Not a member yet?
Subscribe Now!

Perfect Game Forum

Messages in this topic - RSS

Home » College Baseball Clubhouse » Pac-12 picks: Week 11 (RIVALRY WEEK)

Want to make your opinion heard or just chat about college baseball? This is your place.
pages: 1 2 | show rated messages only | you must log in at the top of the page to post
4/22/2014 11:19:23 PM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
Week 11 (4/25/14) Rivalry Week

Rivalry week starts way too early for me this year, and with UCLA and USC playing Thursday, it opens early in the week too. Here are Week 11’s games, highlighted again this year by the Civil War. And don’t miss the tiebreaker: Game four of the Nevada-Utah series.

This week’s games
  • Ore at OSU
  • WSU at UW
  • USC at UCLA (starts a day early: 4/24)
  • ASU at Ariz
  • Cal at Stan
  • Nevada [XN] at Utah (first three games)
  • Virginia [ZVa] at Florida State [YFS]
  • TIEBREAKER: Combined score of the fourth Nevada-Utah game.
An example ballot would look like this:
  • OSU 3-0
  • UW 3-0
  • USC 2-1
  • Ariz 2-1
  • Stan 3-0
  • XN 2-1
  • ZVa 2-1
  • Nevada-Utah (Game 4): 19
Rivalry Week Series
  • #7 Oregon at #4 Oregon State. This year’s Civil War opponents are not ranked quite as high last year’s in terms of national rankings, but this is still an epic matchup of top ten teams—for the second year in a row. I’ll post comparative stats in a separate Civil War thread, but briefly, these teams are evenly matched, with the Beavers registering advantages in five key stats, and the Ducks in two. In some cases both clubs are ranked in the top 15 nationally, with literally a couple 100ths of a point separating them. In 2013, the Beavers took the last two games in Eugene and outscored the Ducks 21-5 in the series.
  • After the egg UW laid last year, it’s still something of a surprise that the Apple Cup is the second most significant rivalry series this year, but with their game-and-a-half lead over the Beavers, the Huskies have a great opportunity to put some distance between them and OSU. Wazzu, at 6-3 earlier this season, has the misfortune of playing the league’s top three team in three successive weeks. They suffered a 1-5 record against OSU and Oregon and now play UW on the road. UW is first or second in 5 offensive stats; Wazzu is no better than seventh in any but number of triples (sixth). UW beats Wazzu in pitching too, although neither team’s pitching stats are bette than fifth in most categories.
  • USC, with sweep of Arizona last week, moved even in conference winning percentage at 9-9. They started out well, hit a dip in the road, and are back on the upswing. UCLA is in the middle of a downturn of sorts too, having gone 3-3 the last two weeks against the league’s bottom two teams. In fourth place and with series remaining against the three teams above them, the Bruins are still in the hunt for the Pac-12 crown, but a successful series against the Trojans is a requirement. USC has the edge in all offensive categories, although the numbers are very close. UCLA has the better pitching, but again, not far and away better.
  • ASU still has an outside shot at the crown, not to mention postseason play. Arizona, however, is playing for pride now. Potent offensively and sporting a few quality starting pitchers, the Wildcats can take a game from just about anyone, and they already did beat ASU once this year in a nonconference game. The Devils’ offense is nearly as good as UA’s, and their pitching a tad better. After the Wildcats, ASU only faces one team above them in the standings—Oregon.
  • Because of their nonconference schedules, both Stanford and Cal have respectable ISRs, despite their losing conference and overall records. The best that the conference’s eighth and ninth place teams could hope for is to move up into the middle of the Pac standings after this series. The only (positive) offensive stat either team can brag about being higher than 6th in the conference is number of home runs (Stanford at 12 for 5th; Cal tied for third with 15). (Stanford is also #1 in GIDP.) Stanford is at #4 and #3 in ERA and OBA, so the pitching side looks decent, and we know they have some good but green starters. These teams area also tied for first in balks at 6.
  • Little orphan Utah hosts the Nevada Wolfpack. At 21-16 and tied for second with fellow Silver State squad UNLV in the Mountain West with a conference record of 13-8, Nevada presents Utah with a decent foe, on par with Cal in terms of ISR. They have no signature series wins, unless last weekend’s 2-1 victory over Fresno State counts as quality. In that three-game set, the Wolfpack were outscored 36-28, so it could be a high-scoring affair in SLC. BTW, this is a four-game series, so only the first three will count. (But I enjoyed the tiebreaker for the OSU-Sac game so much, I want to throw that fourth game in for total combined score purposes. Same rules as last week.)
  • #1 Virginia visits #5 Florida State in Tallahassee. These teams are tops in their respective conference divisions, with mirrored 16-5 records. Both teams have been ranked #1 in the nation this season. And both teams are likely national seeds, barring any calamitous collapses. Eva has the third best ERA in the nation (2.06) to FSU’s 3.14 (49th). Conversely, the Seminoles have the 9th best OBP (.405) compared to the Cavaliers’ .377 (#51). How much does that home field advantage count for?
0 permalink
4/23/2014 1:13:46 AM

OpihiMan
OpihiMan
Posts: 1111
OSU 2-1
UW 2-1
UCLA 2-1
ASU 2-1
Cal 2-1
Utah 2-1
YFS 2-1
Nevada-Utah (Game 4): 18
0 permalink
4/23/2014 8:30:23 AM

Riverduck
Riverduck
Posts: 2290
Ore 2-1
UW 2-1
UCLA 2-1
ASU 2-1
Cal 2-1
Utah 2-1
YFS 2-1
Nevada-Utah (Game 4): 19
0 permalink
4/23/2014 11:20:29 AM

ASU74
ASU74
Posts: 1040
Rowdy:
We are now down & dirty. Winner of this series gets the Territorial Cup points & 10 bucks for their baseball program from our wager.

