can remember the Beavers playing a series. Maybe last season against the Ducks was as bad. I hate to get down on a player, but I tense up whenever Brocker comes in, especially when we have less than a 5-run lead. Kind of like when Kevin "Gas Can" Rhoderick used to throw flammable fuel on a fire in late innings a couple years ago. I don't why they didn't bring in Boyd either. I don't know what Brocker's capabilities are, but it can't be good for him to get shelled and appear to be losing all of these games for the team.
4/7/2012 11:36:27 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 8

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Week 8 Summary
  • Oregon handled UCLA in the first two games easily, winning 6-2 and 8-3. In game three, the Ducks had a 5-run 2nd that chased starter Grant Watson, but the Bruins came back and tied it 5-5 after five. They took the lead 7-6 in the 7th, and added an 8th run for the final score in the 8th.
    Oregon wins series 2-1.
  • Arizona State scored the majority of their runs in the whole series with two outs. OSU’s starting pitching was good, but allowed too many free passes, and those walks came back to hurt them. In game three, Jace Fry scattered 7 hits over 7.1 innings, but the Beavers left too many men on base and played subpar defensively, and ASU tied it 1-1 in the bottom of the 8th, took a 2-1 lead off reliever Cole Brocker, then jumped to a 5-1 lead when Brocker gave up a 2-out 3-run homer.
    Arizona State sweeps series 3-0.
  • The Cardinal came back from a 2-0 deficit to score the final 5 to take game one, but the Huskies led game two from the 1st inning on and even the series on a 7-6 win. In the rubber game, UW tied it 4-4 in the 7th, then 6-6 in the 8th. But Stanford scored two unanswered runs in the 9th for an 8-6 victory and 2-1 series victory.
    Stanford wins series 2-1.
  • In game one, USC led 4-0 after five, but Cal scored the next five, including two in the top of the 9th to win it 5-4. The Trojans duplicated that effect in game two, scoring two in the bottom of the 9th for a come-from-behind 2-1 victory to even the series. In the rubber game, Cal scored one to tie it 2-2 in the top of the 9th. Garrett Stubbs drew a bases loaded walk in the bottom of the 9th to beat Cal 3-2 and give the Trojans their second walk-off win in the series.
    USC wins series 2-1.
  • Utah continues to amaze, winning games against top Pac-12 teams that they shouldn’t and showing competitiveness in the games they lose. They were blown out 11-2 in game one, but scored 5 runs in their last two atbats in game two to beat Arizona 7-6. The Utes also put a 5-run inning on Arizona in game three to tie the game 7-7 before falling 11-7. The Utes nearly matched Arizona in the rubber game in hits, 14-12.
    Arizona wins series 2-1.
  • The Cougs skinned by to a 2-1 win in game one by scoring one in the 8th and one in the 9th. In game two, Wazzu blew Seattle’s doors off, 19-1. In game three, Seattle came from behind three times, the final time in the 8th inning, to defeat Washington State for the first time since 1968.
    Washington State wins series 2-1.

edited by Dodger Matt on 4/8/2012
4/7/2012 11:54:36 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 8

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Week 8 scores

Hell hath frozen over: RiverDuck has top score this week. Whaaaaa?
  • 23.0 RiverDuck
  • 20.0 borgguy
  • 20.0 FullertonBaseballFan
  • 20.0 MostUnknown
  • 20.0 WildCard85
  • 19.0 ASU74
  • 18.0 BeaverBeliever20
  • 18.0 ConnorOSU
  • 17.0 BeaverBob
  • 17.0 Dodger Matt
  • 17.0 Florida Beaver
  • 14.0 OpihiMan
4/8/2012 11:25:07 AM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 8

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
This weekend was death for the Beavers, but I predict an Oregon State resurrection. The rest of the season will be better.

Happy Easter, everyone! (Even RiverDuck.)
4/8/2012 12:25:34 PM
Topic:
Predict who will win the Pac

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Kinda tough at this point, but here's how I look at it. Taking the top six teams--Arizona, UCLA, Oregon, OSU, ASU, and Stanford--and comparing their records against each other, we see this (teams already played in parentheses):
  • Arizona 5-1 (Stanford, OSU)
  • Oregon 5-1 (ASU, UCLA)
  • UCLA 3-3 (Oregon, ASU)
  • ASU 4-5 (UCLA, Oregon, OSU)
  • Oregon State 1-5 (Arizona, ASU)
  • Stanford 0-3 (Arizona)
Looking at it this way, Arizona and Oregon have the inside track, and OSU and Stanford will have to turn things around to contend. Upcoming schedule:

  • Arizona: UCLA, Oregon, ASU
  • Oregon: @Arizona, @Stanford, @OSU
  • UCLA: @Arizona, @OSU, Stanford
  • ASU: @Stanford, @Arizona
  • Oregon State: UCLA, Stanford, Oregon
  • Stanford: Oregon, ASU, @UCLA, @OSU
Arizona has the easiest path going forward with all three remaining opponents at home, and Oregon has all three on the road. Every team (except rivalless Utah) plays its rivalry game the last weekend, and the only teams on this list that have rivals also on the list are are Arizona-ASU and Oregon-OSU. Arizona plays it at home, albeit against a team that will have nothing after that to play for, so add that extra incentive for ASU into the mix. But Oregon plays the Civil War in Corvallis, against a team they swept at home last year (and in the process knocked them out of national seed territory). I see AZ staying at or near the top, and Oregon dropping.

