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borgguy - all messages by user

5/1/2013 9:43:44 AM
Topic:
Pac-12 predictions: 2013 Week 12

borgguy
borgguy
osu 3-0
ore 2-1
asu 2-1
ariz 3-0

ucla 3-0

xtc 2-1
5/2/2013 3:38:15 PM
Topic:
Boyds World RPI needs for Pac12 update 5/13/13

borgguy
borgguy
Arizona

current RPI 87
Unable to reach top 45

Arizona State

Remaining: 5 home, 3 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 17
ROWP: 0.486

Top 45:
No More wins needed

Top 32:

0 home wins, 2 road wins
1 home wins, 1 road wins
2 home wins, 0 road wins


Top 16:

5 home wins, 2 road wins

Top 8:

No way to reach the threshold

California

Current RPI 98
Unable to reach top 45

Oregon

Remaining: 5 home, 7 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 8
ROWP: 0.664

Top 16:

No More Wins Needed

Top 8:

2 home wins, 4 road wins
3 home wins, 3 road wins
4 home wins, 2 road wins
5 home wins, 0 road wins

Oregon State

Remaining: 4 home, 3 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 6
ROWP: 0.635

Top 16:

no more wins needed

Top 8:

1 home wins, 3 road wins
2 home wins, 1 road wins
3 home wins, 0 road wins


Southern California

Current RPI 115
Unable to reach top 45

Stanford

Current RPI 80
Unable to reach top 45

UCLA

Remaining: 1 home, 7 road, 0 neutral
Current RPI: 16
ROWP: 0.522


Top 32:

no more wins needed

Top 16:

0 home wins, 6 road wins
1 home wins, 5 road wins


Top 8:

No way to reach threshold

Utah

Current RPI 160

Unable to reach top 45

Washington

Current RPI 111
Unable to reach top 45

Washington State

Current RPI 147
Unable to reach top 45
edited by borgguy on 5/13/2013
5/2/2013 3:43:29 PM
Topic:
Boyds World RPI needs for Pac12 update 5/13/13

borgguy
borgguy
Beavs just have to win 9 of their 14 remaining games and they should be a natl seed.
Ducks just have to win 10 of their remaining 15 games and they should be a natl seed as well.

Both teams are all but locks for the tourney.
5/3/2013 10:09:07 AM
Topic:
College Baseball vs College Football

borgguy
borgguy
Dont get me wrong, I LOVE collge football, but I follow college baseball a lot more closely. maybe it has something to do with the fact that our baseball team has achieved success that neither our football or basketball teams have any time recently. but even when i was growing up, I played baseball more than any of the other sports, I used to go to Beaver Baseball games every weekend with my friends when my family had a 7 sports pass that included baseball, so my friend and I would ride our bikes down to Coleman Field (before it was Goss) and take in a double header.
I think OpihiMan said recently that baseball, more than any other sport, relies on nostalgia. the smell of the grass, and the dirt mixed with popcorn and hot dogs, the feel of the sun on your face, the sound of the bat, it takes us back to a simpler time and when you are at the ballpark, it seems like there is no worry in the world beyond getting this guy out, or advancing the runner.
5/4/2013 9:52:18 AM
Topic:
Pac-12 predictions: 2013 Week 12

borgguy
borgguy
Standings after friday: Lots of bunching around the middle but LSU_Blake and UOSportsGuy are at the top with 30 points possible (a Tiger and a Duck, oh my). BeaverBeliever has an astrisk because his picks came after game one of usc tcu but havent heard a ruling from DM so will count his scores sounds like nobody knew that game was thursday, and it doesnt seem to have helped his score as he is sadly in the basement. If your score is 28 - 8 or higher (so if you are Tied for 4th or higher) you still have a shot at a perfect week, as you were the only ones to predict that BOTH the arizona schools would lose at least one game. without further ado:

T1)LSU_Blake 30 7
UOsportsguy 30 7

3)WildCard85 28 9

T4)JCR 28 8
BeaverBob 28 8
OregonG20 28 8
Hogfan4life 28 8
OpihiMan 28 8
YellowLabOSU 28 8

T10)Riverduck 28 5
SouthernBeaver 28 5

T12)Borgguy 27 7
Beaverstate69 27 7
DodgerMatt 27 7
Rowdy 27 7

16)ASU74 27 4

17)Florida Beaver 25 8

T18)OregonStHomer 24 7
BeaverBeliever20 24 7
5/4/2013 7:47:15 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 predictions: 2013 Week 12

borgguy
borgguy
LSU_Blake wrote:
How do you do the point system borguy.


