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Dodger Matt - all messages by user

2/28/2012 7:43:54 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 3

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Week 3

A couple of good OOC series this week. For a change, I’ve slipped Stanford down one slot on the importance/interest scale because Fresno State is not as high-profile an opponent as their last two (or next week’s). And I think USC vs. UNC could be a good series. The Trojans will still be underdogs, but I think they can take at least one, and if they do, that would be a pretty good indication of how much Frank Cruz has done to turn this program around. Long Beach at Oregon also looks pretty good, after CSULB took the series from Cal last week, and Oregon is on the rise after winning seven straight, including sweeping Vanderbilt on the road. Next we have ASU and OSU playing the exact same four opponents in Surprise. I’ve decided to limit this to the same three teams for both squads (we’re leaving St. Louis out since I think they are probably the weakest of the four), so we can get a more even comparison. So OSU’s Thursday night game will be the start of this week’s action, and we’ll skip their Saturday game. St. Joe at UW and Sac State at UCLA look pretty similar, with both home teams favored, but the Huskies probably looked like an underdog to most casual observers before the season started. With a 5-3 record and series wins over SDSU and UCI, UW looks pretty good, now and St. Joe--with a disappointing 1-5 record and recent sweep at the hands of East Tennessee State--looks pretty weak. In the clearly overmatched category, we have Northern Colorado visiting Wazzu (another “cold weather” team looking to warm up in the Palouse?), Lehigh at Cal, and Harvard at Arizona. Northern Colorado is 0-4, having been swept by the same NDSU team that took one of three from Arizona opening weekend. NDSU beat the Bears by a combined score of 58-12 over four games. Lehigh, of the Patriot League, is 2-2 after playing one tournament last weekend. This series against the Wildcats will be Harvard’s first games of the season. Finally, as my apathy is in danger of turning to antipathy if Utah doesn’t make some progress defending the Pac-12 flag, the Utes take on Alabama-Birmingham. UAB is 5-2, including an opening day upset of Clemson.

This week's games
  • #29 USC at #6 North Carolina (YUNC)
  • #2 Stanford at Fresno State (XFS)
  • Long Beach State (YLB) at #23 Oregon
  • #24 Oregon State vs. St. Mary/Winthrop/ Northern Illinois (Z1)
  • #11 Arizona State vs. Northern Illinois/ Winthrop/St. Mary (Z2)
  • St. Joseph (XSTJ) at Washington
  • Sacramento State (YSAC) at #25 UCLA
  • Northern Colorado (ZNC) at Washington State
  • Lehigh (XL) at Cal
  • Harvard (XH) at #14 Arizona
  • Utah at UAB (YUAB)
2/29/2012 11:04:04 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 3

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Hmm, slow week. Remember, first game starts tomorrow at 1pm. Tonight's the night to get yer votes in.

ConnorOSU wrote:
UNC 2-1
Stan 3-0
UO 2-1
OSU 2-1
ASU 3-0
UW 3-0
WSU 3-0
Cal 3-0
UA 3-0
UAB 2-1

Connor, you skipped UCLA.
2/29/2012 11:06:11 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 3

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
WildCard85 wrote:
YUNC 2-1
STAN 3-0 (expecting another 30+ run weekend)
YLB 2-1
OSU 3-0
ASU 3-0
UW 3-0
UCLA 3-0
WSU 2-1
Cal 3-0
YUAB 3-0


And you skipped Arizona.
2/29/2012 11:15:58 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 3

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
BeaverBob wrote:
USC 2-1
Stanford 3-0
Oregon 2-1
Oregon State 2-1
ASU 3-0
Washington 2-1
UCLA 3-0
WSU 2-1
Cal 3-1
Arizona 3-0
YUAB 2-1


I second FB’s comments. Damn exciting. Thanks DM for giving meaning to my life. The best scenario for week three – Beavers go 3-0, and the Ducks go 0-3. Sorry RD.
edited by BeaverBob on 2/29/2012

And I need a 2-1 or 3-0 score for Cal.
Overall, I give this class a C- on this week's homework. And half the class is playing hookey.
2/29/2012 11:52:44 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 3

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
I'm going overboard on Pac-12 teams this week. Could be a huge score!

USC 2-1
Stan 3-0
Ore 3-0
OSU 3-0
ASU 3-0
UW 3-0
UCLA 3-0
WSU 3-0
Cal 3-0
Ariz 3-0
YUAB 3-0

USC has slightly better stats than UNC, and they're playing on the road, but I think they will play a tough game 1, take game 2, and then game 3 is up in the air.