UCLA and ASU play the majority of their remaining games on the road. I don't see either team making a move upward. I think both will be around the .500 mark against these teams when all is said and done.
I see the greatest probability of upward movement from OSU and Stanford. OSU has all three remaining series at home. And I don't think anybody expects Stanford to do as poorly as they have so far in conference. Can either team make up the ground they've lost? OSU could move a couple slots upward, but probably not all the way up. Stanford probably has the most upward potential.
If I were to guess right now, I'd say the top six will look something like this:
  • Arizona
  • Stanford
  • UCLA
  • Oregon State
  • Oregon
  • Arizona State
4/9/2012 6:39:30 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Week 9

This week features series between the 1st and 2nd place teams and two other teams in the top tier. On the down side, we also have two series pitting the bottom four teams against each other.

This week's games
  • UCLA at Arizona
  • Oregon at Stanford
  • USC at Arizona State
  • Washington at Cal
  • Utah at Wazzu
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Oregon State
Week 9 Series
  • Our headliner this week is the most important conference series yet this year, as 2nd place UCLA and 1st place Arizona square off for the league lead. The Wildcats have a one-game lead over UCLA, although the Bruins have the better overall record (.750 vs. .719).
  • Oregon heads to Palo Alto to take on a befuddled Stanford team that was swept by Arizona and barely managed to take a 2-1 series from Washington. These teams have traded personalities, as practically nobody expected Oregon to be tied for 2nd, and nobody expected Stanford to be tied with UW for 7th. This could be the weekend that turns things around for the Cardinal. Or it could signal Oregon’s ability to remain at the top and challenge for the conference title.
  • Two of the conference’s most storied programs meet in the desert, as USC visits ASU. The Trojans are on the upswing this year and could benefit from beating an Arizona State team that is playing for pride this year. The Devils bounced back from their 0-3 weekend against the Ducks by handing the Beavers a 3-0 sweep.
  • The 7th place Washington Huskies take on 11th place Cal in Berkeley. If we had any Cal or Washington fans interested, I might expound more on this, but c’est la vie.
  • Inconsistency rollercoaster series alert! Utah, the league’s worst team, which has wins against some of the best teams in the league, plays against Wazzu, the league’s Jekyll-n-Hyde team, in what could be a 21st century schizoid baseball series. Both teams have already played three common conference opponents: Arizona, UCLA, and USC. (Utah has also played Oregon.) Against those common opponents, Wazzu has a win against each and is 3-5; and Utah is 2-7 versus those three, with a win against Arizona and Oregon, plus two wins over USC for a conference record of 4-8. Both teams have beaten some good teams and lost to some pretty bad ones. That trend could continue for both this weekend.
  • The blowout series this week is also the nonconference series: Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Oregon State. The Golden Lions are in the SWAC, perennially one of the weakest conferences in D1 baseball, and they currently sit on a 6-25 record. I read a couple of blog entries from their center fielder to see how the team is coping with a Mendoza Line winning percentage, and the young man has a refreshingly upbeat attitude. Baseball is humbling, and players on losing teams who persevere often have great attitudes. One other crazy diamond note about UAPB: They have a pitcher named “Red” Floyd.
4/9/2012 7:45:11 PM
Topic:
Predict who will win the Pac

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Florida Beaver wrote:
I'd say, looking at the Oregon Ducks three years of play (I am not including this year, which is the "present" year, hence it is not "history" yet) with a overall record of 87-92, and a conference record of 28-40, historically, you suck.


This was funny.
4/9/2012 9:56:57 PM
Topic:
Conference ISRs

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Boyd's conference ISRs (2012-04-09) show something interesting.... See if you can find it.

Division I Overall
Rank Rating W L W L SoS Conference

1 . . . 115.0 . . . 196-123 . . . 196-123 . . . 1 . . . Pac 12
2 . . . 113.6 . . . 240-146 . . . 240-146 . . . 3 . . . ACC
3 . . . 113.3 . . . 249-132 . . . 249-132 . . . 5 . . . SEC
4 . . . 111.0 . . . 153-110 . . . 153-110 . . . 4 . . . WCC
5 . . . 108.7 . . . 164-115 . . . 164-115 . . . 8 . . . Big 12
6 . . . 108.0 . . . 129-133 . . . 129-133 . . . 2 . . . Big West

[/font] That's right, the WCC is #4, two slots ahead of the Big West. Boyd has San Diego at 13, Gonzaga at 19, Portland and Pepperdine at 38 and 39. Four teams in the top 40. Portland even entered Kendall's rankings this week, at #50.