I Use DMs point system which is as follows
if you pick 3-0
Result
3-0: 6 points
2-1: 3
1-2: 1
0-3: 0

if you pick 2-1
Result
3-0: 3 points
2-1: 4
1-2: 2
0-3: 1


And then I run through everyones picks and figure out what is the maximum points you can get based on the results thus far, and what is the fewest points. the first number next to your name is most, second is fewest. And in case of a tie for most points I give the tiebreaker to whoever has the higher fewest points possible.
as you can see there is high reward for picking a sweep as you can get a ton of points (just look at last week) conversely there is high risk as well, as if they get swept you get zip zero zilch.
A good example would be the Arizona series. *I* picked Arizona to sweep washington, but the best they can do now is win 2-1 (havent looked at score for todays game yet) so the most points I can get would be 3 for a 2-1 win. YOU picked arizona to win 2-1 so you could still possibly get a full 4 points out of this series should they win 2-1.
edited by borgguy on 5/4/2013
5/4/2013 8:03:56 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 predictions: 2013 Week 12

borgguy
borgguy
well through day one, you arent doing too bad friend
5/4/2013 8:38:09 PM
Topic:
Ducks vs. Cougs

borgguy
borgguy
LSU_Blake wrote:
You ducks keep scratching those wins and ill take my 18 run wins to Omaha. Pretty soon it won't be all this conference stuff but all of us mashed together instead, then we will see who comes out on top with their " brand"


Ill take quality pitching any day of the week. if your pitcher is only giving up 1 or 2 runs a game, you dont need to be scoring 18 runs in order to win. and at the end of the day good pitching is what wins you ball games
#Defensewinschampionships
5/5/2013 11:53:31 AM
Topic:
Pac-12 predictions: 2013 Week 12

borgguy
borgguy
Standings after Saturday WildCard85 jumps into the lead behind being the only person to predict a stanford win. With washington winning the series against Arizona, NOBODY has a shot at a perfect week anymore. FloridaBeaver and OregonStHomer take up the cellar.

Looking at the numbers, Wildcard85 and LSU_BLake obviously have the best shot at winning the crown this week, the Oregon game will decide the crown this week. if Oregon wins, then LSU_blake should take the crown, if Oregon Loses then WildCard wins.

1)WildCard85 26 17

2)LSU_Blake 26 15

T3)OregonG20 24 15
JCR 24 15

T5)UOsportsguy 24 13
Riverduck 24 13

7)Borgguy 23 14

T8)YellowlabOSU 22 13
BeaverBob 22 13
Hogfan4life 22 13
OpihiMan 22 13

12)SouthernBeaver 22 11

T13)Dodger Matt 21 12
Beaverstate69 21 12
Rowdy 21 12

16)ASU74 21 10

17)BeaverBeliever20 20 13

18)Florida Beaver 19 12

19)OregonStHomer 18 11
5/5/2013 12:18:44 PM
Topic:
Beavers vs. Golden Bears

borgguy
borgguy
Dodger Matt wrote:
Some interesting factoids from the Beaver website and from my own records that I wanted to share:
  • Andrew Moore's complete-game shutout of California gave Oregon State nine on the season, which is tied with Cal State Fullerton, Dartmouth and Delaware State for most in the nation. The nine shuouts are the most in school history.
  • The Beavers have already swept three conference series this season, tying the 2006 club for the second-most in a single year and one shy of the 2005 club, which swept four, for the most since the then-Pac-10 unified in 1999.
  • Matt Boyd, Andrew Moore and Tony Bryant have kept California in check this weekend. The trio has combined for just five hits allowed, one run, two walks and 14 strikeouts. Cal is hitting .088 and the one run allowed has enabled the Beavers' team earned run average to drop to 1.95. It is at 1.98 during Pac-12 play.
  • Oregon State has steadily improved its lifetime winning percentages against all conference foes over the Casey era. The Beavers have had losing records against seven of the ten Pac-12 teams for decades, but Arizona, Cal, and UCLA could move into the break even or "Beaver win" column over the next three years. Stanford is within four years of .500.


although arent we still over a decade away from breakng even with Wazzou, even if we sweep them every year?
5/5/2013 2:57:28 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 predictions: 2013 Week 12

borgguy
borgguy
how many times can I say "take the crown" in one post?
5/7/2013 4:25:01 PM
Topic:
NCAA Field of 64: Latest projections, May 2

borgguy
borgguy
Riverduck wrote:
So Kendall- Are you assuming OSU will beat Oregon, and still retain the number 8 seed? Because I see if Oregon runs it out and wins the rest of their series, they could be much higher than a number 8.. just saying.


This projection is based on if the season ended TODAY (or as of May 2)
5/8/2013 9:09:15 AM
Topic:
Mats versus Bruins

borgguy
borgguy
Riverduck wrote:
Florida Beaver wrote:
I couldn't even get to the forum for the last 2.5 days, let alone lose some posts. I been chompin at the bit to start giving RD some hell about their next 9 games.