Stanford...no need to explain.

Oregon playing at home. With Horton, who knows BWC teams. Against LB, which outplayed and beat Cal--a team that I think is not as good as Oregon. Dirtbags could take one, but I'm liking these Ducks.

OSU's toughest challenge is St. Mary, whose ace is pretty good. But they'll go up against Wetzler, so I think that one is a win. The other two are against teams that are 0-15 combined. Plus we're supposed to see Jace Fry get some action this weekend. Beaver sweep.

ASU: See OSU above.

After cleaning UC Overrated's clocks last week, I see UW plucking the 1-5 Hawks.

Sac State is 4-4 and could pose some problems, but I think UCLA got something out of their system and will not overlook the Hornets.

Wazzu, Cal, Arizona sweep against opponents who are a combined 2-6.

Utah gets no love until they can beat a team in the 150-or-better 2011 ISR range at least once.
3/1/2012 12:03:58 AM
Topic:
National Predictions: Week 3

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
aTm 2-1
TCU 2-1
DuckU 3-0
USC 2-1
SCar 2-1
3/2/2012 3:07:58 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 3

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Beavers not looking very good. I say bounce them outa the rankings after this week. Dan Child did admirably against a (now) 1-9 team, but it should not have been that close. I hope Jace Fry is on the bump tomorrow.

And what about those Utes? I vote against them and they decide to turn into Arizona State and drop 11 on the Blazers.
3/2/2012 3:12:16 PM
Topic:
National Predictions: Week 3

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Connor, you never provided a prediction on UCLA in the Pac-12 thread.
3/4/2012 4:56:03 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 3

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Ducks look really good so far. Three straight wins in their final at bat.
3/4/2012 9:11:42 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 3

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Weekend Results
  • North Carolina beats USC 2-1.
  • Stanford beats Fresno State 2-1.
  • Oregon sweeps Long Beach State 3-0.
  • Oregon State beats St. Mary/Winthrop/ Northern Illinois 2-1 (+1).
  • Arizona State beats St. Mary/Winthrop/ Northern Illinois 2-1 (+1).
  • Washington sweeps St. Joseph 3-0.
  • UCLA sweeps Sacramento State 3-0
  • Wazzu beats Northern Colorado 2-1.
  • Cal sweeps Lehigh 3-0.
  • Arizona sweeps Harvard 3-0.
  • UAB beats Utah 2-1.
Scores
  • 48.0 ConnorOSU
  • 48.0 FullertonBaseballFan
  • 47.0 ASU74
  • 47.0 Dodger Matt
  • 46.0 OpihiMan
  • 45.0 WildCard85
  • 42.0 CaughtBySparky
  • 42.0 MostUnknown
  • 41.0 BeaverBob
  • 41.0 Florida Beaver
Sorry, Sparky.
edited by Dodger Matt on 3/5/2012
3/5/2012 8:38:10 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 3

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
ConnorOSU wrote:
So, are we not keeping a cumulative standings for this thing?


FB nailed it. I'll add them up after week 4 is in the books and post the scores for a preseason hoorah to the winner. Not sure who might be in the running right now, but with only four weeks, I think anyone could probably still win it.

Sparky, I forgot to include your scores in the total column on my spreadsheet. Fixed.
3/5/2012 8:48:09 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 4

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Again we have some top 25 OOC opponents, plus a couple of tournaments. This is our last week of preseason games. After this, the conference games start.

