General
Manager: Ned Colletti
Assistant
GM, Player Development: De Jon Watson
Assistant
GM, Amateur and International Scouting: Logan White
AAA:
Albuquerque Isotopes (Pacific Coast League) 70-74
AA:
Chattanooga Lookouts (Southern League) 77-62
Hi
A: Rancho Cucamonga (California League) 80-60
Low
A: Great Lakes Loons (Midwest League) 72-67
Rookie
Adv.: Ogden Raptors (Pioneer League) 41-35
Rookie:
AZL Dodgers (Arizona League) 34-22
System
Overview
The
Dodgers have been one of the most controversial franchises in
baseball over the past few seasons due to outgoing owner Frank
McCourt’s financial issues. Those issues may quickly be resolved
as the sale of the franchise is expected to occur this spring.
Due
to McCourt’s bankruptcy which forced sale of the team, Dodger
Stadium and other assets, the new owners will likely be lighter in
the wallet by at least $1.5 billion. However, given the groups
bidding for the club all indications suggest that new ownership will
not be cash poor. They will have purchased one of the best brand
names in professional sports along with a loyal and hungry fan base
that will be positioned to go crazy with enthusiasm at the change.
Just
as importantly, the Dodgers will have perhaps the two best players in
the National League in 23-year old Cy Young LHP Clayton Kershaw and
near triple crown winning OF Matt Kemp. Kemp, who would probably win
a recount of the NL Most Valuable Player balloting given Ryan Braun's
potential 50 game suspension, is signed through 2019, while the
Dodgers still control Kershaw’s contract for three more years at
minimum until his first free agent year in 2015.
The Dodgers have not
been bad on the field over the past few years, either. They are 25
games over .500 over the past six seasons, including a 95-77 mark in
their last playoff season of 2009, and finished 82-79 last year
amidst despite all the turmoil and uncertainly surrounding the club.
The
main issue will be rebuilding depth at the Major League level to
support Kemp and Kershaw and other veterans such as OF Andre Either,
1B James Loney, LHP Ted Lilly and RHP Chad Billingsley. GM Ned
Colletti was able to do that, at least on paper, with a flurry of low
budget veteran free agent signings during the offseason. Infielders
Mark Ellis, Jerry Hairston Jr. and Adam Kennedy as well as LHP Chris
Capuano and RHP Aaron Harang all should contribute in various support
roles.
One
area the Dodgers need no help is with their bullpen, which is stocked
with power arms, including two potential closers in Javi Guerra and
Kenley Jansen.
The
Dodgers minor league system is a very well stocked with power arms
that should guarantee the big league team with in-house pitching
options for years to come, along with giving Colletti a deep
inventory of possible trade chips. The organization’s scouting
philosophy for years has been to bring in high ceiling and athletic,
if not sometimes raw and inexperienced, pitchers with plus fastballs
and try to develop them. That has led to some frustrations with
command (Chris Withrow, Ethan Martin) but also has led to Kershaw and
the potential for other impact pitchers.
On
the flip side, the system is short in middle of the field athletic
talent below the Major League level. Kemp and SS Dee Gordon make
that a less pressing need, as they figure to be manning centerfield
and shortstop for years to come, but it is an area that the Dodgers
could address.
2011
Draft
The
Dodgers 2011 draft was clearly impacted by the franchise’s
financial issues, as the team spent less than $3 million for their
top 10 picks, sticking at slot money or below, and didn’t stretch
for any players after the 10th round.
This
comes a year after the Dodgers shocked the draft world by signing RHP
Zach Lee out of his football scholarship to LSU with a $5.2 million
bonus and also made a million dollar plus run at another LSU signee,
RHP Kevin Gausman, in the seventh round. Los Angeles also paid 11th round pick OF Joc Pederson $600,000.
That
isn’t to say that the Dodgers didn’t get good value for the picks
they made, just that they didn’t go outside the box for any
players.