I bet some of you thought I was going to remark on that number one conference. Naah.

Oh, but looky! SEC is 3rd and their SOS is #5. There just ain't no gimme series in the SEC. Every week's a battle. They must get those gimmes someplace else....
4/11/2012 6:06:09 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Riverduck wrote:
Go Big or go to the basement.
UO 3-0
UCLA 2-1
ASU 3-0
WSU 2-1
OSU 3-0
Time for you to go to the basement. You need to keep the score predictions in order, so you don't screw up (in multiple ways): Ariz-UCLA comes first. and you entirely left out UW-Cal. Give me a score prediction for that game before game time, or I'll have to give you a Big Yellow Zero.
edited by Dodger Matt on 4/11/2012
4/11/2012 6:29:06 PM
Topic:
Conference ISRs

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Maybe this more to people's liking. Conference pseudorat patooties:

The Big West drops off entirely, down to number 9. C-USA magically appears, and the Pac and WCC drop two slots. Which is more accurate?

Division I Overall
Rank Rating W L W L Conference

1 . . . 0.593 . . . 244-150. . . 244-150 . . . ACC
2 . . . 0.588 . . . 256-135. . . 257-135 . . . SEC
3 . . . 0.575 . . . 204-129. . . 204-129 . . . Pac 12
4 . . . 0.550 . . . 175-117. . . 175-117 . . . C-USA
5 . . . 0.546 . . . 168-117. . . 170-117 . . . Big 12
6 . . . 0.546 . . . 158-113. . . 161-113 . . . WCC
4/11/2012 6:36:03 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
The "Big Yellow Zero" was a term that a Pepperdine fan and I used at the Rivals board to describe the Chicken-in-Chief. It applied equally to Duck fans and other opponents to free market principles and the Constitution. I guess in the wake of the Solyndra scandal and fuelish drivel over harnessing algae as a source of energy to power our Priuses, we could also now refer to these types as Big Green Zeros. I'm happy to accommodate people with new and creative insults.
4/11/2012 8:52:06 PM
Topic:
Q&A: Chatting with USC's Frank Cruz (4.11)

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Good interview. I like Frank Cruz a little more every time I learn something about him. Here's one thing, for example:

"Something else I'd just change about college baseball is move to wooden bats."

Hey, they use them in the summer leagues. Why not?
edited by Dodger Matt on 4/11/2012
4/11/2012 9:02:58 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Ariz 2-1
Stan 2-1
ASU 2-1
UW 2-1
WSU 2-1
OSU 3-0
4/12/2012 6:58:34 PM
Topic:
Conference ISRs

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
MiamiBaseball wrote:
I don't think anyone cares.

Well, I was just trying to start a discussion. And now I know your middle name must be "Anyone" and you refer to yourself in the third person. Thanks for weighing in, Anyone!

Hedegoba88 wrote:
And people make fun of SEC fans about conference pride.

Mine is more of a regional pride thang. I thought I might get one of the two WCC fans here to chime in by pointing out how well that conference is doing this year, but failing that, I thought I might rile an SEC fan or two. Are you a Hog fan? Can't tell.... There are dozens of SEC fans who ask Kendall questions on his chat, but nary a one pokes his head up on the regular discussion threads.

As for the conference pride issue: I have yet to hear anyone at a Pac-12 game, against another conference--regardless of the sport--chant "Pac-12! Pac-12! Pac-12!" Cool
4/12/2012 7:13:58 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 9

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Riverduck wrote:
Well, as long as it is gluten free.. why not?

That is such an awesome apropos-of-nothing response, I may have to steal it for...just about everything.

    STATIST: "Your 'raise' this year is -10%, your benefits are being cut, copays will increase, gas prices will skyrocket, home values plummet, and our enemies will develop nuclear weapons that they will use on our allies and us."

    RIVERDUCK: "Hmmm. Will all of this be gluten-free?"

    STATIST: "Of course. And we'll throw in free contraceptives."

    RIVERDUCK: "All right! Why not?"
4/12/2012 7:27:37 PM
Topic:
Conference ISRs

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
You misunderstand. I know nobody "took the bait". I was only interested in generating a discussion. The fact that the only comment I got was a statement that nobody cares was disheartening, but not something that "hurt my soul" or pierced my thin skin. But it did remind me of what I see on a lot of Yahoo stories: People posting that they don't care. "This is not news. I don't care, my dog doesn't care, and nobody cares." Really? Why comment if you don't care?

So....Miami fan. If the postseason seedings were based on the ISRs instead of the RPIs... WOULD YOU CARE?

Probably not. There isn't much difference in your team's ranking at the moment. But sometimes these things do matter. And sometimes people care.
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