This week's games
  • Rice at Stanford
  • UCLA at Georgia
  • Washington at Cal Poly
  • Oklahoma/Connecticut/Illinois at Oregon State
  • Oklahoma/Connecticut/Illinois at Oregon
  • California at Nebraska (+1)
  • Arizona State at Long Beach State
  • Cal State Bakersfield at USC
  • Washington State at UNLV
  • Eastern Michigan at Arizona
  • Lehigh/San Jose State/Columbia vs Utah
Week 4 Series
  • #2 Stanford moves back to the top of the list with a home series against #4 Rice. The Owls are 11-1, suffering their first loss of the season Friday night, an 11-8 affair to Texas in Rice’s hometown Houston College Classic. The same Texas team that Stanford embarrassed in a combined 28-5 sweep at Sunken Diamond two weekends ago. But Stanford also suffered their first loss this weekend, a Friday night 7-4 surprise to Fresno State.
  • A resurgent 8-3 UCLA flies to Athens to take on 10-2 Georgia. Although the Bulldogs are ranked higher than the Bruins and their record appears better, their ten wins are against Presbyterian (3), Georgia State (1), Winthrop (3), Savannah State (1), and Western Illinois (2): all teams in the 150 to 280 range (using last year’s ISRs). The two losses? W-Illi and Western Carolina.
  • Washington travels to beautiful San Luis Obispo to play Cal Poly. Sporting equal records of 9-3, both teams are evenly matched, with Cal Poly trending downward out of the one or two rankings they were in after going 2-2 last week, and UW, receiving votes in some polls, poised to move up into the rankings if they can win this series against the Mustangs.
  • The two Beaver State schools take on the same four opponents in the Nike College Showcase, which will be played in both Eugene and Corvallis. As we did last week with the Coca-Cola Classic that OSU and ASU participated in, I’ve limited the picks here to what I consider the top three opponents: Oklahoma (7-3), UConn (4-6), and Illinois (4-5). (West Virginia (5-5) is also on the docket.) For those of you trying to figure out pitching matchups, OSU will face WVU Friday (not counted for this series), then Connecticut and Illinois Saturday, and Oklahoma Sunday. Oregon will face Illinois Friday, Oklahoma then WVU (not counted) Saturday, and UConn Sunday. Each of these visiting teams will also play two of the other three teams, in addition to Oregon and OSU. Oklahoma is ranked between 16 and 28 in the various polls, so effectively between Oregon and OSU. Connecticut, following a very successful 2011 in which they defeated host Clemson in a regional and racked up 45 wins before falling to eventual NC SoCar, was ranked to start the season, but has fallen out of all the polls after failing to post a winning weekend record yet through three weeks.
  • Cal (8-2) visits Lincoln and the Nebraska Cornhuskers (6-4) for a 3+1 series. Nebraska doesn’t have many good wins on its short resume yet: Utah (2), NMSU, UNLV, Minnesota, Corpus Christi. Losses include WVU (see Beaver State preview above) and a sweep by undefeated Gonzaga.
  • Long Beach State is trying to outdo Vanderbilt as recipient of the most Pac-12 punishment as they host the Sun Devils. Yes, the Dirtbags took two of three from Cal two weeks ago, but they’ve already lost once to USC and UCLA, and just got swept in Eugene this past weekend. Now they face ASU, who surprisingly lost to the same St. Mary team that beat OSU last week in the Coca-Cola Classic...in Surprise, AZ. The Dirtbags have played Pac-12 teams for eight straight games and are 2-6 so far. After this weekend, they’ll have played 11 of their last 12 against the Pac-12, and they’ll still have three more to go: Wazzu, UCLA, and USC.
  • CS Bakersfield brings a mediocre 6-6 record to LA to take on USC. The Trojans just missed taking an upset win over the Tar Heels when a runner at third, who tried to score on a passed ball was thrown out at the plate just before the next two USC batters singled and would have plated him, the go-ahead run in a scoreless tie. I think USC is underappreciated right now, having dropped in a couple of polls as a result of that series.
  • How the Cougs managed to lose one game against Northern Colorado last week, I don’t understand, but they travel to Las Vegas to take on a tougher 6-6 UNLV, which has wins against LMU, UCI, Bakersfield, and Utah.
  • It seems like yesterday that Arizona’s upstate rivals put a massive ass-whuppin’ on Western Michigan, and here come the Wildcats to do the same to the Wolverine State’s eastern brethren. EMU has a worse record than WMU, but they do have one win (plus two others) over Oral Roberts.
  • Last but least, Utah plays in yet another tournament, the Jack Gifford Memorial Classic in Santa Clara. We’re skipping the Thursday game against the host Broncos and will vote on Lehigh (2-5 after a combined 37-6 sweep at the hands of Cal), San Jose State (3-7), and the ivy League’s Columbia (1-3 after four games against the Citadel). If the Utes can’t beat that lineup, they should ask to be kicked out of the conference.
3/5/2012 9:51:51 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 4

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Okay, I did some quick calculating. Here are the running scores for the preseason picks. Like I said in the last thread, I think almost anyone still has a chance to win the preseason crown with a good score this week, so if that might change your strategy to go all out on some of these series in order to get the big score, go for it.

Excuse the formatting. As soon as I figure out how to specify a monospace font or preformatted code, these'll look easier to to read.