Stanford
LHP Chris Reed may have worked out of the bullpen in college, but
virtually every scout saw him as a starter as a professional and the
Dodgers sent him out as such after picking him with the 14th overall pick. They also made the unusual move of jumping him
straight to Hi A ball to begin his professional career.
3B
Alex Santana was somewhat of a surprise selection in the second
round, but the Florida high school product was a 17-year old senior
with a very projectable 6-4/190 build and a combination of a plus arm
and potential plus power.
RHP
Scott Barlow was the only other high school player the Dodgers
signed, perhaps as much an indication as any how much flexibility
they had with their budget. The sixth rounder is a
classic projection right hander with a fastball that can touch the
low 90s now with more to come in the future.
In
the third through fifth rounds the Dodgers drafted mature college
players, each of whom has a chance to move quickly through the
system. North Carolina State catcher Pratt Maynard is a
switch-hitter whose offense is ahead of his defense at this point.
With the development of switch-hitting AA catcher Gorman Erickson and
the late season acquisition of Tim Federowicz from the Red Sox, the
Dodgers have quickly improved their prospect level catching depth
over the last year. They also drafted two very accomplished college
catchers, Oklahoma’s Taylor Ogle and Wichita State’s Chris
O’Brien in the ninth and 18th rounds respectively.
Both
Ryan O’Sullivan and Scott McGough, taken in the fourth and fifth
rounds, are hard throwing right handers capable of sitting in the mid
90s, and both had the stuff to go higher in the draft but took steps
backward during the spring. O’Sullivan, the brother of Royals RHP
Sean O’Sullivan, spent two years pitching and playing shortstop at
San Diego before not playing last spring due to eligibility issues.
McGough, another former shortstop, was Oregon’s closer but battled
ineffectiveness and perhaps a case of draftitis during the spring and
saw his stock drop.
A
later round sleeper could be 3B/RHP Jesus Valdez. An unsigned fifth
round pick of the Angels out of high school as a right handed pitcher
in 2010, the Dodgers signed Valdez in the 17th round as a
third baseman after one year at Oxnard Junior College. The
organization has a long history of drafting players with two-way
talent (Ethan Martin, Blake Smith, Aaron Miller) and has been very
open to converting players as professionals (Kenley Jansen) as well.
Top
10 Prospects
1.
RHP Zach Lee –
Baseball-reference player profile
Lee
was a solid pitching prospect at McKinney High School on the north
side of Dallas but was far better regarded as a top level quarterback
prospect with a ride to Louisiana State. His star wide receiver,
All-American SS Matt Lipka (now with the Braves) was considered a
better baseball prospect.
That
changed his senior year when Lee went from throwing 88-91 to 92-95
mph with the same type of precision command and control he had
previously shown. He was considered a consensus first round talent
by the scouting community but never wavered in his commitment to LSU,
and was thought to be perhaps the most unsignable player in the 2010
draft. Thus eyebrows were raised when the financially strapped
Dodgers picked Lee with the 28th pick in the first round.
It looked like another LHP Jeremy Sowers situation from 2000, when
the Reds picked Vanderbilt signee Sowers with no intent of spending
the money.
To
everyone’s surprise, the Dodgers signed Lee to a heavily back
loaded $5.2 million dual sport contract just before the deadline and
after Lee was already in Baton Rouge attending classes and doing
football workouts. Lee didn’t skip a beat in his baseball career,
posting a 9-6, 3.47 mark in 24 starts in Low A ball while showing
even better stuff and pitching polish than he shown in high school.
With
LSU falling a quarterback short of winning the national title in
football in 2011, one wonders if Lee signing with Dodgers might have
had an effect on college football world.
2.