F

--
Go Devils !!
Fork Off
0 permalink
4/23/2014 12:06:31 PM

OregonG20
OregonG20
Posts: 32
OSU 2-1
UW 3-0
UCLA 2-1
ASU 2-1
Stan 2-1
XN 2-1
YFS 2-1
Nevada-Utah (Game 4): 13
0 permalink
4/23/2014 12:14:31 PM

WildCard85
WildCard85
Posts: 78
OSU 2-1
UW 2-1
UCLA 2-1
Ariz 2-1
Stan 2-1
Utah 2-1
ZVa 2-1
Nev/Ut (G4) - 17
Go Cardinal !
0 permalink
4/23/2014 8:58:23 PM

Florida Beaver
Florida Beaver
Posts: 1216
Gotta put my faith in the Beaver for this series. It CAN happen

OSU 3-0
UW 2-1
UCLA 2-1
Ariz 2-1
Stan 2-1
XW 2-1
Zva 2-1
Nev/Ut 12
0 permalink
4/24/2014 1:39:17 AM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
Me too, FB.
  • OSU 3-0
  • UW 2-1
  • UCLA 2-1
  • ASU 2-1
  • Stan 2-1
  • Utah 2-1
  • YFS 2-1
  • Utah G4: 15
0 permalink
4/24/2014 5:20:21 PM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
Bob, Borg, Rowdy: Gonna miss the first game.... 6pm start.
0 permalink
4/24/2014 7:59:54 PM

BeaverBob
BeaverBob
Posts: 1459
OSU 2-1
UW 2-1
UCLA 2-1
ASU 2-1
Stan 2-1
Utah 2-1
ZVa 2-1
Utah G4: 10

Just made it
0 permalink
4/24/2014 11:04:24 PM

Rowdy
Rowdy
Posts: 87
DM - sorry for late entry...traveling this week.
ASU74 - your on brother...Bear Down!

OSU 2-1
UW 2-1
USC 2-1
Ariz 2-1
Stan 2-1
Utah 3-0
YFS 2-1
G4 = 9
0 permalink
4/25/2014 1:32:41 AM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
USC with a 10-0 win over UCLA. Should have gone USC 2-1. :p
0 permalink
4/25/2014 9:05:24 PM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
Virginia scores two in the top of the 10th to win 5-3.
0 permalink
4/25/2014 10:30:10 PM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
Bill Kinneberg's 500th career win at Utah, as the Utes kill Nevada 12-0.
0 permalink
4/26/2014 12:42:52 AM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
With Wazzu's win over UW, Oregon State moves back into first place (via winning percentage, even if still a "half-game" back). And as USC beat UCLA again, the Trojans and Bruins have practically traded places (now 5th and 6th respectively). UCLA was a long shot to win the conference, but they are pretty much out of contention now.

Forgot to mention the Bay series between Cal and Stanford runs Sat-Sun-Mon.
0 permalink
4/26/2014 1:29:05 PM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
Caught this on Stitchhead's blog, about Arizona State's Territorial Cup win last night....

Arizona’s appeal throw to 3rd. Leading 1-0 in the 7th inning, an RBI fly ball from R.J. Ybarra tied the game. But when UofA pitcher Bobby Dalbec tried to appeal Johnny Sewald’s tag from 3rd, he OVERTHREW THE BASE. Yes, overthrew on an appeal toss. That overthrow also allowed Drew Stankiewicz to score from 2nd base to account for ASU’s winning runs in the 2-1 win in Tucson.
0 permalink
4/26/2014 7:11:05 PM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
Trojans were down 4-0 going into the 9th and scored 7 to sweep UCLA at Jackie Robinson Stadium. That's nine straight wins for USC and two consecutive Pac-12 sweeps.
0 permalink
4/26/2014 7:32:33 PM

Florida Beaver
Florida Beaver
Posts: 1216
Well, so much for my picking UCLA 2-1.

Rowdy was the ONLYEST one to pick USC. He musta been smoking something.
edited by Florida Beaver on 4/26/2014
0 permalink
4/26/2014 7:39:12 PM

Florida Beaver
Florida Beaver
Posts: 1216
WOW!!! And Cal beats Stanford in game 1.....No one picked Cal to win that series (I know, I know...it's only game 1. Just saying) And of course the 12-0 Utah game yesterday....Of course, I picked Nevada to take that series. I don't care if I miss every dam pick as long as we sweep the ducklings.
0 permalink
4/26/2014 8:32:12 PM

Dodger Matt
Dodger Matt
Posts: 2423
Yeah, I would not have picked a USC sweep, but I was close to going USC 2-1. Oh well.

Flardy State blanks UVa, 7-0. Rubber game t'marra.
0 permalink
pages: 1 2 | show rated messages only | you must log in at the top of the page to post

Home » College Baseball Clubhouse » Pac-12 picks: Week 11 (RIVALRY WEEK)





Powered by AspNetForum 6.9.9.0 © 2006-2010 Jitbit Software