Wks TTL Avg. Name
3 122.0 40.67 CaughtBySparky
3 122.0 40.67 Dodger Matt
3 118.0 39.33 ASU74
3 118.0 39.33 OpihiMan
3 117.0 39.00 ConnorOSU
3 117.0 39.00 FullertonBaseballFan
3 115.0 38.33 Florida Beaver
3 113.0 37.67 WildCard85
2 75.0 37.50 BeaverBeliever20
3 111.0 37.00 MostUnknown
3 107.0 35.67 BeaverBob
2 70.0 35.00 RiverDuck
2 68.0 34.00 borgguy
1 34.0 34.00 omaharocks
1 27.0 27.00 Islander
3/6/2012 11:20:58 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 4

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
FullertonBaseballFan wrote:
Stan 2-1
Georgia 2-1
CP 2-1
OSU 2-1
UO 2-1
Cal 3-1
ASU 2-1
USC 2-1
WSU 2-1
AZ 3-0
Utah 2-1


Yes, Cal and Nebraska play four games, but for our purposes, that fourth game doesn't exist. I need a prediction for the first three games, and you can say +1 or -1 for the fourth game meaning the team you picked to go 2-1 or 3-0 would win or lose the last game. So it would be either Cal 2-1 +1 or Cal 3-0 -1.

Note that you don't get extra points for predicting the fourth game. But you definitely lose points if you don't eliminate the ambiguity.
3/7/2012 6:47:47 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 4

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Stan 2-1
UCLA 2-1
UW 2-1
OSU 2-1
Ore 3-0
Cal 2-1
ASU 3-0
USC 2-1
WSU 2-1
Ariz 3-0
Utah 2-1
3/7/2012 6:52:54 PM
Topic:
National Predictions: Week 4

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Stan 2-1
aTm 2-1
UNC 2-1
UCLA 2-1
TTech 2-1

Pretty mild predictions, but I don't feel overwhelmingly confident of anyone on this list. Maybe Stanford.
3/8/2012 6:23:58 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 4

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Greetings, cswanson2k7. Do you have a Pac-12 team that you claim some allegiance to, or are you an unaffiliated fan?
3/10/2012 12:02:32 AM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 4

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Day one

The Pac-12 was 8-3 today, with big wins over Rice and Georgia. In non-Pac-12 action (related to the conference), there was one surprise in Eugene as the #16 Oklahoma Sooners lost to Connecticut in the first game of the Nike College Showcase. As the top-ranked team in the 6-team tournament, Oklahoma still has to face West Virginia and #18 Oregon Saturday, then #22 Oregon State. Could be a long weekend for the Sooners. Also note that there is rain in the forecast for Corvallis and Eugene Saturday and Sunday, and with multiple games scheduled at both sites, if any games are canceled, I may substitute one of the “skipped” games if necessary to provide three games for either Oregon or OSU.
  • Stanford 4, Rice 2 (10 innings): Rice jumped on Mark Appel for 2 runs in the 1st on a walk, single, and a walk, then a 2-out, 2-run single by JT Chargois. Stanford got them back in the 3rd on Lonnie Kauppila’s leadoff double, a HPB, sac bunt, wild pitch, and a groundout. The game remained tied 2-2 until the 10th, when Rice’s Tyler Duffey walked Tyler Gaffney with one out, and Justin Ringo launched a two-run homer over the right field fence. Matt Reckling was very good, going 6 innings for the Owls and allowing 3 hits, 2 earned runs, 4 walks, 2 HBP, and 7 strikeouts. Appel was better, going a full 9 innings, and allowing 4 hits, 2 earned runs, 2 walks, 1 HBP, and 14 strikeouts, but did not figure in the decision.
    Stanford leads series 1-0.

  • UCLA 2, Georgia 0: Adam Plutko tossed a 5-hit, complete game shutout of the Bulldogs, striking out 11 and walking none. JR RF Jeff Gelalich was 4 for 4 for the Bruins, but Trevor Brown had both of UCLA’s RBIs, knocking Gelalich in and scoring himself on a two-run homer in the 4th that accounted for all of the scoring in the game.
    UCLA leads series 1-0.

  • Cal Poly 6, Washington 3: Washington led off the game with a walk, sac bunt, single, and a walk to load the bases, then Branden Berry singled to third and Chase Anselment singled through the right side to give the Huskies a 2-0 lead. Cal Poly got one back in their half on a hit batsman and a double. The Mustangs got two more in the 3rd on a couple of errors and a triple. UW made it 4-3 in the 7th, but Cal Poly scored two more in the bottom half for the final score. Anselment led the Dawgs, going 2 for 4 with 1 RBI. Cal Poly’s freshman RF Nick Torres finished 3 for 4 with 5 RBIs.
    Cal Poly leads series 1-0.