RHP Allen Webster –
Baseball-reference player profile
The
Dodgers top prospect list is full of examples of unheralded draft
choices who have really developed as professionals (Nate Eovaldi,
Shawn Tolleson, Joc Pederson, Gorman Erickson), but there is no
example of excellent scouting/player development than Webster. The
Dodgers took him as an unknown North Carolina high school shortstop
in the 18th round in 2008 and signed him for $20,000, then
converted him to a pitcher and let him learn in rookie ball for two
years.
Webster
has a complete package of pitches, any one of which can be a plus big
league offering in any particular start. He pitches in the 92-94 mph
range with great sinking life at times and gets the same type of life
on his low 80s change up. He throws both a curveball and a slider as
well.
The
Dodgers have no lack of starting pitching at either the big league
level or in the upper minors, so they can afford to still be patient
with Webster, who still has less than 400 innings of experience on
his arm, but his time should come soon.
3.
RHP Nate Eovaldi –
Baseball-reference player profile
Eovaldi
is a prototypical Dodgers draft under VP Scouting Logan White, a hard
throwing and raw athlete who the Dodgers have developed into a Major
League pitcher much quicker than anyone would have guessed after
signing him in the 11th round in 2008.
Eovaldi
attended the same high school (Alvin HS) southwest of Houston as the
legendary Nolan Ryan. He missed his entire junior season after
undergoing TJ surgery and essentially threw just fastballs as a
senior while recovering. However, many of those fastballs were in
the 93-95 mph range and the Dodgers were able to steer him away from
a Texas A&M scholarship for a $250,000 signing bonus.
Although
many expected the Dodgers to develop Eovaldi as a power reliever,
they started him from the onset and were rewarded when he made his
big league starting debut last August. They handled the 21-year old
with kid gloves, essentially shutting him down the last month of the
season, and he finished the year with a career high 138 innings
between AAA and the big leagues.
Eovaldi
is essentially a two-pitch pitcher, although his changeup is
improving, but those pitches are both plus pitches. His fastball
will sit at 94-96 mph through a start and touch higher, while his
upper 80s slider is sharp and hard. Although the Dodgers did bring
in some veteran arms to compete for spots in the starting rotation,
Eovaldi should be right in the mix to win a job.
4.
OF Alfredo Silverio –
Baseball-reference player profile
The
Dodgers have been incredibly patient with Silverio since signing him
as a 16-year old out of the Dominican Republic in 2004. He spent
four full seasons in rookie ball and played his first full year at AA
in his eighth professional season in 2011. But it all finally
clicked for Silverio, as he hit .306-16-85/.882 with 42 doubles and
18 triples.
Silverio
has an edge on another older AA outfielder, Scott Van Slyke
(.348-20-92/1.022) in overall tools and the ability to play all three
outfield positions. With the Dodgers short on athleticism among
their upper level outfielders, the 24-year old (25 in May) has a good
chance at stepping into a big league role over the next two years.
5.
LHP Chris Reed –
Baseball-reference player profile
Reed
was undrafted out of high school and posted ERA’s of 15.43 and 6.10
his first two seasons at Stanford before starting to come on the
summer after his sophomore year while pitching in the Alaska Summer
League. Still, it took scouts a while to warm up to him as he was
being used as Stanford’s closer, thus limiting scouts ability to
break down his stuff after seeing him so little in the past.
What
they saw was a strong 6-foot-4 closer with an above average fastball
and hard mid 80s slider, plus a surprising feel for a changeup that
he was able to work in despite his role. The solid three-pitch
arsenal made scouts think he was a future starter, which immediately
raised his draft stock from the second/third round firmly into the
first as the draft drew closer.
6.
OF Joc Pederson –
Baseball-reference player profile
Pederson
is the son of former Dodgers outfielder Stu Pederson, who appeared in
eight games for Los Angeles in 1985 after starring at USC. It looked
like the younger Pederson would follow the same initial track,
attending the same high school, Palo Alto, as his father and signing
with USC. But the Dodgers stepped up and paid Pederson $600,000 to
sign as an 11th round pick in 2010. His father had been a
ninth round pick in 1981.