We have had some long stretches this year.. I feel this is a great test, and to win 75 percent of their games is within reach. That will give them at least 43-45 wins this year. Huge.


of your remaining 12 games I think you will take 2 of 3 from Tosu both from Gonzaga and sweep Utah, so that is 7 wins. I can not in good conscience say you will take any from the beavs, although all 4 games are going to be edge of your seat hang on every pitch exciting. according to Boyd if things were to play out like that 2 home wins and 5 road wins would get you a top 8 RPI. I think that would be acceptable. although, knowing how the committee likes to have "geographical balance" I can see them giving you guys (or us for that matter should we, heaven forbid, lose the CW) the finger and screwing you out of a natl host despite a top 8 RPI
5/8/2013 11:24:13 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 predictions: 2013 Week 13

borgguy
borgguy
OSU 2-1 Boyd and Appel will have a pitchers duel for the ages but the cards come out on top friday, then Moore and Wetzler shut them down sat and sunday to take the series.
UCLA 2-1 Arizona just doesnt have the pitching to keep up with UCLA: good pitching beats good hitting 9 times out of 10

ASU 3-0 Devils are PISSED and Cal is giving up, hard to believe they were in Omaha just 2 years ago

USC 2-1 in a tossup slight edge to home team, in Pullman would go other way

Utah 2-1 yes I know its in Husky ballpark, and the Huskies have won series' against both the beavs and zona, but this is a hunch, the huskies are too inconsistent IMO and drop one this week

Ore 2-1 I said in a previous post that I think the Ducks could take 2 of 3 from Tosu and I stick with that, Duckies will represent the pac well.

also BTW who was the official winner from last week? during all the bruhaha with the site being down if that ever got posted it got lost?
5/9/2013 10:18:29 AM
Topic:
Boyds World RPI needs for Pac12 update 5/13/13

borgguy
borgguy
updated
5/9/2013 2:25:04 PM
Topic:
COLLEGE FIELD OF 64: May 9

borgguy
borgguy
Hey Kendall:

While I love that you have both Oregon and Oregon State a Natl seeds, do you really believe that the NCAA will let there be two SRs withing 40 miles of each other? I ask because the selection committee is alwasys going on about geographical balance, So I would not be the least surprised if the loser of the Civil War gets screwed out of a Natl seed even if they have a top 8 RPI, and even less surpised if they matched the Corvallis and Eugene regionals together. what do you think?
5/9/2013 5:03:31 PM
Topic:
COLLEGE FIELD OF 64: May 9

borgguy
borgguy
well at least they wouldnt pair the regionals together, but I still dont think they would have two SUPER regionals that close to each other. obviously regular regionals are different, but I have my doubts about National seeds
5/10/2013 8:34:58 AM
Topic:
COLLEGE FIELD OF 64: May 9

borgguy
borgguy
MiamiBaseball wrote:
borgguy wrote:
I still dont think they would have two SUPER regionals that close to each other. obviously regular regionals are different, but I have my doubts about National seeds


2009 - Cal State Fullerton and UC Irvine were both national seeds, 18 miles apart
2006 - Georgia and Georgia Tech were both national seeds, 70 miles apart
2001 - USC and Fullerton were both national seeds, across town from each other

Texas and Rice have both been national seeds multiple times. Same with Florida and Florida State.


Thanks Miami, that makes me feel better.
5/10/2013 2:27:18 PM
Topic:
Pac-12 predictions: 2013 Week 13

borgguy
borgguy
Riverduck wrote:
ballsy. Mine is the most I believe. Betting on Stanford- They have to be playing their best ball. This is where the beavs will either crush, or get nervous because this will either put them in front or tie with the ducks going into the civil. Huge huge series for them to get a win. I believe sweeping Utah is very doable for the ducks. Not so much for sweeping stanford or WSU.
edited by Riverduck on 5/10/2013


VERY big weekend for the beavs a 2-1 win ties us with the ducks, a 3-0 win puts us a game up.... 2 biggest weekends of the year coming up
5/11/2013 9:38:57 AM
Topic:
Pac-12 predictions: 2013 Week 13

borgguy
borgguy
BeaverBob wrote:
RD, did you see that your Duckies fell to number 9 in the RPI. I'm thinking CSF would be a better national seed than the Ducks. I'm sure the selection committee will also want to have some regional balance.

Don't you agree?

Riverduck wrote:
ballsy. Mine is the most I believe. Betting on Stanford- They have to be playing their best ball. This is where the beavs will either crush, or get nervous because this will either put them in front or tie with the ducks going into the civil. Huge huge series for them to get a win. I believe sweeping Utah is very doable for the ducks. Not so much for sweeping stanford or WSU.
edited by Riverduck on 5/10/2013


by not playing yesterday their RPI has now dropped to 10.... I still think they will end up with a top 8 RPI though. they just have to take 2 of 3 from Tosu (doable) both home games against gonzaga (doable) and sweep utah at home (also doable)
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