  • Oregon State 11, West Virginia 0 (7 innings): As the visiting team, the Beavers scored in the top of the 2nd on a couple singles, a passed ball, and a groundout. Leading 4-0 after five, the Beavs blew the game open with 7 runs in the 7th. In his best game yet as a Beaver, Ben Wetzler (3-0) gave up a leadoff infield single in the 3rd, and that was all, as he pitched the full mercy-shortened 7 innings and struck out 8. SO catcher jake Rodriguez was 2 for 3 with 3 RBIs for the Beavers. One last note of interest to Beaver fans: Much-heralded freshman southpaw Jace Fry is supposed to get his first start for the Beavers in one of the games tomorrow.
    Series tied 0-0 (+1).

  • Illinois 2, Oregon 1: The Ducks got on the board first in the 2nd, with a pair of doubles, by Ryon Healy and Kyle Garlick. The Illini evened it in the 4th then jumped ahead 2-1 in the 6th on a 2-out single and a triple. Alex Keudell pitched 8 innings and took the loss, giving up 6 hits and 2 earned runs.
    Oregon trails series 0-1.

  • California 11, Nebraska 8 (11 innings): Cal scored 7 runs through three innings, five of them in the 3rd, in what looked like a cakewalk. But Nebraska plated four in the 5th and two in the 8th then two more in the 9th to tie it 8-8. In the 11th, Cal’s Vince Bruno led off with a single and was followed by Chadd Krist’s double. After an IBB to load the bags, Chris Paul singled in two, and Chad Bunting scored on a passed ball to win 11-8. Logan Scott pitched 3.1 IP and allowed 2 runs (both unearned) to blow the save and vulture the win. Bunting was 1 for 5 with a 2-out 3-run homer in the 3rd.
    Cal leads series 1-0.

  • Arizona State 3, Long Beach 2 (12 innings): ASU scored solo runs in the first two innings, and Long Beach added a couple pickets to the fence in the 2nd and 5th, and the game remained a 2-2 tie for 6-plus innings. In the 12th, ASU scored the go-ahead run on a single, sac bunt, and Andrew Aplin’s single. In the bottom of the 12th, the Dirtbags moved the tying run to third with two outs, then SS Matt Duffy grounded out to short on a 1-0 pitch to end the game. Aplin was 2 for 6 with 1 RBI and 1 run scored.
    Arizona State leads series 1-0.

  • USC 6, CS Bakersfield 5: USC came from behind to take game one in the bottom of the 9th. They led 2-0 after five, but Bakersfield scored two in the 6th to tie it then two more in the 7th to take a 4-2 lead. The Trojans tied it in the bottom of the 7th, then Bakersfield scraped a run in the 8th for a 5-4 lead. In the bottom of the 9th, the Trojans got runners at the corners on an error and a single. Kevin Roundtree grounded out to score one and advance Matt Foat to second. Then Kevin Swick singled Foat in with the winning run. Swick went 2 for 5 with 2 RBIs. The Roadrunners finished with a 5-5-5 (runs, hits, errors). Trivia of the day: The losing pitcher, CSUB’s Spenser Messmore, graduated from Dodger Matt’s alma mater, Alemany High School in Mission Hills, CA.
    USC leads series 1-0.

  • UNLV 2, Washington State 1: The Cougs had a run erased from the board when a throw from the catcher on a double-steal flew into center field and the umpire ruled batter interference. JD Leckenby allowed both runs (earned) and took the loss, throwing 5.1 IP. UNLV’s Mark Shannon was 3 for 4 with a solo homer and 1 RBI.
    UNLV leads series 1-0.

  • Arizona 9, EMU 2: Arizona scored 7 runs in the first two innings then hit cruise control. Robert Refsnyder was 2 for 4 with 3 RBIs for the Cats.
    Arizona leads series 1-0.

  • Utah 11, Lehigh 3: The Utes scored five runs in the 2nd, topped by Connor Eppard’s grand slam, and six in the 3rd. Eppard was 3 for 4, with 6 RBIs.
    Utah leads series 1-0.

edited by Dodger Matt on 3/11/2012
3/10/2012 9:48:06 AM
Topic:
Weekend Preview feat. Stanford's Mooneyham (3.8)

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Great article, Kendall.
3/11/2012 12:44:13 AM
Topic:
Pac-12 Predictions: Week 4

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
OpihiMan wrote:
Is Oregon State technically 0-0 since West Virginia doesn't count?

Correct. I noticed that this evening when I was going over today's summaries and thought I'd fix it before anyone noticed. Too late! :-(
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