After
a slow start in the Midwest League, Pederson tore up the Pioneer
League as a teenager, hitting .353-11-64/.997 with 24 steals. He is
a very polished left handed hitter with a strong line drive swing
that he repeats mechanically with maturity. Pederson’s athletic
ability is above average as well and he has the tools to play all
three outfield positions, although he may not have enough speed to
play centerfield at the upper levels as he continues to fill out.
(Author’s
Note: I pitched against Stu Pederson in 1977 or 1978 while in high
school, although I don’t remember the results. It probably wasn’t
pretty.)
7.
RHP Garrett Gould –
Baseball-reference player profile
Gould
was a well known prospect from a Kansas high school going into his
senior season but took a huge jump up scout’s lists with a
dominating performance at the 2008 WWBA World Championships in
Jupiter, where he won Most Valuable Pitcher honors. The Dodgers paid
Gould $900,000 as a second rounder in 2009 to buy him away from a
Wichita State scholarship.
Gould’s
success is predicated on one third stuff, one third pitchability and
one third deception. His delivery in high school was consistently
described as “not pretty” in scouting notes, and the Dodgers have
done a good job of getting Gould to repeat his mechanics better after
he got off to a slow start as a professional. Gould’s fastball is
in the low 90s but his out pitch is a hard 12/6 downer curveball that
can reach the low 80s and is a strikeout pitch. His changeup is also
a big league offering and he shows a mature feel for using all three
pitches to different spots in the zone.
8.
RHP Chris Withrow –
Baseball-reference player profile
Withrow
was the Dodgers first round pick in 2007 but signed late and missed
most of the 2008 season with arm problems. He made up for lost time
by reaching AA during his first real season in 2009 but has been
stuck at that level ever since.
Withrow
might have the best overall stuff in the Dodgers system. His
fastball sits in the mid 90s and is capable of reaching 98 mph, and
he throws both a slider and a curveball as well as a nice sinking
changeup. He has made no progress at all with his ability to pitch,
however, and has walked 144 batters in 259 innings the past two
seasons while going a cumulative 10-15. Withrow turns 23 at the
start of the season, so he is still plenty young enough to make the
mental adjustments to becoming a major league pitcher, but his career
as a top prospect is on the clock.
9.
RHP Shawn Tolleson –
Baseball-reference player profile
Tolleson
was a highly acclaimed high school prospect before he hurt his elbow
at the beginning of his senior high school season in 2006 and
underwent Tommy John surgery. He subsequently redshirted at Baylor
in 2007 and was never completely able to regain his raw stuff and
feel for pitching while working primarily as a starter for the Bears.
That
all changed after the Dodgers drafted him as an afterthought 30th rounder in 2010 and put him in a short relief role. Tolleson is now
sitting in the mid 90s from a deceptive mid three-quarters release
point while complementing his heat with a hard mid to upper 80s
slider that is a strikeout pitch. He has moved through four levels
in a bit more than a year since signing, and is a cumulative 8-3,
1.01 with 45 saves, 23 walks and 144 Ks in 97 total innings, 44
innings of those at AA during the second half of 2011.
10.
OF Angel Songco –
Baseball-reference player profile
Songco
was the Dodgers fourth round draft pick out of Loyola Marymount in
2009 and has exceeded all expectations with his left handed bat. He
put up one of the top seasons in the minor leagues in 2011, hitting
.313-29-114/.948 with 48 doubles in the California League. While the
Dodgers probably don’t have Songco ranked this high on their own
internal top prospect list, there is something to be said for doing
something and doing it well and Songco can flat hit. He played
centerfield in college but split time almost evenly between left
field and first base in 2011.
Others
in the Conversation: OF James Baldwin, IF Ivan DeJesus Jr., C
Tim Federowicz, C Gorman Erickson, RHP Ethan Martin, RHP Angel
Sanchez, OF Blake Smith, OF Scott Van Slyke